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Billl

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Everything posted by Billl

  1. Are you really trying to make the case that Singletary with 7 yards of space is a worse option than throwing a 50 yard flutterball to a Fullback who is double covered? I’m pretty sure Allen yelled “500” before throwing that ball. I watched the replay of this game again yesterday. Allen made several excellent plays, but he made an egregious amount of awful decisions. Watching Allen play QB is like watching a golfer crush a 300 yard drive and sink a 30 foot putt on a hole but also put his approach into the water twice. The Texans dropped two gimme interceptions, had good opportunities for two more. Between those, the fumble that the Texans recovered, and the insane lateral that got swatted out of bounds, it’s kind of amazing the game was as close as it was.
  2. 5 TDs and 650 yards of offense isn’t nothing. What’s with the hate for Shady around here? He was the best player on the Bills in the decade, and he was clearly better than Gore this year. 4.6 ypc vs 3.6 for Gore. 5 TDs to 2. Why wouldn’t he be upset that the team cut him for a washed up Frank Gore? Shady didn’t have a ton left in the tank, but Gore has no business being on an NFL roster.
  3. Have you not heard the recording where the chick basically admits that she lied about both incidents? The Chiefs cut Kareem Hunt for 1% of what Hill was accused of. Hill is a dumbass for staying with her, but he’s not a monster.
  4. Brady will go to the Chargers. Rivers will go to Tennessee or Tampa. Tennessee would be the smarter play, as I don’t see a closer comp in the league to Rivers than Winston. Bridgewater or Dalton would be solid fits in Tampa.
  5. Singletary is talented, but I don’t think the intent is to ever use him as a workhorse. He’s perfect for his role. Doesn’t have the size to take 20 carries a game while blocking in the passing game consistently. Someone like Carlos Hyde would be a good pickup to replace Gore. Kareem Hunt would have been perfect if he had his head on straight. Of course if he did, he’d be playing in the Super Bowl.
  6. Reid did him a solid. If that trade doesn’t go down, McD drafts Lattimore. It’s a perfectly good pick, and McD still has to listen to the MMQBs complain that Mahomes went one pick later. Instead, he got an arguably better player at the same position, added a third round pick that year and a first round pick the following year. The Bills pulled of one of the three best drafts that year. Possibly the second best depending on how the rest of Watson’s career goes.
  7. It’s pretty simple, really. Your QB will regress with time as teams get more tape on him. My QB will show logarithmic improvement indefinitely.
  8. Mahomes dislocated his kneecap on a QB sneak. It was a freak injury that had nothing to do with his line.
  9. OMG, the guy who just turned 23 this month hasn’t even made the AFCCG yet?
  10. What long snappers are we letting in?
  11. Wonderlic scores mean dick. Lamar Jackson scored a 13. That doesn’t make him stupid. Ray Lewis also got a 13, Eddie George got a 14, and Randy Moss scored a 12. All three of them have had successful careers in broadcasting post retirement and are clearly bright, charismatic people. Donovan McNabb scored a 14, and he ran Andy Reid’s offense successfully for a decade. His 13 on the Wonderlic matters about as much as his 2 on the Precision Passing contest...0.
  12. My guess would be Mahomes. If so, it’s safe to assume that he overcame them all pretty much immediately (other than his tendency to sail the deep ball on occasion).
  13. I was looking for his pre draft scouting reports due to all the “he’s so raw” comments around here. I thought the analysis was interesting because every word of it is true today. He’s literally been the starter for two years and has a career completion percentage of 56%. Two year starter: True 56% completion: True Scattershot passer: True Great velocity but needs a better change up: True Tends to miss (sometimes badly) on check downs and screens: True Struggles with pressure, lacks proper timing, won’t take the easy yards: True, true, true
  14. Are you talking about the same guy? He has a very limited route tree, doesn’t run them particularly well, and he has poor technique coming off the line. He’s a physical freak, but well rounded he ain’t.
  15. Here’s an evaluation of him I came across this morning. I think it’s pretty accurate. I’m curious if even his biggest apologists would disagree. Drops and lack of playmaking talent don’t account fully for his 56-percent completions in two seasons of starting. Way too scattershot a passer right now. Touch throws are very inconsistent. Velocity is great, but he needs to develop a better changeup to drop passes into the bucket. Will miss — sometimes badly — on higher-percentage checkdowns and screens. Forgets to reset his feet when he has time to do so. Has a long way to go vs. pressure — gets skittish at times and doesn’t operate all that well with a dirty pocket. Overreacts to the first sign of pressure and bails out. Lacks proper sense of timing and needs to speed up his drops. Won’t always take the easy yards defenses will give him. Doesn’t consistently climb the pocket when the edges are collapsing. Comes off his first read too fast when plays don’t develop instantaneously.
  16. What is with the “Josh was the most raw QB in decades” narrative? Unless “raw” just means that he was ineffective in college, it’s BS. You know who was raw? Lamar Jackson was raw. He just completed an MVP season, and people are still calling him a RB. Ryan Tannehill was raw. He was a WR until his Junior year of college. Pat Mahomes was raw coming out of the Air Raid at Texas Tech. Allen was simply a QB who didn’t put up numbers despite playing in the same system as Carson Wentz.
  17. Mahomes’s first ever game was on the road against the Broncos. He went 22/35 for 284 yards in 3 quarters. That’s more than any game in Allen’s career. Here are all the players who caught passes. Albert Wilson Demetrius Harris Demarcus Robinson Anthony Sherman Jehu Chesson Akeem Hunt (not to be confused with Kareem Hunt) He wouldn’t have thrown 50 TDs, but he would have still had an MVP caliber season with the Bills receivers.
  18. The reality is that every question will be answered this time next year. As it currently stands, the Bills have the best roster in the East by a comfortable margin. If he’s legit, the division runs through Buffalo for the next few years.
  19. So Josh Allen’s new nickname should be Sex Panther. 58.8% of the time he make the throw every time.
  20. Watson, Mahomes, and Jackson in their entire careers combined: 1
  21. I put my numbers into context, and they coincided perfectly with the MVP voting the past two seasons. Your turn. Hit us with the context that shows that “completions per air yards completion” is a more useful stat than QBR when evaluating QB play.
  22. So if we just goose his numbers slightly, you can pretend that he meets the bare minimum level of competence. “Hey dad. Yeah I failed my test, but good news. If you take just 4 questions that I got wrong and pretend I got them right, I would have earned the lowest possible D minus.” He was dead last in completion percentage in 2018. He was dead last in 2019. The good news is that 33 QBs qualified in 2018 while only 32 qualified in 2019, so he moved up from 33rd to 32nd.
  23. That’s certainly food for thought. Why don’t you show me the top two or three in each of those categories for the past two years, and we’ll see if those are more indicative of top tier QB play that QBR, QB rating, YPA, completion percentage, and PPG. I know that when I’m trying to figure out what’s what, top 8 in “completed air yards per completion” isn’t the first thing I check, but maybe it should be.
  24. So you're advocating for a multivatiable analysis (something that is inherently imperfect) and then rejecting use of said analysis because it isn't perfect. Every reasonable measure of performance shows the same thing. QBR: He's not very good QB rating: He's not very good Completion percentage: He's not very good PPG: He's not very good YPA: He's not very good Now maybe you're right and QBR is some terribly flawed metric. It seems like an odd coincidence that the top 2 in 2018 were Mahomes and Brees and that these two also finished as the top two in the MVP vote. It seems like an even bigger coincidence that the top two this year are Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes, the presumptive MVP and the consensus best player in football. Allen, on the other hand is right next to Minshew and Case Keenum, both of whom would be considered, shall we say, long shots to win the MVP. I'm going to go ahead and say that the guy who is 25th in QBR, 25th in QB rating, 30th in yards per game, 26th in yards per attempt, and dead last for the second straight season in completion percentage just isn't a great QB. That's just one man's opinion, though. You're free to disagree with me and every available statistical analysis on the subject.
  25. OK boomer, here you go. https://lmgtfy.com/?q=qbr+formula
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