DCOrange

The way I see it, while Allen is a pretty amazing athlete in his own right, Lamar is on a completely different level athletically. Lamar is also a better passer right now than Allen is. Allen has possibly the strongest arm I've ever seen and Lamar does not, but Lamar's arm strength is probably #2 or 3 in this class in his own right while being more accurate than Allen currently is. Both have to clean up their footwork a significant amount, but Lamar is at least comparable as a passer to the other top QBs in this draft class; I don't really think Allen is right now. I also think Lamar is more comfortable in the pocket right now than Allen is.

As a fan of both Allen and Lamar, I really don't understand how someone that likes Allen can possibly dislike Lamar. I can understand people that like Lamar might not like Allen, but the inverse just doesn't make any sense.

Unrestricted Free Agents QB Joe Webb - Go RB Mike Tolbert - Go RB Travaris Cadet - Go RB Taiwan Jones - Camp deal WR Deonte Thompson - Go WR Jordan Matthews - Go WR Brandon Tate - Go WR Jeremy Butler - Idk, camp deal? OT Seantrel Henderson - Go DL Kyle Williams - Stay DL Cedric Thornton - Go LB Preston Brown - Go LB Ramon Humber - Go CB EJ Gaines - Stay if he'll sign for around $5 mil; Go if it'll be close to $10 mil CB Leonard Johnson - Stay if it's super cheap CB Shareece Wright - Stay if it's super cheap S Colt Anderson - Go S Shamarko Thomas - Camp deal Exclusive Rights Free Agents TE Nick O’Leary - Stay TE Logan Thomas - Go DE Eddie Yarbrough - Stay CB Lafayette Pitts - Don't care

As I mentioned above, I'm guessing it's one of two reasons. PFF has graded Tyrod as an above average starter each of the last 3 years; they probably don't think Buffalo needs a replacement They could be expecting Buffalo to look to the draft to fill the need.

They may not think Buffalo needs a QB; they've graded Tyrod out as an above average starter each of the last 3 years. Can't say for certain though; could also be a case where they just think Buffalo will get a QB in the draft.

He seems like a guy that would have been considered a really good LB in a different era. He's just simply not good in coverage at all, which makes him a poor fit for McDermott's scheme IMO. I think Carter at least makes some sense, but it's a pretty rough year to be in the market for a free agent LB.

Taking this post from the Bills sub-reddit: Here's the link for those that have a PFF subscription and can read it: https://www.profootballfocus.com/news/2018-nfl-free-agency-tracker For those that don't have it, PFF publishes a massive PDF breaking down all the free agents-to-be, and part of their breakdown is pairing them up with the team they believe the player is the best fit for. The exact methodology is as follows: The end result is the following list of players for Buffalo, in order of the positions listed in the guide: RB Damien Williams FB Derrick Coleman WR John Brown WR Andre Roberts TE Jeff Cumberland OT Austin Pasztor DT Daequan Jones DT Kyle Williams DE Ezekiel Ansah DE Arthur Moats LB Bruce Carter CB EJ Gaines

This I agree with. I'd take Mahomes over any of the QBs in this year's class honestly.

Not really true, especially if you think the issue is more footwork related rather than simply not having a sense of how to lead WRs (which is debatable, but seems that the leading theory right now is that if you can fix Allen's footwork, the accuracy will come). Matt Stafford, Jay Cutler, Alex Smith, and Cam Newton are four guys that weren't accurate early on but made significant improvements and went on to have pretty good careers. I think we can all agree that Stafford, Cam, and Smith have become above-average QBs, and while Cutler has turned into a meme, he was roughly an above average starter for nearly a decade. And 3 of the 4 don't have the physical tools that Allen does. Allen certainly seems to be the riskiest of the 1st round QBs (assuming teams aren't super worried about Rosen's injury history), but he has incredible potential and it's not unheard of for players to improve their accuracy in the NFL.

You have to put this in the context of where this team was a year ago. Buffalo didn't have all that much cap space to work with, and they spent it on good defensive pickups. I'm not sure this is an issue of talent evaluation so much as it is an issue of a lack of talent, period, as well as being straddled with a terrible offensive coordinator. The Dennison hire scares me more than the talent evaluation aspect does, but I'm glad McDermott was so quick to dump Dennison. Moving forwards, this team still has holes galore, even on the defensive side, but they have more flexibility now to address the holes. It's a long process, but I have faith in them for now at least. Ask me again after this offseason and my answer could change.

I'd rather trade up if that were going to be the strategy. Now taking a QB like Lamar at 21 and then following up with another QB later in the draft (like Lauletta, White, Litton, etc.)? That I could get on board with. With the number of needs this team has, I'm not sure how I feel about a trade up, but I definitely would not be on board with taking multiple QBs in the 1st round.

Dating back to 2010's draft, in order: Sam Bradford Tim Tebow Cam Newton Jake Locker Blaine Gabbert Christian Ponder Andrew Luck Robert Griffin III Ryan Tannehill Brandon Weeden EJ Manuel Blake Bortles Johnny Manziel Teddy Bridgewater Jameis Winston Marcus Mariota Jared Goff Carson Wentz Paxton Lynch Mitch Trubisky Patrick Mahomes Deshaun Watson Edit: I bolded the ones that I think most would agree worked out pretty fine (maybe not Tannehill?) The Underlined might be a little bit too early to say for sure, but they look like they'll probably work out. I didn't touch this past year's class since we've seen so little of all of them.

Yeah, this is how I expect it to play out as well.

If we were already picking in the top 10, I’d love to take him, but I think he’s too risky for me to justify trading up

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1ySojGiZdmVgqgMxgMa-ZZRqrk9Wc2yXdQoh02kIkSQo/mobilebasic

Not sure how to embed the tweets here, but here's a bunch of throws from Allen and one from Mayfield https://twitter.com/DustinFox37/status/956243954936279041 https://twitter.com/DustinFox37/status/956245265559769088 https://twitter.com/DustinFox37/status/956251807373656064 https://twitter.com/DustinFox37/status/956252401685745665 https://twitter.com/DustinFox37/status/956257714614755328

He looked bad in the preseason and the Jags game too, and it was blatantly obvious that even if he does everything else right, the arm strength isn't there for the passes outside the hashes.

Sure, if you theoretically knew it would all pay off in 7 years, you could justify paying the guy until he's actually worth the money, but nobody has that luxury. If you draft a guy and work with him for 4 or 5 years and he still sucks after that time, there's simply no way you can reasonably sign him to another contract with the faith that it'll click in a couple more years. You would have to be certifiably insane.

Any scenario where Peterman is competing for the starting QB job = my nightmare offseason and a complete loss of faith in this front office. He should be competing for a spot on the practice squad.

I promise you that if you worked for an NFL team and told them "We don't need a QB. In 7 years, I have a feeling this guy might be pretty good" and you then proceeded to wait through years of watching said QB suck, you'd be fired long before you ever got near Year 7. It simply isn't an option. If a QB still sucks by the end of their rookie contract, there is no justifiable reason to give them a second contract.

No, I think he was projected as a Day 3 or undrafted guy before this week.

I eliminated a few teams that I don't foresee making any changes. Red = rookies, blue = free agents/trades Arizona: Teddy Bridgewater, Baker Mayfield, scrub veteran Atlanta: Matt Ryan, Kyle Lauletta Baltimore: Joe Flacco, Kurt Benkert Buffalo: Sam Darnold, Nate Peterman Carolina: Cam Newton, scrub veteran (possibly bringing Derek Anderson back) Cleveland: Tyrod Taylor, Josh Allen Dallas: Dak Prescott, Sam Bradford Denver: Kirk Cousins, Trevor Siemien Jacksonville: Blake Bortles, Mike White Kansas City: Pat Mahomes, scrub veteran Miami: Ryan Tannehill, Lamar Jackson Minnesota: Case Keenum, Mason Rudolph New England: Tom Brady, Luke Falk New Orleans: Drew Brees, Chase Litton Jets: Josh Rosen, Petty/Hack Seattle: Russell Wilson, scrub veteran Washington: Alex Smith, Colt McCoy, Riley Ferguson

Is there a source for this? I think it makes a ton of sense for them to be enamored with him, but I hadn't seen anything saying that other than fans using common sense.

Walter is a despicable person, but Charlie Campbell is pretty well-connected and is generally one of the most accurate mock-draft guys out there.