pennstate10

All the EVIDENCE (new stadium $$, spending over the cap for the past several years by pushing $$ into the future) shows that Pegula is very willing to spend money on the Bills. You’ve just got some byzantine conspiracy theory based on the Yankees and Jerry Jones that makes no sense whatsoever.

???Cmon, think it through. Pegula has a personal net worth of $5-10 billion, and the Bills are probably worth $3 billion. And Bills have spent up to the cap the past 5 years while chasing Bills first ever Super Bowl win. So with a team this close he’s going to discard one of the key players for a few million, that would then be spent on a different player anyway? Really? Yeah, Bills may trade or extend Dawkins. But that would have nothing whatsoever to do with the stadium cost. SMH

Thanks! That actually makes sense.

Any chance he can catch on as a Sabres goalie?

Thanks. Who determines whether an incentive is “not likely to be earned”? Apparently, one of Vons incentives is 2 sacks. I would guess that is likely to be earned, based on his improved play, and likelihood for increased snaps this coming year.

I’m not going to say you’re a dumb@ss, because that’s against board policies. But you’re not a smart @ss.

The answer to your question is in the 2nd post in the thread.

Heres how I see it. Only once in the history of the NFL draft have more than 6 WR been taken n the first round. That was 2004, 7 were taken, including one at 29 and one at 31. So I'm thinking at most 6 WR, maybe only 4-5, will be off the board by the time Bills pick. I also think Worthy is now the 4 WR pick; some GM wont be able to resist that speed. Which leaves Thomas, Mitchell, Leggette, Franklin all as realistic possibilities. I like them all, in pretty much that order. Given the wealth of really good WR on the board, Id be pretty disappointed if we go DE, DT, or S in first round.

Not quite sure of your math. How do you reason 11 coaches higher than McD. I see 3 coaches graded higher than McD.

I was never a Dickerson fan, but I remember these comments. Dickerson was trying to be like Madden, calling OL big uglies and slobs as a compliment. It was all tongue in cheek. Im not sure if Redskins Hogs weren’t smart enough to figure that out, or if they were just being fed the “he’s dissin you” line by their coaches. I sorta think the former. I’ve lived in DC area the last 20 yrs, Jacoby ain’t exactly the sharpest bulb.

He and his sidekick (Art Wander) were both grade A aholes. Dickerson would say he only wanted to hear strong opinions, strongly held. In other words, people who wouldn’t compromise, and wouldn’t change their opinions, no matter what the facts were. In a microcosm, everything that’s wrong with the US today.

Just to give some perspective on these "grades". Which I put in quotes because there is a fair degree of subjectivity here. Its not like a multiple choice test where there are clear right and wrong answers. I think we all need to take these grades with a huge grain of salt. The Athletic grades are entirely from Joe Buscaglia, a very good writer for The Athletic. The PFF grades, as I understand things, are based upon numerous different evaluators, with some evaluators being better than others. I'm not saying one set is better than the other. But from my observations, I think that Buscaglia's grades match what I see better than do PFF. Dodson being an example. Per PFF, he was markedly better than Bernard, and one of the best LB in the entire NFL. Per Buscaglia, Bernard was clearly the better player.

Given our cap situation, I don’t see signing any new top tier FA. If the money is right, my initial priorities would be 1. DQ Jones 2. AJ Epenesa 3. Taylor Rapp or Gilman at S Thats it. I’d pick up 1-2 WR in rinds 1-3, and then another WR in the second round of FA post draft and June 1

OK, let’s think this through. Bradshaw, Brady, Mahomes, and Montana. These are the best QBs of the superbowl era. Anyone disagree? Whats the common theme in their draft positions? Nothing !! Not a f,,,ing thing! Drafting QBs is a crapshoot. For every example like this, there is an example of trading three 1s and a 2 for Robert Griffin. Or Sam Darnold. KC gambled and won. Good for them. Put it to rest.

I’d never looked at that drive chart 5 drives of 54-75 yds and no turnovers. Should be good for 3 TD and 2 FG. But Bills had no short field easy scoring drives. Bills have been missing the aggressive D that gives you short fields in playoff games.

A quality WR2 is going to get a $12-15 million per year contract. You could push some of that into the future, but then 2025-26 become worse cap years. I don’t think Bills have cap space to sign a quality WR2, and other minor FA pickups or resigning (DL, S). Bills could sign a lesser quality FA WR, which is what I think they do.

TM doesn’t play on defense and his ST play doesn’t even warrant the vet minimum. It drives me nuts that we have older, “elite” ST players but don’t have close to elite ST play. Have younger players play ST.

I don’t think either Chop Robinson or Adissa Issac are first round talents. Both round 2-3 guys. Abdul Carter is moving to DE this coming year. HE is a first round edge player. Re: WR. If Franklin is there at 28, he’s a steal. Someone mentioned a similar skill set to Desean Jackson. I think this is mostly correct. Both smooth gliders. But Franklin doesn’t have Jackson short area quickness.

Dalton K . has entered the chat

Your source may well be correct, but most of Bill reporters and NFL observers state that Jones should be a top priority for Bills to resign. I guess we’ll learn within a month.

If your source is correct, I’d guess that Jones has a nice house in Nashville, where he played for 8 years. Not impossible to imagine that he agreed with family to live in Bflo during the season and then go back to a home in Nashville. I’ve never lived in Nashville but I’d guess that winters there are more pleasant than Bflo.

So, I'm going to double down, and say that not only is this graph useless, the entire premise of "clutch" QB is not really useful. Lets consider football vs baseball. Football is a team game. Baseball is a series of 1 on 1 (pitcher vs batter) competitions. So, yes, baseball may have "clutch" players. But, as a team game, football has clutch TEAMS, not QBs. The current KC Chiefs and the 2000-2020 Pats were clutch TEAMS. The Bills, sad to say, are not currently a clutch TEAM. They may be in the future, but they are not now. To consider how silly it is to talk about a clutch QB, lets think about SB XXV. If Norwood hits a field goal (which, basically, was the same as flipping a coin), then Kelly is suddenly a "clutch" QB who guided his team to a last minute SB victory. But Kelly has nothing whatsoever to do with Norwoods kick. Hes watching on the sidelines, just like the rest of us. Or as discussed above, if McD defense performs better in 13 sec in 2021, then Josh is suddenly a better, more clutch QB. Really? Or if Diggs catches a long ball in 2023, Josh is suddenly a better QB. It makes far more sense to talk about clutch TEAMS, not players. The facts are that Allen is an excellent QB, who typically gives his team a chance to win. So is Mahomes. Yet this graph suggests that Josh is unicorn good, while Mahomes is well below average. One of the 3 very worst QBs in the league, per this graph. Does no one else have a problem with this? The chart is simply garbage, but because good old Kurt has GraphPad prism to make fancy charts, this is all of a sudden the gospel truth. SMH

Why would you use any measurement if it doesn’t help you analyze a decision? Thats pretty clearly what op was saying. Using this great measurement, he concludes that Josh Allen is the greatest thing since sliced bread. While Mahomes is garbage. I’m a huge Allen fan, and think Mahomes is a whiner. But facts are facts, and this measurement is useless. It drives me nuts that some folks think they’ve discovered a new science named “analytics “. Which is simply probability and statistics rebranded. and most of the analytics I see fail to validate their tools. The first post in this thread is a good example.

My point still stands. Any time someone comes up with a new metric, ie “Win probability added per dropback”, you should ask yourself, how is this calculated? And more importantly, has this been shown to be predictive on an independent data set? Until I see evidence that this measurement is truly predictive, I’ll consider it useless.