EmotionallyUnstable

Yup. Listen, we all get our pre-draft crushes and interests…but if the 2018 draft showed us anything, it’s that when the pick is made: that’s our guy and whatever was said about them or previously projected is rendered meaningless. Instead of choosing to bash the picks because random talking heads think it’s an overvalue or a miss is simply a waste of breath. Some players are deemed future HOFers without taking a snap while others are already in the dog house. Let’s let these guys get to Buffalo and show what they’ve got before we claim victory or defeat. Enjoy it! Watch the highlight video and get hyped. Trust in Beane. Go Bills!

Matt Milano Khalil Shakir Stephon Diggs Found within the so called trash, is treasure. Increasing your selections statistically raises your chance in finding one. Packaging them all to move for an extra 4th? Not only is this not statistically accurate, you also have no idea what the board looks like in terms of graded value left. Maybe Beane and company see pick 101 not much different than 141. It’s impossible to know, but saying it’s trash is just assuming you’ll miss on no basis at all This is exactly right. Its very possible there are only a handful of players he has interest in at the beginning of day 3. If they go quick, staying patient and casting a wide net in round 5 is wiser than trading up for a player you don’t want just because of optics. Having taken WR, S, DT allows them to purely pick players they like at any position based solely on potential

We just took Dorian Williams in the same spot last year for this!!!

3 of our fifth rounders and #95 can get us up into this range

He means DeJean at 33 and Franklin at 60

So we’re going to make all 10 selections? I was expecting more movement

So at this point with only #60, and next years pick, can we assume a player trade is unlikely? Getting Aiyuk would be my preference if possible but idk what the capital could be.

This has gone exactly how I thought it would and exactly how I wished it wouldn’t! Go get Aiyuk!!!!

Is he throwing himself the football?

Beane is going to trade up for Dallas Turner 😎

Feeling like the Seahawks at 16 is really in play here. If they go to 16 for Brian Thomas Jr giving up the 2nd they got from Minny in the Diggs trade, they can still come back next year with full draft capital and swing again for a WR if he doesn’t work out

Dallas turner is the most common mock to ATL.

Does ATL take an OT here or Dallas Turner?

Ew

We are in play at 9 now for Odunze. If they want it. Chargers pick allowed it

Ehhh I doubt it. Schene abd Dabol gotta win now. They need immediate talent. You want the #4 QB ?

I ALREADY HATE HIS GROSS BABY FACE GO BILLS

Kyler 2.0?

COME ON BEANE

Same but mostly because I’m too cheap to pay for a service. Rabbit ears baby!

Let’s gooooo Sell it all baby!!!! MHJ to the Bills!!!!

I am all for this move @Virgil. It seems like a small price to pay for getting a skill set we don’t have that could be a potential #1 with the floor as a downfield threat while maintaining our 2nd this year and our original picks next season. If BTJ doesn’t pan out, you can take another stab next season to find your true #1

With the 16th pick, the Seattle Seahawks select Taliese Fuaga, OT Oregon State. The Jaguars and @LEBills are on the clock. From a purely value standpoint, I don’t love this here. We were hopeful Verse fell one more spot to us. Mike McDonald would have been thrilled to add a defensive piece that can play both end or OLB and be a versatile pass rusher. We did have offers to move back, but with a first year HC and needs in the trenches, we stood pat and bolstered the OL. Fuaga can come in and immediately contend at both guard and tackle. Again this feels a bit uninspiring here and a little early all things considered, however when you get a chance to take a big nasty hog who can play multiple spots on the OL for years to come we’ll go to bed happy Thursday night

@GunnerBill, care to share your numerical process here? What abilities or standards are you assessing that leads you to these tiered values? Obv the executives in the league use their own versions to grade and value players, but I am curious if you’d share your system. Additionally, how does this class stack up against your previous evals? For example, who is the closest ranked player (above and below) to each of these talents? I appreciate the objective scale because it allows you to maintain perspective. We want to draft players based on how they’ll preform vs other nfl talents, not based on how they performed vs other players in their class.

Good post. I also think this data is difficult to really mine. Especially in the NFL, with so many mixed coverages, simply looking at “man vs. zone” doesn’t nearly give any insight into what the specific skills are that are needed to win within either of these scenarios. For example, within a match zone coverage, defenders are essentially playing man, depending on how things shake out. So what, from a receivers abilities stand point, do people mean when they say they want someone who can win vs man? For me: - Can you get off the LOS? - Can you stay pure in your route not allowing disruption? - Are you strong at the top of your route? - Are you nuisanced enough to position yourself to cleanly break while a defender is in phase? - Are your routes clean enough (quick/efficient) to provide room to win? - Can you threaten with long stride speed? - Can you make contested catches? - Are you reliable within traffic? - Are you a dog? How tenacious are you? Effort? Although some of these can be applied to looking at how a player performs vs zone, I think a lot of the above qualities are that which are generally thought of when people say “he’s gotta win vs man coverage” and can also be said of the traditional X receiver.