TPS

Are we trading a pick? Or are you assuming they pick someone not on the list? Bills have 30, 61, and 93

He's got a pretty good track record too: https://steelersdepot.com/2020/04/looking-back-at-gil-brandts-2019-top-100-draft-prospect-rankings-7-year-success-rates/ Most interesting ranking for me is how he has LBs Werner and JOK the reverse of what most have. Wonder if JOK could be the big nickel McD wants?

I don't know, it seems like being an a$$ and process compatible are mutually exclusive to me.

As the resident alien says, "Humans, they are so dumb."

Doesn't sound like a process guy. It'll be interesting to see if they Bills do their due diligence on him though.

Not many will give up a 2022 R1. I've run the draft simulator a lot, and it gives the Bills a lot of options for trading back and picking up an R2 in 2022. Depending on who is available at 30, one of my strategies has been to move back and pick up assets to use for a move up in 2022. You still get a few good players this year, and you have the assets to move into the top 10 next year for that edge rusher. No idea what the pool looks like next year, but this year seems to be full of potential boom-bust types.

This makes Brown's comment all the more interesting....

The decision to keep 9 or 10 will depend on the overall quality of the roster. Right now it looks like 10. The most competitive groups currently are DL and WR. Don’t see any tough decisions elsewhere?

Yeah, that's why I put Josh in the mix. The dude is only going to get better too.

So, how does a guy like Foster go from 500+ yards his rookie year, then pretty much nothing after that...? I suppose it was a combination of Josh and a crap WR group.

They need someone as their return man, so I think they will find him in the draft.

It makes sense with the Bills O.

Sorry, I meant it as post-June 1 retirement, since the discussion was about possible retirement.

Yeah, it looks like the only option that saves them $ is a post-June 1 cut. I was trying to find details on Brees' restructure, but can't figure out how reducing his base this year saved them money. Doing the post-June cut does for sure. By hook or by crook, Beane will find a way to save $ on this, if he does retire...

I was off by a few days...

The way he's set up the other contracts, I'd guess Feliciano's cap hit this year will be under $5 mil easily.

I'm on board with the emphasis on D. I'm settling in to the idea the Bills should focus the first 3 picks on D. Tampa showed how to beat KC, and the Bills can establish an elite D with a few more pieces. My hope is they sign a good Edge rusher in FA, if it's financially feasible, so I would only go DE if the right person on their list fell. My two strategies: Without trading back. 30. S Moehrig I think he is the kind of chess piece missing for McD, that hybrid big nickel. 61. CB While D. Jackson might be an upgrade to Wallace, it's not certain. You still want an upgrade in talent there. 93. DT I want another run stuffer, and the guy I like is Togiai, though they may need to move up from 93 to get him. The alternative is similar to @NewEra strategy, trade back into the 45ish range to pick up an additional pick in the 70s. Pick 1: CB, someone like Newsome or Asante should be available here 61. S Nasirildeen also projected as that big nickel type Pick 2 from trade I'd get DT Togiai here. 93. At this point, I'd go O and select someone like TE Tremble or C Meinerz. Defense wins championships is not a cliche. Build an elite D. Yes, the Bills could use another playmaker on O, but those playmakers didn't help against Tampa's D. In fact, the reason I'd go all in on D is because we have Allen, which makes our O as good as almost any.

That's an excellent cap # for Williams in 2021.

Can't they do what Brees did?

I wouldn't expect more than a couple million--$5m is pretty drastic. I'm happy to see he took a cut though.

My current best guess of who the Bills would target is Moehrig, for that Big Nickel hybrid role.

Dammit! Now I have to run that stupid simulator another 20 times taking out RT as a priority in R1-2...

It is surprising. I don't know many people here who thought they could keep both. I'm assuming the numbers are similar to Milano's in the sense the 2021 cap # is low relative to years 2 and 3.

I've run that draft simulator quite a few times, and he tends to go in the 25 - 35+ range. Before this workout...

Yes, and my thought is just a hunch based on the rumor that started this thread, so take it with slightly more than a grain, just slightly....