Giuseppe Tognarelli

This isn't true Fun fact: the Raiders have a 68% chance of making it if they beat the Colts and Broncos. Getting the 2 seed and hosting the Raiders would be fun!

This couldn't be more wrong Uber realistic. Most likely way to get to this scenario: Steelers beat Seahawks and Ravens backups All relevant favorites win Bills beat NE, lose to MIA =Bills out ??? Losing the next two is not the concern

I know? The tweet was before the Chiefs lost. They have now lost.

If what I said in the tweet happens and the teams who are favorites when their games, this is exactly what the scenario will be.

The Bengals-Chiefs game next week is MASSIVE. If the Bengals can pull the upset, which I can totally see, we're going to be back in nail-biting territory.

It's a reverse jinx. I was successful. You're welcome.

The Bills are not likely to win in Miami. They will be underdogs.

You don't seem to understand. There is a very high chance that the Broncos keep the Bills out of the playoffs.

DEN comeback win over NE tonight was absolutely crushing. The Bills are going to need them to lose once, and now it's extremely unlikely with that team galvanized and being favorites the next 2 weeks.

They're the biggest threat. If we don't beat the Dolphins, we need them to lose a game at some point (like tonight, because they'll be favored the next 2 weeks) or they'll be ahead of us.

That is not a catch.

You're right! With Cleveland at #5, if you then you concede that two teams will come out of the AFC South at 10-7 (one division winner, one WC) and a third will be 9-8 at best (which is guaranteed because of IND-HOU matchup), that means there is one WC left for BUF/DEN/PIT/CIN. And as I said long ago, all this talk about tiebreakers will be moot and 10-7 will make it because it does 99% of the time. The seeding stuff was correct. The only thing that was incorrect was the playoff clinching at the end, because it's actually easier than the tweet suggested. There will be a be a new tweet.

I have been staring at the standings and multiple playoff simulators for hours and I don't see any incorrect information. I will happily admit if I am wrong somewhere though.

What's wrong about it? There is also a Jacksonville scenario, but I didn't have room in the tweet to include it. Everything in the tweet is correct, although it is not the ONLY clinching scenario

That's a tough one.

??? I said I think if the Bills win out, they'll be the #3 seed. I think this is the most likely outcome. It's not a guarantee.

Yes, we would most likely be the 6 or 7 seed in this scenario.

??? The post says that all the teams you mentioned have to lose 1 of 3, not win out

How so? I mean, it's a predicted likely outcome (#3 at least is almost certain if they win out).

#2 seed: Beat NE, MIA MIA L @ BAL KC lose 1 of next 3 All likely except Bills win at MIA and KC lose 1. Think if Bills do win out, they'll be #3 seed. Would be great to get that #2 and have KC come here in the divisional.