TPS

Yeah, this is always interesting with the TSW mocks, there are always some R1 prospects who drop into R2 who most likely don't in the real deal.

(From the #3 tee...) Trade! The NY Giants have traded pick 27 (acquired from the Ravens) to the Steelers of Pittsburgh for pick 24. The teams have agreed to swap round 2 picks. The Steelers get pick 42 in exchange for pick 55. With the 24th pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, the New York football Giants select Azeez Ojulari, Edge, Georgia. The Jacksonville Jaguars and @Newera are on the clock. On the move back from 11, the Giants were tempted to take a sexier pick in one of the top 3 WRs, but acquiring Orlando Brown Jr gives them bookend tackles to protect Gettleman’s franchise QB Daniel Jones. Most likely, they move Thomas to the right side where he can immediately unleash his all-pro potential (and it keeps Brown from whining). With Ojulari, the Giants land the last of, in their view, the top three edge rushers in the draft. Most of the Giants pressure in 2020 came from the dominant Leonard Williams in the middle. Ojulari gives them the outside pressure they need and is a nice fit in DC Patrick Graham’s multi-front schemes. Giants GM feels very good about taking care of two significant needs with their first round moves, and, most important, the trade allows him to get in his round of golf without the undue pressure of holding up version 2.0 of the draft

@Virgil did you see the pm on trade?

Okay, there will be a trade at 24, if confirmed...

There is a pending trade accepted and awaiting confirmation. Oops! sorry, the trade is at 24, contingent on Jets’ pick.

Great. It looks like I'll be making my pick from the golf course again.

Given we'll see 5 QBs going in the top 10, some very good players will slide, which will make it more enticing for teams, especially since there is a drop off in talent in the second half of R1. I'd be shocked to see Parsons make it to 17, but I can certainly see a team or two trying to move up to 13 or 14 to nab him if he's still on the board. I think the real draft is going to be wild. Can't wait. I have my annual "meeting" April 29 with someone connected to the Bills, so I always try to pry a few nuggets. He said the McBeane era has really tightened the loose lips though.

If you believe the rankings I used to generate a "consensus top 31", he was the last of the top 12. There is a clear fall off before moving into the next group from 13-21.

With all of the QBs going by pick 8, it's made the cost of moving up a tad cheaper. In the real deal, I won't be surprised if there are several trades on day 1, but maybe not this many.

While we're waiting for Logic to rise from his slumber, the Giants will entertain offers to move back, but it would take a heck of an offer if you're past #20.

Yes, thanks! I saw the images in the clipboard area, but couldn't figure out how to delete.

Sign him! What's the hold up? (Yes, it's a bad pun.)

I’ll take any team you want to dole out, or I’ll be happy to let someone have the opportunity to participate who didn’t get to in mock 1. oh, except for the Bucs. I refuse to be involved with anything associated with Brady...

What are your thoughts on Oweh? When I wrote the conclusion to the rankings, I remembered this thread by @MAJBobby:

It's basically what I did with the 7 rankings I listed. Last year, TheAthletic had a consensus list with some 40+ rankings, so I'm waiting to see if that comes out again.

There are too many CB needy teams for the top 3 to fall to 30, and, as I said, I don't believe Newsome will be there either. Teams will do their due diligence on Farley, and someone will grab him before 30 for sure. If you take my stats with more than a grain of salt, there is a 2.5% chance Horn will be available at 30.

*** Update: The Athletic came out with their consensus big board of the top 300 prospects using over 50 ranking sites. I added that comparison on the last page. Turns out my sample was a good picture of their ranking. I have a link to their big board on that update. Wanting to avoid a tedious chore, I decided to play around with the prospect rankings and did a "consensus" average using 7 publicly available rankings: Jeremiah, Brandt, Brugler, CBS, NFL.com, Sporting News, and The Draft Network. I make no claim about how good or bad these sources are, and given there is so much variability, I decided to drop the worst ranking for each prospect, then calculated their average ranking. If there was a tie, the prospect with the lower standard deviation (not shown) is ranked ahead of the other. Some comments based on the outcome: 1. The obvious: there is a consensus #1. 2. There appears to be a consensus top 12; then a consensus among the 13 - 21 group; and also among the remaining top 22 - 31. My meaning here is that there is a jump or gap in the average ranking values greater than 2.5. For example, moving from Surtain (11) to Vera-Tucker (13.8), the difference is 2.8; going from Ojulari (20.8) to Ettiene (23.2) the gap is 2.4; and while the gap between Jones and Newsome is also 2.4, there were no other prospects who averaged close to 30 (Mayfield was next at 33.2). 3. Prospects who seem to be the most difficult to rank, as measured by the standard deviation (in parentheses) of their best 6 rankings: #14 Farley (7.8); #17 Paye (5.6); #19 Phillips (5.5); #22 Ettiene (7.8); #24 Moehrig (9.3); #25 Rousseau (10.2); #26 Barmore (9.7); #27 Oweh (6.7); #30 Jones (6.7); and #31 Newsome (5.9). What sticks out here are the edge rushers, all of which have high standard deviations (Ojulari's was the lowest at 4.5). I'd say these #s suggest there is no consensus on who the top edge rusher is between Paye, Phillips, and maybe Ojulari. 4. What might this mean for the Bills? I think it's safe to say the first 21 prospects will be gone, and you can throw in QB Jones for 22. If anyone drops out of the top 22, it would be Farley, given his standard deviation of almost 8 (the high variability is probably due to his back surgery). It would seem the only edge rushers who might be there at 30 are Rousseau and Oweh (Ossai wasn't close to making the top 30). I don't think the Bills would select Barmore or Toney, and I don't think that Farley will fall that far. I also expect Newsome will go before 30. So, my guess is one of the following players will be there for the Bills: Oweh, Rousseau, Moehrig, Collins, and possible Ettiene. My personal choice here would be, in order, Oweh, Moehrig, then maybe Ettiene. However, a trade back might be the optimal decision, especially if Oweh is gone. 5. Finally, of the sources I used, The Sporting News was closest to my consensus average ranking, then Brugler (I took the difference between my rank and where they ranked the prospect, then summed up the differences for all 31 players). The farthest off from this consensus ranking was Brandt. If anything, this little exercise has made me less certain about who the Bills should take at 30. (Sorry, I tried several ways to increase the font, but none worked) [Edit: if the viewer clicks on the image, a large version appears] Can't seem to delete the extra images. [Edit: done. scroll down to "uploaded images", click on the "trash can" for the extras]

I think they'll try to find their big nickel (S) in the draft and add a CB.

Good question! This year is really tough for me, given their draft position and the drop off in talent after about 20. In the simulator, I always took CB Newsome if he was there. He has moved up the rankings to where he's gone by pick 30 now (by the way, kudos to @GunnerBill as he was high on Newsome from the get-go). The Bills have a lot of areas where a stud pick could help. I'd be okay with Harris, a WR who falls (Bateman?), an Edge, and a CB. Then there's someone like JOK, who I voted for in the TSW mock. The best move might even be to move back and pick up another pick in the first 3 rounds. That said, I would really like to see the Bills pick either Dickerson or Meinherz as a the heir to Morse. Too many desires and not enough picks...

Looks like there's been a lot of movement in their rankings. Rousseau, for example, is now ranked at 34, Newsome at 20, and Farley at 31. Just noticed Jamin Davis made a big move too, into R1.

I'm sure this was posted somewhere, but thought it would be appropriate here too. https://www.yahoo.com/sports/2021-nfl-draft-notre-dame-113028382.html

The good thing is, if Beane says Moore, and whoever takes the pick to the officials writes down Elijah, it won't be a mistake. I still wonder if Buddy meant T-Y instead of T-J in 2012...

There's the vet OG. Next a S.

Yeah, I'd say they add another S and OG at least.

If you do a search using "dyami brown" you will find quite a few thoughts and comments about him.