DCOrange

Obviously every draft is different (ex: a guy like Locker goes top 10 one year but had he been in this year's draft, I'm not sure he even gets considered in the 1st round due to how many 1st round prospects there are this year), but 1/20 is seriously pretty insane.

Just nitpicking, but I feel like Kaepernick, Bradford, Tannehill, and possibly RG3 were more successful than Bridgewater to this point. Kaepernick for sure IMO. Perhaps this moreso means that I don’t think Teddy should be considered successful rather than saying the other 3 should be.

I’d personally love Vita Vea. I think that guy is gonna be a monster but I’m not sure he falls to 21 either. one edge rusher that interests me is Hercules Mata’afa (I think I got the spelling right). Played DT at Wazzu but he might be a linebacker in the NFL that can move to DE on 3rd down. He’s super athletic and is one of those guys like Gerald McCoy that just gets off the snap before everyone else.

A pass rusher would be great, but unfortunately, there likely won't be one worth taking at 21/22. At least not an edge rusher; there's a decent chance that there will be a DT worthy of being a 1st round pick.

It's pretty simple. Buffalo has one corner on its roster in a league that plays with 3 corners a ton of the time and Gaines has missed nearly 30 games in 4 years. Even if Gaines is re-signed, Buffalo needs a corner and the way the talent plays out in this draft, there's a lot of good ones to pick towards the end of the 1st round. With the strength of this year's cornerback class, it would be great if a good pass rusher or linebacker (or obviously QB) falls to 21 instead, but a corner makes a lot of sense too.

Regarding Quenton Nelson, I think there's a very realistic shot he goes in the top 5. I think #7 is probably as far as he drops. I think teams are realizing just how important the interior O-Linemen are nowadays and Nelson looks like he can come in and be an All-Pro as a rookie. Assuming Denver gets a QB like Cousins in free agency as Jeremiah seems to be predicting, shoring up the O-Line would be a great move.

Beane was the director of football operations when they selected Cam. McDermott was not in place yet though.

As of now, he’s a Day 3 guy. He has a slender build, and isn’t as short as Mayfield but is on the short side. Probably doesn’t have the arm strength you hope for, but it might be enough, and his accuracy is really impressive. In terms of accuracy, I’d say he’s the 3rd best after Mayfield and Kyle Lauletta. Edit: I have Woodside as my #7 QB right now, behind Lamar, Darnold, Allen, Mayfield, Rosen, and Lauletta.

It’s certainly a fair question regarding going through progressions, but to that end, he’s shown far more of it than Darnold, Mayfield, or Rudolph has. Allen and Rosen are ahead of him in that regard though. I think scouts have to rely on private workouts for that stuff a lot more nowadays due to the types of offenses that are run in college.

The offense was in the 10-12 range the two years before this season on a per drive basis.

His completion percentage hides just how huge of a leap he’s made this year. The WR play fell off a cliff this season. Adjusted for drops, he was over 73% of his passes, a higher rate than Darnold and within 1% of Rosen and Rudolph.

For those that haven’t watched full games of his, I highly recommend checking him (and basically every other draft prospect) out through this Google Doc. I’m personally very high on Lamar, but you can decide for yourself by watching these videos that show the good and the bad from him. He definitely sails some passes but I think he’s more accurate than he gets credit for and while he runs a lot of read option, he’s really quite comfortable throwing from the pocket. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/13RgfxMu4CW0NKMZebZ88cgg7b7MlszjfzXxEeId7Y34/htmlview#

As much as I personally don’t think Rudolph should go in the second round, I think this is a pretty realistic mock for what Buffalo might do. It wouldn’t shock me if they traded up for a LB with the skills that Roquon possesses. Having a pair of stud LBs is a huge part of the defensive scheme and I think Payne is a pretty good target with the other first round pick. I’d personally be very upset if they traded up for Rudolph but I guess we’ll see how it goes. If it were up to me, I’d be fine with moving up for Roquon (would prefer a QB though) but wouldn’t bother moving up in the 2nd or taking Rudolph in the 2nd at all. I’d rather get a pass rusher, corner, or RB there and take a QB in the 4th instead. I don’t think Rudolph is any better than the guys you’ll get there and I think the other QB will probably have more upside than Rudolph.

Buffalo could use a WR like Ridley, but he’ll be 24 as a rookie and I think Buffalo has more pressing needs to address. Depends on how free agency goes though. I think targeting Auden Tate in the 2nd or 3rd might be a better move.

I think Lock will be a first rounder next year. Wish he had stayed in this year’s draft to give Buffalo another option.

It does. It honestly blows my mind. I remember watching one of his games earlier this year where he went 9/19 but I swear like 5 or 6 of those incompletions were drops. I don't know how his drop percentage ended up being so low lol

Take away his rushing and his passing numbers alone are still on par with Josh Rosen and Sam Darnold.

ProFootballFocus tracks Drop %: Mayfield: 8.0% Rosen: 7.5% Rudolph: 6.6% Lamar: 8.5% Darnold: 4.3% Allen: 4.8% This is a percentage of drops compared to all attempts (with spikes and throw-aways, and I THINK balls batted at the line removed). I think it's important to note that because for example, Allen's drop % looks very low because his throws are so often off target, but I imagine if you were looking specifically at drop % of catchable balls, Allen's would be much more in line with his peers because his WRs were god awful. But point being, compared to their total adjusted attempts numbers, Lamar had a higher percentage dropped than any of the other top prospects.

He did, but he was also impacted by drops more than any other QB in this draft class. Louisville has a garbage team this season. Taking drops into account, he completed a higher percentage of his passes than Sam Darnold while playing in a more pro-style offense and was better on his deep balls than Darnold too. Not saying he's a better passer than Darnold, but I think Lamar's passing ability tends to be grossly underrated. If you watch any of this year's draft prospects, you'll see all of them miss a lot of throws. Outside of Baker Mayfield and a couple of the small school guys like Kyle Lauletta and Logan Woodside, this isn't a very good class as far as accuracy goes.

Unfortunately the research into this is still so relatively new that we can't really answer that question, especially since we also can't study this until after the person dies. I don't think we really have an idea of how common CTE is yet due to the challenges in researching it.

You're not wrong, but I'm confused why carrying a bad supporting cast to be one of the best offensive teams in the country and a bowl game appearance is viewed as a bad thing.

They may be similar athletes, but Pryor was a poor passer even by college standards. Lamar is a very good passer by college standards.

I assume ProFootballFocus has it for NFL QBs but I’m guessing it’s hidden behind their Deluxe Subscriptions.

Adjusted means that it’s counting dropped passes as completions and removing spikes, throwaways, and balls batted at the line from the equation entirely. ”All” just means it’s looking at all of their attempts after making those adjustments versus qualifiers like “Deep” (20+ yards down the field) and stuff like that.

I'm not picking Lamar for his downside at all. Outside of maybe Josh Allen, I think Lamar has the most upside of all the options. I'm not sure I agree, but even if so, you can find a role for him in the NFL even if it isn't at QB. But I don't think he's very far behind the other QBs in this class as a passer anyways; they all have a lot of room for improvement.