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Rocky Landing

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Everything posted by Rocky Landing

  1. Fun thread, if for no other reason than I've got opinions. Bear in mind, I'm not pounding the table for any of this... Hits: Chase Claypool. I think all of his issues are between the ears. McDermott, and Beane have worked hard to build a certain culture. Much of that culture is based on character, and work ethic. But, I think also that they like to bring in guys who have fun on the field. This season especially, whether intentional or not, seems to have made quite a few additions, as well as subtractions that should lift the team up from the downers that had become the last couple seasons. This Bills team could be the environment in which Claypool could thrive. Will Clapp. If Banged Up Bills is right, and Clapp's knee injury that ended his '23 season is not a concern moving forward, he should provide at least a solid, and versatile depth. I have more faith in (a healthy) Will Clapp at Center, than I do David Edwards at LG. (Of course, hopefully Van Pran-Granger will start early a la O'Cyrus Torrence...) Mack Hollins. This signing got raked over the coals on this site when it was announced, and I get it. He's slow, and has weirdly poor YAC. But, he has reliable hands, an exceptional catch radius, blocks very well, and-- most importantly-- fills the special teams role vacated by Siran Neal. This makes him a situational WR in RPOs, WR screens, and endzone targets, as well as being a core ST player. What's not to like? Kaiir Elam. There's been a lot of speculation on what's been going on with this guy, and why he spent so much time inactive last season. Injury? Bad attitude? Poor practices? Can't adapt to zone? In the doghouse? It's all been said. But he did have flashes, he's on the team, and we're still woefully thin at the position. It's a long season, and at some point, someone's going down with injury for a game, or more. It happens every year. And he did show some potential for improvement towards the end of the season. We're all rooting for him. Dark Horse Hit: KJ Hamler. A dark horse candidate for a hit, to be sure... but: The Bills currently have six WRs on the roster who are 6'4", but not a lot of speed. His catch % is paltry, but he had crap QBs throwing him the ball in Denver. He lost all of 2023 dealing with pericarditis (a nasty heart condition caused by infection). If he's resolved the health issues, and gotten his body, and speed back into shape, could he be the speed gadget guy? Busts: Von Miller. I would love, love, love to be wrong, watch Von beat the odds, and have a great (or even adequate) season. But, I think we might see an injury settlement in Von's future... Marquez Valdez-Scantling. I know this is a very unpopular opinion at the moment, and I keep hearing (from posters whose opinions I respect) that he's "playoff proven," "clutch player," and "fast for his size." But, I just can't get around the fact that he has the worst completion percentage of every Bills receiver on the roster who has played in a regular season game, and an egregious drop rate of 7%, with one of the top two quarterbacks in the league throwing him the ball. And just how many 6'4" WRs do we need?
  2. I agree with this. I'm mentioned this all offseason-- if they thought Edwards was a better option at LG, he would have had that position last season. It's a clear downgrade. Also, don't sleep on Will Clapp. A week 15 knee injury ended his '23 season, but he had played every snap up until then, and Banged Up Bills is of the opinion that it doesn't present any injury concerns moving forward. We'll know soon enough in TC, but from last season's tape, I thought he looked good.
  3. Keon Coleman - I feel like his success has as much to do with Brady, as it does with him. If he really hits, I suspect it won't be until mid-season that he really starts to have a major impact-- just long enough for fans to start calling him a "bust." Cole Bishop - All the pundits have been saying "day one starter." But McD's defense can be complex where safety is concerned. I also have a higher opinion of Rapp, than most. I think he is one of the Bills' more underrated players, and I also think Mike Edwards was solid pickup. I suspect Bishop will be eased in, and start by midseason, and I'm fine with that. DeWayne Carter - The Bills were so thin at the position. Obviously, he won't be the starter, but he'll get plenty of rotation. Ray Davis - It'll be nice to have a third down power back who isn't in his mid thirties. Sedrick Van Pran-Granger - I've never been comfortable with the idea of McGovern at center, and Edwards at LG. If Edwards were the better LG, he would have held that position last year. It's an obvious downgrade, IMO. I'm really hoping that VPG is comfortable to start early at center (if not Will Clapp, whom I believe is better than people think). Edefuan Ulofoshio - I very much doubt that Milano is going to be back in week one. But, with the acquisition of Deion Jones, I doubt we're going to see much of Ede Ulo. Javon Solomon - I think McD will know how to get the most out of this guy. And while I don't really expect much of anything out of Von Miller, it'll be nice for Solomon to have him as a mentor, and hopefully he'll be a solid rotational DE-- which we really do need at the position. Tylan Grable - A wasted pick, IMO. He might make the PS. Daequan Hardy - I'm hoping he's going to be Harty's replacement for P/KR. I'm sure we're going to see him returning kicks in the preseason, and that should be a good indication if that's where he'll be used. I'm also hoping he'll be Siran Neal's replacement as Taron Johnson's backup (and maybe eventual replacement?). Undersized, sure. But the buzz on his athleticism makes him someone I'm excited to see. Does it seem like Brandon Beane is better at assessing late-round talent than he is at early-round talent? Travis Clayton - I have a fantasy that Clayton's going to make the 53, and be used in those Jumbo packages as the sixth lineman, and eligible receiver. I know it's not likely to happen, but I'd love to see him catch a short lob from Allen, and then flatten whomever's in front of him.
  4. That 40 time is from 2018. He's not running a 4.37 in 2024. He doesn't play fast. And that 40 time is 5/100ths of a second from Chase Claypool's 2020 40 time, 18/100ths faster than Justin Shorter's 2023 40 time, and 1/100th second faster than Tyrell Shavers' 2023 40 time. Hell-- Mack Hollins ran a 4.53 in 2019. Obviously, Shorter, and Shavers have an uphill battle to get onto the 53, and don't have a single regular season snap to show for themselves. But do you know what Claypool, and Hollins, (not to mention KJ Hamler, Andy Isabella, and Curtis Samuel) all have in common? They ALL have a higher completion percentage, and lower drop rate than Marquez Valdez-Scantling. And all with far worse quarterbacks throwing them the ball. Here's a link to his 2023 highlight reel. (Bear in mind-- this is a highlight reel, from a season in which he had a 50% completion percentage, and a 7% drop rate). In some of those catches, he's wide open in the end zone. But, there isn't a single reception in the open field (save for one where the safety trips over his own feet), where he isn't covered, and not one route where he is lined up on the boundary. I'm not even making an argument that he won't make the 53. Going into TC, I would put him just behind Hollins (for Hollins' ST play). But, then one has to ask the question: How many 6'4" WRs do they employ? And is MVS really that unique?
  5. Whether intentionally, or not, I think Beane has filled out the roster in a way that will both challenge Josh Allen's leadership abilities, and bring back some of the fun to the game. One of the things I have really grown to love about Allen, and the culture that Beane/McDermott have built, is how much fun they have on the field, and as a team. Remember when Diggs first arrived? How much fun they had? How fun they were to watch, and follow? It seems like the last couple seasons (and especially last season) really sank into a downer. The Covid season was more fun than last season. For these reasons, I voted "Better," but of course, I'm holding out hope for "Best of his career."
  6. Hm. By that yardstick (pardon the pun) Tyreek Hill averaged 13.8 ypc during his time in KC, with a season best (2018) of 17.0. I can see why they got rid of him... unless, perhaps... there's something missing from your metric...? Like every other relevant receiving stat?
  7. Do people think Von Miller is this high up the depth chart? We're stuck with his contract, but I'd guess they'll be looking for a reason to put him on IR, just to free up a roster spot for someone like Jonathon.
  8. I agree with you, but #1WR is a close second, IMO.
  9. ... or when not to quote someone and reply to their post...
  10. I don't know if there will be an upgrade available that we can afford, and I don't know where Beane/McD consider it on the priority list. But there's a whole lotta hope in your post. All those guys you mentioned have lined up on the outside at some point in there careers, but I don't think you can consider a single one of them a primary X receiver, or #1WR. Maybe Coleman becomes that? I hate to hang my hat on a rookie, but that's probably where we are.
  11. "A receiver positioned farthest from center on their side of the field which takes their stance on the line of scrimmage, necessary to meet the rule requiring seven players to be lined up on it at the snap."......... That's a cut and paste from Google. There's plenty of literature on what makes the position unique, and it's relevance to offensive, and defensive schemes. For the Bills, and Josh Allen, after the loss of Diggs, and Davis it should be a priority. I get that he's been reliable in the post season, and that's not nothing, but what skill set does he have that is unique to the other 6'4" WRs on the roster?
  12. You're not really saying anything I'm disagreeing with. Neither are you answering anything I brought up. IMO, his high drop rate, low catch%, and low QR rating when targeted pushes him down the depth chart. And for context, Mack Hollins had a slightly better drop rate, better catch%, and a higher QB rating when targeted (with a far worse QB), and he plays special teams. The perspective that I disagree with on this thread is the assumption that MVS is a near lock, or that he offers something unique to this roster. I just don't think he does.
  13. Why would you make that assumption??? (That's a rhetorical question. I'm aware you're trolling.)
  14. I'm really not sure that the dimension he adds downfield is all that different from the other five 6'4" WRs we have on the roster. Mack Hollins is also a proven blocker, and a special teams standout. And while MVS didn't have a dropped pass in his 8 receptions in the postseason, I worry that may just be a function of a small sample size. It certainly doesn't explain a 7% drop rate, or a 50% catch rate in the regular season. Some of those drops were on short passes. At least one of those drops that I recently watched on an All-22 was on a check down. That's concerning! I think MVS has a good chance to make the 53, but if those very real issues persist, there's going to be a lot of second-guessing going on. And with Knox, and Kincaid, and all the predictions of two TE sets (including from the HC, and GM), how many 6'4" WRs do we really need? What we do need, is an X receiver.
  15. One could also argue that McDaniel was given much longer reins, and Flores had been set up to fail.
  16. To be fair, "congrats to all the wimmins get'n a degree today... now git in the kitchen and make your man a sammich..." is probably not the best way to kick off a commencement speech... But, I'm with WEO. As my own snarky comment might suggest, this thread has nowhere good to go...
  17. I think Tua did enough to get a contract, and stay in Miami. It may not be the contract he wants, but I don't know if he'd be a better fit anywhere else in the league, given what is known about him. Tua had a successful(ish) season because Mike McDaniel engineered a scheme that played to his strengths, and minimized his weaknesses. Tua held the ball for the shortest average time than any other QB in the league, and was able to throw with impressive accuracy, considering how quickly the ball had to come out. Tua thrived early in the season with quick timing plays in which the receiver had to be on their routes at precisely the right time. The speed of their receivers made this possible. But McDermott figured this out the first game we played them (week four, iirc), and it was their first loss of the season. McD figured out that none of his defenders needed to match Hill, or Waddle's speed-- they just had to throw them off their timing. Bump them at the LOS, delay their routes, and the scheme fell apart. Because as accurate as Tua is, his ability to function off-script was abysmal, and when he felt pressure from large individuals bearing down on him, he folded like a lawn chair. It remains to be seen if the Dolphins did enough in the offseason to improve their O-line, so that Tua could have some chance of extending plays. He needs time without pressure to get that done. I'm very happy the Bills visit Miami in week two (and at night). If it takes time for their O-line to gel, Tua will have a rough start to the season, IMO.
  18. MVS is getting a lot of props on here for being "playoff proven," or whatever-- meaning he didn't drop the ball during the playoffs, and made some nice plays. But, to my mind, that really doesn't discount the fact that he had an egregious drop problem during the regular season. Those happened, and some of the drops I've watched have been terrible. And yeah, he's not fast, and doesn't cut well. But he does have upside. He blocks well, he high-points well, and he runs a nice fade. Right now, the Bills have six WRs at 6'4", with similar traits, and if any other one of them had been on the Chiefs instead of MVS (with the hopeful exception of Coleman), I would imagine they would have been used in much the same way-- stretch the field ahead of Kelce, throw down some blocks, and target them just enough to keep defenses honest. Frankly, I don't see MVS as any kind of reliable answer to our X receiver problem. I think he's looking at a five-way competition with Claypool, Hollins, Shavers, and Shorter, and I'm not sure he's at the top of that list. His biggest advantage is that he caught some passes in the post season, and that he played for the chiefs, but I certainly don't think he's a lock. Hollins might have a leg up on him for special teams, and Claypool, reclamation project though he may be, might have more upside. They probably both have more reliable hands than MVS.
  19. Our D-Line is too thin. I doubt this is going to be a year with a heavy rotation. There's going to be plenty of opportunity for Groot, and Oliver. Dpoy would still certainly be a long shot tho...
  20. I've never really understood the contract strategy of "holding out" during voluntary workouts? It seems counterproductive for both sides of the negotiation. It's not like they don't know who Tua is, or what his capabilities are. And I have to believe that there's value in the franchise QB attending these things, if for no other reason than to meet the rookies, and establish his leadership. But, it feels like for a player to hold out diminishes their value, if even slightly. Wouldn't showing up to voluntary team activities send a better message than holding out? Just my 2¢, but what do I know?
  21. I’m saying get Clayton on the 53, play him in those dreadful Jumbo packages they’re addicted to, and have him declare as an eligible receiver. Let’s see how many defenders he can flatten.
  22. That is incorrect. The context of "alligator arms" started with the post above from GunnerBill, who has apparently been hacked by BADOLBILZ.
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