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Kirby Jackson

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Everything posted by Kirby Jackson

  1. It’s a fair point but again, if average Joe consumer is paying for those tickets at an insane markup, isn’t that what the market will support? That’s why I specifically used that Leafs at Sabres example. The Leafs fans are willing to pay a number that most casual Sabres fans aren’t willing to pay. The Sabres fans that own many of those seats are willing to accept that insane price even if it is from a Leafs fan. I think that the bots are more of an issue for one off events like a concert. You are limited with alternatives for something like that. It’s not like, “I wanted Taylor Swift tickets but their too expensive so I’ll go see Jethro Tull.” You can get tickets to see your team play pretty easily. It’s just more expensive on a weekend and vs. a better opponent. That has always been the case. Teams just weren’t sophisticated enough to implement variable pricing until 20 years or so. If you’re a Yankee fan and want to see them in the stadium, you can see them play the Twins on a Tuesday night for $11. If you want to see them play the Dodgers on a Saturday, it’s going to cost more.
  2. Metcalf ran a 10.36 100M. Harbor ran 10.12!! That’s faster than Tyreek Hill (10.19). He’s also an inch taller and 5 lbs. heavier than DK. Metcalf is the closest comp but as I said, “we have never seen this.” We haven’t. Harbor is still only 18 so who knows where he ends up.
  3. Just came across this tweet and started reading about him. My goodness!! We are a couple of years away but this is a level of size/athleticism that we have probably never seen.
  4. Lots of thoughts on the topic: - Fees have gotten crazy (specific to the primary market). - Because a venue only has 1 ticketing partner it is realistic to control those fees. They have a right to make money but they also are a monopoly in a sense. - The secondary market cannot and should not be regulated. It’s basic supply and demand. The tickets cost what someone is willing to pay and someone else is willing to accept. That’s the Leafs at Sabres model. - It’s hard for new ticket brokering sites to gain market share because TM & Stub Hub have so much $. It’s tough for anyone to close that gap. - Whoever can master a calculated gamble on futures would be able to find an audience. As an example of what I am referring to is something like, “pay $200 for the right to buy 2 Bills playoff tickets for all rounds at face value. If the Bills don’t host you're out $200. If they get there, you saved a bunch of money.” People have tried stuff like this but none have been really successful to my knowledge. It’s like the prop swap concept for those gamblers out there. It’s more of a big sporting event concept but it’s interesting imo.
  5. I think that the Bills will have roughly 1100 defensive snaps (give or take). I’m thinking that he plays about 35%. That’s 385 defensive snaps. Let’s say that 250 of those are pass plays (probably conservative for how he will be used). He needs to get to the QB on 2% of the plays.
  6. I mean, that’s not a huge number. For context 4.5 sacks would have him tied for 99th last year. It’s really not crazy.
  7. I’m not trying to be “that guy” but I think that it’s important to add Javon Solomon to the mix. He led college football in sacks and plays a position of need. He’s going to play meaningful snaps at an impact position. I have his o/u at 4.5 sacks.
  8. I’ll own it. Guys that can get to the passer, can get to the passer. I’ll set an o/u of 4.5 sacks for him.
  9. My brother is on a plane right now with Beane. I told him to ask, “why does he only like slow guys?” 😂😂
  10. I don’t think that they’re great but have produced. I’m way more concerned about the WR group because they don’t have anyone that requires attention. The DL at least has Oliver. If Von ever bounces back, they’re difficult to account for. They have a bunch of guys that are pretty good and 1 guy at an all-pro(ish) level.
  11. I guess that I don’t think Floyd is as big of a loss. They were okay there last year. He was really good until like Thanksgiving. Toohill had 6.5 sacks and Solomon led the nation. That combination, with Von getting healthy, can hopefully offset Floyd’s departure. They were 4th in the league in sacks so they got pressure. Is it crazy to think that Toohill, Solomon, Von, Epenesa and Rousseau combine for 30 sacks? You can get another 15ish out of the guys on the inside and 5-10 out of everyone else and you’re back near the league lead in sacks.
  12. For me, this isn’t a huge deal at this point. It is voluntary. It does probably indicate that the 2 sides aren’t as close as we have been led to believe. I hope that they get it done soon. The least thing that I want is Tua falling off and Miami escaping without his contract being an anchor.
  13. Solomon could absolutely contribute this year. He has a knack of getting to the passer despite some limitations in terms of length. WR and edge are different types of needs. The problem at WR is that you’re missing the top of the depth chart. You don’t have a number 1 and may not have a number 2. Your 3-10 would stack up against any team in the league. If Shakir, Coleman, Samuel, MVS, Hollins, etc… had 2 guys above them (or at least 1 alpha) they would be fine. DE is a little thin but have a clear top. Toohill had 6.5 sacks last year (at least I think). Solomon led college football in sacks. It isn’t great but it’s a serviceable room. They too are missing an alpha (unless Von returns to form) but they’ll manage to get some pressure as they did last year. The Bills were 4th in sacks last year with zero from Von. They lose Floyd but gain Toohill, Solomon and a healthier Von.
  14. I actually don’t hate the idea. There are probably 100ish - 150ish guys that COULD be DPOY if things go perfectly. Miller is probably one of them. He will need to be around 20 sacks. He did have 18.5 once. Obviously he’s way less likely than Watt or Garrett or Parsons but still POSSIBLE. At 250/1, it’s worth a few bucks.
  15. https://www.bbc.com/news/newsbeat-36190426.amp
  16. I desperately need a new kitchen…
  17. He still averages 10.7 YPC in his career. For context, Cole Beasley is 10.3 YPC in his career.
  18. I think that is one of my biggest frustrations. I’m a big believer in speed. The Bills almost believe the opposite. I’m okay with balance but need speed and explosiveness. They should be a little better after the catch but still haven’t prioritized speed enough for my liking.
  19. We just brought him in so McDermott could take pictures with him and get his autograph. That photo is to Sean what Orchids or Asia is to Bob Kraft.
  20. MVS can get down the field. He adds a skill that I’ve thought the WR room lacked. The Bills didn’t have a guy to run those Gabe Davis routes. MVS is good at that. He’s not a great WR but adds that dimension. I am good with the signing. If he hits 3 or 4 big plays this season it could make the difference in 1 or 2 wins. This division should be pretty close so 1 or 2 wins could be the difference in a home playoff game or missing the playoffs all together. The WR room is still a bottom 3 group. It’s better today than it was yesterday. We should feel good about that.
  21. Fun fact: I was once in the war room for a draft pick. It was John McCargo. 😂😂
  22. It may be set for this year but doubt that it’s set beyond that. The biggest hole on the roster right now is WR1. They have 3 top 60 picks next year. They almost certainly add another one in there.
  23. I don’t know if this counts because he played well last year but, Christian Benford. He’s, by far, the most underrated player on the team. He can make the leap from good player to Pro Bowl player this year.
  24. Lol, this is an odd take. You’re down on him because you don’t know about him. If you don’t know about him, why are you so confident that Shakir will be a better fit? I love Samuel as a player. It’s probably a little irrational but I’ve been waiting for more Buckeyes on this roster. He isn’t a pure WR. For what it’s worth, they are pretty similar. They are guys that are better with the ball in their hands. Samuel is a converted RB (I thought Shakir was too). Samuel is fast. He’s one of the fastest guys on the team. He’s a rich man’s McKenzie or Harty and a poor man’s Deebo. Samuel and Shakir have similar strengths.
  25. Unless there is something different than when we went through, I don’t think that’ll be the case. They would have never been able to move the clubs if it was covered and heated elsewhere. The concourses will be enclosed as well I believe. The stadium will be a lot “warmer” than now, but to your point, cold is cold. It was really, really cold a couple of times over the last few years. I couldn’t feel my fingers at one game late in the year last year. The best answer, was, and still is, to have the whole thing enclosed. It was going to be incredibly expensive either way. Putting an open stadium is Orchard Park doesn’t make much sense to me.
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