SCBills

Lol

Nate Silver’s model has Trump now in the lead.

Theres definitely a realignment going on. Reliably red states in AZ, GA & NC now battlegrounds. Same for the “Blue Wall” of PA, MI & WI. Florida and Ohio becoming reliably red, while Colorado and Minnesota move further blue. Arizona GOP voter registration advantage has doubled recently, but in Fox News polling, Harris is up 8 point amongst those who have moved there in the last 10 years. Unmarried women becoming an absolute monster of a voting group for Dems, which is helping to build Dem vote w/ minorities in Georgia (Atlanta), NC (Charlotte/Raleigh) and AZ (Phoenix) while the white working class moves to the right in the Rust Belt.

This is actually the best political analysis on the current media hysterics..

The Gold Star families invited Trump. The Gold Star families made it known neither Biden nor Harris have called them. Seems your issue is with the Gold Star families, not me.

Harris is running for President, which is why I specifically reference her here. Maybe Dana Bash can ask her about being last in the room and if she feels any remorse over how their plan unfolded. Ask if she has reached out to the families, despite their allegations otherwise and/or now plans to as Presidential nominee. Are you questioning the Gold Star Families? They are frustrated with the administration for not reaching out.. That’s not me alleging this.. I didn’t lose a loved one on at Abbey Gate. Do you think the tarmac moment suffices?

It’s an interesting dynamic. Trump is about as well defined a candidate as we’ve ever seen. Nothing can really harm him.. also, not much can help him. Kamala Harris is an empty suit who just benefitted from a month of glowing coverage, ending with the DNC. Nobody really knows who she is, but at the same time.. maybe that doesn’t even matter. Will be interesting to see if Trump can move the needle nationally.. which probably would have more to do with Kamala Harris becoming more defined than anything Trump himself does to lift his favorables. Either way.. the biggest surprise for me is the very real outcome that could be Kamala winning GA/NC and Trump winning PA & MI or WI. Kemp is starting to do some heavy lifting for Trump in Georgia, headlining a fundraiser for him this weekend, so if I had to guess, a Trump/Kemp rally in Georgia could happen .. and might “need” to happen if Harris continues to make inroads in the peach state. In reality.. it should’ve never gotten to this point .. Trump left himself open with that unhinged attack on Kemp in Atlanta and ever since then, Kamala has closed the gap.

How lovely..

Which is? Because all the polling seems stagnant now with the battleground states all toss-ups. I honestly don’t know what anyone expected .. it seems the convention bounce was probably already baked in by the candidate swap bounce and now it’s a tie ball game after weeks of the best coverage any candidate has ever received.

This is where I lose my ish over the Trump discourse. I think it’s pretty well known that I think he’s lost his fastball, is a child and wish we had any other candidate. So I’m not trying to defend him from weird nonsense like this. What I have no time for, is how this is somehow a story.. when he was literally invited by Gold Star Families .. meanwhile, his opponent brags about being last in the room when the dumpster fire of a plan was executed by this administration, leading to 13 fallen soldiers, of whom none of their families have been contacted by Biden or Harris. But Trump thumbs up is the problem here…

My argument is that Trump was invited by Gold Star Families and had the decency to show up, while Kamala Harris hasn’t had the decency to even express her condolences to the families who lost their loved one due to poor decision making she was directly involved in. Your argument is that Trump, like Biden, like many other politicians, blurred the lines on political usage at Arlington Cemetery … even as the Gold Star Families, who have been through enough, have to issue a statement defending him, as our press decides that this is the story that needs to be weaponized for political purpose. Not the fact that these families are going on 3 years with nothing from the current administration that their family members gave their life for. I think my argument is quite coherent. You, on the other hand, are screeching over - yet another - media manipulated Trump attack. Do you ever tire of being such an easy mark?

Apparently more difficult that you’d realize…

Yes, I prefer the guy who pretends to care over the people who caused this to happen with their incompetence and can’t even be bothered to express condolences to the families. When it’s been 3 years and still they can’t reach out, yet somehow Trump visiting the cemetery at the request of Gold Star families is the story our media is fixated on…

“I just want this to end” Says the man upset the media makes this the story, when Trump was invited by Gold Star Families and had the decency to show up.. compared to Biden/Harris, who it’s now being reported have never reached out to the families. Those that can’t separate Trump’s actual problems (and he has many) from the media contrived issues that they then project on him, are why a Harris Presidency is a real possibility. Low info, easily manipulated voters who still believe the media is an accurate arbiter of the truth.

I’d agree. It seems to be projection from an agent on what he believes is going on over there. Jets fans seem to think this is coming from Reddick’s camp. …which if true, would actually be better evidence of “disarray”.

It’s based on an anonymous agent speaking to Ben Standig of The Athletic. Not sure if that’s any better or not.. but that’s where it’s coming from.

https://bleacherreport.com/articles/10133530-nfl-agent-says-aaron-rodgers-isnt-a-team-player-jets-are-in-total-disarray

Mostly true, and we don’t know exactly what we have in these guys, but Alec Anderson, Ryan Van Demark and Ja’Marcus Ingram are all guys we developed on the PS, who are now 53 guys. And it seems now, more than ever (or maybe it’s just confirmation bias) teams are calling up PS guys all year due to injury. Richard Gouraige and Mike Edwards strike me as guys who could compete for the 53 next year, especially if we let Spencer Brown walk and perhaps Van Demark & Grable are competing for that spot. I also like having vets in KJ Hamler & Kareem Jackson on the PS just in case .. baseline level guys at uncertain positions, who we can play, if needed, and expect them to at least be competent out there.

Trump Campaign needs to figure out a way to maximize Nicole Shanahan for suburban mom outreach. She is an incredible follow on X and speaks directly to them.

Pretty easy actually.. Allen is the only player we have who steps up in the brightest moments. Everyone else, so far, plays at the same level or chokes. Compared to a team that collectively steps up in the Playoffs around Mahomes. Injuries play a part too, but that just can’t be the excuse when it’s every year thus far.

Account is followed by a ton of disaffected Dem women from affluent areas that I’ve followed and/or interacted with on the app, so I think it’s legit.

Interesting takeaway from Mark Halperin here..