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BullBuchanan

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Everything posted by BullBuchanan

  1. "I'm" not choosing anything. As previously stated, I don't really care about the stat and I don't have strong opinions about what it means/doesn't mean. All I'm pointing out is that being good at something in the past, then recently being really bad at it will make people say and believe you're really bad at it, because that's where the trend is. Sports isn't like the market, it's much more short term because. What the true measure of McD as a coach over a career in close games? Who knows. Going for it was pretty clearly the right call. Had they kicked the FG, the bills would've had 4 downs and a 1:30 to move the ball 2 more yards to win. I'd take the Bills for all the money in that spot.
  2. For a redshirt rookie 6th round pick, he's doing a nice job. The fact that him and JJ have even made the team is impressive, and Hamlin has made some flash plays. Maybe he isn't a long term answer at the position, and that's ok. If he is, it's a massive get.
  3. Why did you translate? Was my post in a different language? Most of the time when people translate posts around here, they do it incorrectly. This is one of those times.
  4. So change the argument that they were good at a thing 3 years ago that they've recently been bad at and see how many people care? I don't even have a horse in this race. I'm just here to defend the concept of trends.
  5. 2020 isn't included because it wasn't part of the trend. It's not a narrative, it's stats. They were good, and then they were bad. 1 deviation from an existing trend doesn't change the trend, but it's the only way to start. What does it look like 7-8 years out? 20-30 years out? They were in an uptrend, then in a downtrend. where they go from here is undetermined. What you're doing here is called "projecting". My argument is precisely the opposite of your claim because it takes previous trend into account. You're popping the champagne after the first 1 score victory in the last 8 and declaring all previous data invalid. In your words, you're down $6500 and celebrating your recent $500 win. I don't need any further argument because my previous argument stands.
  6. cutoffs have to exist somewhere when analyzing data. I don't think it's guilty of any severe manipulation but rather just showing recent history. The further you go back, the less relevant the information is to current trends. It's an objective fact backed up by data that they haven't won one-score games in recent history until yesterday. It's not a "narrative". Yesterday's win is awesome though does nothing to change the previous data.
  7. 1-7 in the last two years and 0-13 under McD when trailing by 10 or more at the half, but all previous data now invalid. 100% winning percentage in 1 score games and when down 17 points at halftime since October 2nd 2022 - present. That's how it works, right?
  8. I was at first most surprised that Ferguson had so many passing yards playing in the era that he did. After lookin up his stats, I was more surprised that he played his last game in 1990. 1973-1990 is absolutely bonkers. What massive differences in the game, the dynamics of the league, travel, medicine, culture etc after such a long time.
  9. Mitch isn't even very good though. He's a mediocre C with no grit and injury history who's paid like a top C. We need an upgrade at the spot.
  10. It's too bad you didn't accept my offer. It turns out your prediction was only 88 yards and 2 TDs short as I expected. That 4/12/0 is right on cue for a 33 year old has-been.
  11. Chris Harris Jr is still out there.
  12. I think Allen has played outstanding ball this season. Despite the moxie he showed yesterday, I think if the season ended today Hurts would get MVP. As much as it disgusts me, I think Tua is in the conversation too. It's still very early only time not too long ago, Trent Edwards was an early MVP candidate.
  13. Well, one is impossible and the other unlikely. The "healthy" team part is already over. We lost our All-pro safety for the year and possibly forever. It also remains to be seen if Tre White will be able to regain form.
  14. Melvin Ingram is a top flight pass rusher and was playing that side at least some of yesterday.
  15. Grades on a game by game basis don't mean that much and can be influenced heavily by a couple of big plays in either direction like the TD he gave up.
  16. If shade was really the difference between 20+ players suffering from medical issues or not, then I would have expected our staff to know this and take every possible measure to do something about it and petition the league as well as the competition committee. Seems like a very solvable problem, and it's not like it's the first time we've played in Miami or the first time Miami has been hot.
  17. What was Miami's secret then? Were they just lucky?
  18. Since when have we shown an ability to play well in the snow? 1993?
  19. Watching McD in close games reminds me of: 8e325a8d-47cc-42ab-92d1-af8557e65a71.mp4
  20. I bought eggs for breakfast from the gas station at $6 a dozen instead of the grocery store so I could make it home in time for kickoff. Sorry guys. 🥺
  21. There's no such thing as a meaningless loss in the NFL, unless you're already planning on the team golfing in January.
  22. Considering he has a career average of 3.4 TDs per season and 38.3 yards per game, I'd say that's pretty unlikely. I'm happy to offer you +300 on it though if you'd like
  23. How can you say that at this point? I would think there's a high chance he could end up retiring from this. He'll be 32 in a couple months and this is not a minor injury.
  24. Early signs point to this season being very underwhelming for competition across the league. A bunch of teams might make the playoffs that have no business being there. SF just became one of the top 2 teams in the NFC with Trey Lance getting hurt. Not impressed with anyone else over there. Maybe Brady puts it together or maybe it's finally the year he's all done. Too early to say. In the AFC the Bills and Chiefs are the only real teams. The Chargers will win big games but are still too inconsistent. The dolphins are pretenders - Bills by 20. Cinci may bounce back but they clearly have problems, same with Titans. Baltimore could be alright. If Cleveland can hang around, maybe Watson makes them a contender. Indy looks the worst they've been in 20 years somehow. Pitt, Hou, NYJ, NE, Jax, going nowhere. Raiders gonna Raider.
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