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Awwufelloff

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Everything posted by Awwufelloff

  1. The front will stall just north of Lake Ontario through the rest of the weekend, as a deepening trough and sfc low tracks across Central Ontario precip will expand and push farther south across the northern half of the region. This will result in the potential for showers from Sunday evening through Monday afternoon mainly for areas from I90 northward. As the sfc low and trough continues east and crosses into Quebec, the trailing cold front will cross the forecast area, increasing the potential for showers for the entire area on Monday evening into Tuesday morning. Showers will taper off from northwest to southeast through the morning on Tuesday.
  2. Buffalo national weather service has introduced a chance at shower Monday night. 😧
  3. I mean I believe hes our most talented RB by far. You also don't invest a 2nd round pick into a player you don't expect to use alot. He will be involved a lot more as the season progresses.
  4. I've used the UKIE quite a bit. Pivotal has a great model set for UK and Euro High Res. I use the HRRR quite a bit in severe season along with NAM 3KM. HRRR is best for convection with its higher res.
  5. Ensembles really don't print out QPF output though. I mean they do but its very broad brushed. Something as mesoscale as pop up storms/showers its tough to use them. I use ENS all the time for long range temp output and large scale changes in the atmosphere. Once we get to the weekend we can start using the higher res guidance which will certainly give us a better forecast. What is the UKMO? Not really familiar with that one.
  6. Are you a weatherman? I nearly went to school for it and have over 20k posts on weather forums that feature professional meteorologist interpreting models and posting daily. Also run a youtube channel stormchasing with 700 subs. It's by far my most knowledgable subject and biggest passion. GFS- Chance for showers at end of day EURO- clear skies GEM- chance for showers at end of day The other short term models only go out 84 hours so they're not useful yet. As mentioned in the KBUF NWS forecast discussion its very up in the air right now, but as of the first post it doesn't look terrible. sunset is 7:18 on Monday. Technically the sun will still be out. 😜
  7. It means its still up in the air as the model guidance isn't quite conclusive yet. The NBM stands for national blend model which combines every known weather model together and gets general consensus of the output. Also a season ticket holder and last year was the worst weather I've ever seen for nearly every Bills game besides the opener.
  8. Still up in the air. Buf national weather service discusses the differences in the models Sunday and beyond...there are big difference in the guidance packages, from zonal flow transitioning to a trough over the region (chances for showers), to amplification of the mid- level ridge (dry weather). Have gone with NBM guidance with this much uncertainty this far out.
  9. I did this for last years games and my forecast worked out quite well. Early call looks good for the Monday Night game. Looks perfect! ☀️ Monday Partly sunny, with a high near 77.
  10. I prefer all games to be on Sunday at 1 Pm too.
  11. Only the Chiefs
  12. Lots of great QBS are at their end or retired already We were spoiled during the golden era of football the last 15 years. Brees, Rivers, both Mannings, Big Ben, Luck retiring. Brady, Rodgers, Matt Ryan are all near their end.
  13. So Bills and Chiefs in AFC championship game again.
  14. Allen did his job last year though, our coaches failed us.
  15. Mahomes is still the class of the NFL. Him and Allen are on a tier by themselves.
  16. Would love to keep him fresh for playoff time.
  17. First year season ticket holder and cannot wait! I can't believe the ticket prices for this game.
  18. Brady was a 6th round pick.
  19. So was Cam Newton. Cam was more athletic then Allen is. I don’t mind Allen scrambling around the pocket, but the designed runs need to stop. Especially when we’re in the lead.
  20. Agree 100% it’s not if it’s when he gets injured if they keep running him this much. You draft cooks in 2nd round for a reason. The fumble doesn’t mean anything. Give your most talented players the ball. They’re almost identical in size and strength lol
  21. I’m in Charlotte visiting family and at bills bar. I’m so nervous!! It’s insane here!! Completely full by 4 pm!
  22. It’s been a long journey my friends but we’ve finally made it! It was fun to reminisce about players numbers throughout the years. But Today is the day!! Let’s go Buffalo!!!
  23. I'm here! I don't mind people filling in for me. Heading down to NC right now to visit some family. Going to Bills Bar down there for the game, cannot wait!
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