Kirby Jackson

Even a broken clock is right twice a day

I’m not though. Knox is a lock. I think Kroft basically is with the restructured deal and I believe Sweeney is more likely to make the team than Smith. If they keep 4 TEs I think he’s a lock. I think if they keep 3 he’s out. With the competition at other positions and probably having to keep 3 QBs some spots are going to get squeezed. A 4th TE feels like that could be a spot that they pull from. It’s 50/50 to me.

Oh I definitely want him to be gone. He’s a miserable football player that makes huge mistakes. He committed 8 penalties despite playing less than 30% of the offensive snaps!! That’s absolutely atrocious. He had twice as many penalties as catches. He’s a great blocking TE but not as good of a blocker as an extra OL. He’s not a threat at all as a receiver. He was targeted 5 times. I just don’t see how that guy can be considered a lock or even likely? In terms of a backup long snapper you can keep a guy on the PS if you want (maybe even Smith). If you have that last minute Covid to Ferguson you activate the guy from the PS. That feels easy.

I’m not sure that he will. The Bills are going to have 3 receivers on the field a lot. Knox spent the offseason working with Kittle. He should take a step forward there too. Kroft’s restructured deal pretty much assures him of a roster spot. Sweeney isn’t the blocker that Smith is but he’s not bad. He’s miles ahead as a receiver. When he was given a chance last year he produced. I expect to see more of him. Additionally, they save $1.7M by cutting Smith. If they keep 4 TEs again he will likely be on the roster. If that 4th TE is dropped in favor of a 2nd kicker, a 3rd QB or an extra WR I don’t think that he will be. They’ll use an extra OL or Sweeney to fill Smith’s role. He’s very much on the bubble IMO.

This is a good call. I think that there are other roles that are more individualized roles in team sports that are tougher. Kicker is worse for example. Yes, I know that you can talk about the snap or hold for a kicker but it is still dependent on the kicker 95% of the time. He’s less reliant on the other 10 players than the QB. A pitcher in baseball is too. A goalie would fit as well for me. QB is tough but there are a lot of other people that can either elevate a QB or let him down. That’s not the case with some of these others.

He was being projected between $7M-$10M a year and signed for $5M (3 years, $15M). He’s great value at that number.

They just signed Spain to a deal below his market-value. I’m sure that assurances were made at that point. He didn’t give up a sack last year. He’s a lock. I could see Feliciano as blue though.

I’d bump Taiwan to blue for special teams reasons. McKenzie to blue. Sweeney to blue and Smith to red. Winters to black. Harrison Phillips to black. Siran Neal to blue (or even black) and Marlowe to red. Hauschka to red.

What about the student on the biology scholarship? They get their education for free and aren’t generating millions for the university. Not to use the “Tom Brady was a 6th round pick” argument but what is Trevor Lawrence worth to Clemson? $200M? The point being let’s stop pretending that the cost of the education is relevant. These guys are at the top of the world in what they do. They are generating millions and millions and millions for their schools. This is true, short-term and long-term. This is both direct and indirect. When I was a student at the turn of the millennium I didn’t generate that sort of revenue for my school. If you want to make that argument about rowers, lacrosse players, or tennis players -fine. Making that argument about power 5 football programs is asinine. The value that the players deliver to the university is FAR greater than the cost of the education. That’s why 40 of the 50 state’s top paid employee is a college coach. They provide a massive financial boost to the state.

This x 1,000,000,000,000 Great post!!

I’m only talking power 5. I apologize for any confusion. That was my point at the beginning. I too went to a private DIII school (Emerson). I posted the money from football in the previous post but here it is again: https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.pennlive.com/pennstatefootball/2019/03/who-are-the-richest-and-poorest-power-five-college-football-programs-here-are-all-65-ranked-bottom-to-top.html%3FoutputType=amp. To be clear, I’m strictly talking power 5 because that’s all that matters in college football. The above post is from the previous year so it’s higher now but it gives you an example of the contributions.

I use Auburn because one of my best friends was in charge of sales there. The stories and examples are based on what I’ve been told or he’s experienced. I always try to provide a real perspective based on that.The indirect contributions are impossible to quantify but they are significant. I’m seeing 5 of the top 65 in the red in 2018. So 92.3% are making money (and some tons). Those numbers are also trending up not down. If you go right to the middle it’s Illinois and they are making a $29M profit. I stand by most of these programs subsidizing other sports. https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.pennlive.com/pennstatefootball/2019/03/who-are-the-richest-and-poorest-power-five-college-football-programs-here-are-all-65-ranked-bottom-to-top.html%3foutputType=amp

Oh, I know. We are talking strictly Power 5 here. The football revenue sharing floats pretty much all other sports. That also doesn’t account for the indirect revenue attributed to the university because of their program. This is where donors are entertained or entertaining. This is a sense of pride for them and a reason that they open their wallets like they do. The indirect impact is massive.

We are talking power 5 and obviously no English departments was hyperbole. In 2019 college football’s 25 most valuable programs made a profit of $1.5B. Football is subsidizing the other sports (not kidding this time) and is the catalyst for their biggest donors. There are plenty of small D 3 schools that manage without the football revenue. At the same time do you think the University or Texas is better off or not with the $223M generates by their athletic program. They aren’t looking to become SUNYAB. The highest paid public employee in 40 states is a college coach!! That should tell you all that you need to know. This isn’t some ancillary benefit that is nice for the students. This is where the universities directly and indirectly generate the majority of their revenue. T Boone Pickens wasn’t sending what he did to OSU without athletics. As a side story that I think will resonate the larger donor at Auburn had pledged like a $50M donation. $7M of it was earmarked for Gus Malzahn’s buyout. His donation to the University, the largest in it’s history, was contingent on the football coach getting fired. It was all or nothing. He didn’t get fired and now it costs $33M to dump Gus and his staff. This is BIG business. This is one of those things that’s probably difficult to comprehend unless you are in that environment. I used to go to every BC game when I was in college but clearly didn’t get it. It’s not something I really grasped until I started attending big time college football games. When LSU played Bama 7 or 8 years ago they estimated 300,000 people were on the LSU campus. The population of Baton Rouge is 216,000. The point being that big time college sports aren’t an extra. They are driving revenue and entire economies in some places. Auburn is a perfect example. The entire economy from restaurants, to bars, stores, hotels, etc... are completely dependent on these games being played.

The Power 5 conferences generated $2.9B last year. There is no English Department at these massive institutions without that revenue. Football subsidizes these universities not the other way around.

I’m so disappointed. Just feel defeated. The PAC 12 just followed suit

Yes, Wade still counts outside of the normal allotment.

If college football is pushed to the spring this is what the NFL will look like:

I think that the drought years jaded us. The goal isn’t “get to the playoffs.” The goal is “compete for a championship.” Every decision that is made should be done with that in mind. Everything else is a waste of time. The Bills should want the playoffs this year as they are constructed. The Jets or Jags should be hoping for the 1st pick and a chance to change their future.

Certainly but there have still been 15 Super Bowls (I think) won by QBs picked first overall. The worst thing that you can be in sports in mediocre. Not everyone that makes the playoffs can win it all. That 2017 Bills team was a lot of fun but they weren’t winning the Super Bowl. I said about 95% of the time it’s the playoffs but it’s not an absolute. A team can change its entire future some drafts. Sometimes you have to be bad to be good.

I think the answer is it depends on your team and the draft. It is normally playoffs but if you’re like a .500ish team with little upside maybe not. That holds especially true in a draft with a generational talent at a crucial position. As an example, if I’m a Jags fan this year, I’d rather get Lawrence than be 9-7 and get crushed in the playoffs. I’d say that it’s playoffs 95% of the time but there are exceptions. In the NBA that number can drop as low as 50% depending on the top of the draft.

That’s why the spring isn’t an option IMO. You’ll have 100+ opt outs.

Yep, imagine even an injury like Feliciano’s happening in May? In normal circumstances that guy would be back in 2 months. In this case they wouldn’t have medical clearance until after the draft. That guy could fall 2, 3, 4 rounds for something that won’t ever cause him to miss a game. Guys will be jumping ship left and right.