MrEpsYtown

Singletary to me needs volume to be good. he needs 15-25 carries. He needs to be fed and he doesn't do anything else for the offense if he isn't getting the ball. I think he is a very good player, but not the fit for what this offense is now. Neither is Moss. They should not be taking a back in the first round. But they should be looking for a complimentary piece who can catch the ball well. maybe that's James Cook or Rachaad White in round 3. Maybe it's Max Borghi in round 6-7. Maybe it's Jerick McKinnon on Monday But its should not be in round 1 imo.

Even if you back to Singletary's draft year, Jacobs is very good from round one. David Montgomery, player for a terrible team, has stats that are neck and neck with Jacobs and he was a third rounder. The value just isn't there. Another interesting exercise is to look at how many first down running backs have their 5th year option picked up. I get that there are garbage picks at other positions in these drafts. But the value of a running back later in the draft is better. 2019 - I am guessing they pick up Jacobs. hasn't been announced. 2018 - Barkley grudgingly picked up. He's hurt a bunch. Rashaad Penny and Sony Michel declined. Michel has been traded already. 2017 - McCaffrey picked up. He's hurt a bunch. Fournette declined and he was cut. 2016 - Elliot picked up. Career winding down. Losing lots of carriers to a 4th round pick. 2015 - Todd Gurley extended. His career is over. Melvin Gordon picked up. Still rolling in Denver. Lost his job in San Diego to an UDFA. 2012 - Trent Richardson, no and he's done. Doug Martin, declined and retired. David Wilson retired in two years.

Our pick is probably gonna be someone out of left field who no one is talking about, like Tyler Smith.

Two picks I’d LOVE: 25 Trent McDuffie 57 Jalen Pitre Two picks I expect: 25 Andrew Booth 57 Damarvin Leal Two picks I’ll settle for: 25 Kaiir Elam 57 Tre McBride

Agreed. That’s what should happen in that case! Or just take a guy like Ojabo who is a top 15 pick if he isn’t hurt and just redshirt him. RB round 1 feels like a waste.

In his mock, I would have taken Booth. But really aside from Booth, all the corners are gone including Elam and all the receivers are gone including Burks and Dotson and there are no quarterback reaches. If that’s the case I think I would ok with the Hall idea. I really don’t love it, but I much prefer it to a guard or reaching on the next tier of corners.

Yeah I know. A lot of people are acting like his word is truth. Not you dude. Didn’t mean for it to come off that way.

Probably 2015 with Todd Gurley. Also his career is over.

Albright also reported the Browns were taking Darnold. He’s been wrong and right, just like every reporter. Dude isn’t God’s gift to draft secrets.

Yeah i agree in some ways. Lots of smoke there, but rumors like these come out all the time. Like the rumors about the 49ers being obsessed with Mac Jones last year, or that Matt Barkley was guaranteed to be a top ten pick and the Bills were infatuated with him. Or the much loved Ben Albright reporting that the Browns are 100% going to take Sam Darnold. The Hall stuff could be something or it could be complete BS. It’s 50/50.

I think that is just becuase everyone knew Baker was goin to the Browns and that the Jets were gonna take Darnold. So it was 50-50. I know a few people guessed Rousseau. Its just crazy that they would telegraph this move in this way. Its weird.

Nah nobody is gonna trade for those dudes. Using picks on those guys doesn’t make sense when there are a huge crop of guys in the draft. Only Doug Whaley trades picks for guys like Bryce Brown. Moss was inactive all season and Devin has been ok and in the last year of his deal.

I’ll take McDuffie or Booth. I really like McDuffie, thinking the Bills like Booth so I voted Booth. He has everything they want.

All these guys have some sort of flaw. So it comes to the balance of what you are willing to accept. Gardner has a ton of PIs and is skinny, Stingley had a bad injury and hasn't played for awhile, McDuffie has his short arms. I think it is all part of the evaluation. I don't think McDuffie's arm length will hurt him. He held his own against the Michael Pittman's etc of the world. Any how many huge monster wideouts are you really going to see during the year? There are only like 3 or 4 in the league. But, that does not change the fact that there are only a few short armed corners who start on the outside. The math and data is there. So the odds of him staying there are less, and that is where some of the risk lies in his possible selection. Is it because they never got an opportunity or they just weren't good enough? No one really know that. As far as comps, Trent McDuffie is Cortland Finnegan. I can't get that out of my brain. Similar size, length, and athleticism. Finnegan faster and slightly more explosive. McDuffie is just a bit bigger. Now Finnegan was a 7th rounder from a small school who was a draft steal. McDuffie's game is way more refined coming out. Finnegan was an outside corner for many years and finished career in the slot for McDermott and the 2015 Panthers.

I love how the drivers turns on their wipers...like really? What's that gonna do?

I saw somewhere that we met with Rachaad White like 4 times and we could be looking at him in the middle rounds. He is a big dude. Runs 4.48, can catch and run it and has got pro coaching with Herm Edwards, Brian Billick, and Marvin Lewis.

I think Bradberry is out pretty much no matter what. I think he will struggle in that press man scheme. So he is miscast and expensive. He is the perfect pickup for us because he's a seasoned vet who is in his prime and can help us pursue a Super Bowl. I think a Bradberry move could go down on day 2 if the Bills miss out on all the top corners.

I think there are 4 high tier guys. Then like 3-4 right under. Then the rest. I think they should aim for one of the top 4. Gardner, Stingley, McDuffie, Booth, you could include Hill if you project him at corner. Then the next tier is like Elam, Emerson, Woolen etc etc. Again all my opinion.

It is interesting how "the lunch pail high motor guy" is always a white dude

Awesome stuff @Virgil Thanks

I think there is going to be way too many commercials and not enough analysis. I also predict that I will want to punch Trey Wingo very hard after about 35 minutes of cliche’ lame exaggerations and hyperbole.

Yeah its funny. Elam has a ton of flaws in his game and he seems soft in some ways. McDuffie has all kinds of great measurable and intangibles and his knowledge and execution of zone concepts is excellent. He is also stronger and more explosive. Elams arms 30 7/8ths McDuffie 29.75 When all those boxes are checked, really is an inch going to be a dealbreaker?

This is gold. Well done.

Gotta be Breece Hall no?

They aren’t rebuilding imo. Based on everything they are doing this offseason. They need a WR and a LT. They couldn’t afford Armstead who is always hurt anyway. Its actually a really good roster and Winston was playing well before he got hurt. They have a veteran line except a LT, they have Kamara, Mike Thomas, Marshon Lattimore, Cam Jordan, Marcus Davenport, they just signed Marcus Maye and they hired a new coach from within. That is not a rebuild.