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Everything posted by Bleeding Bills Blue
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Singletary took 65% or more of offensive snaps in 10 of 12 games he played in (missed 3 to hamstring injury and sat out week 17). Those 2 games were week 2, when he got hurt, and week 7 his first game back. I'm absolutely ok with adding another running back in the draft with picks 2 or 3 though. We have nothing behind him and if he were to get hurt i think production at the position would suffer. But I'm not sure how much we need a WR4 considering Mckenzie Duke and foster totalled like 43 catches in various roles. I expect beasley's snaps to decrease a bit, and mckenzie would stick as a gadget player and WR4. I guess it's nice for depth to have someone behind diggs/brown who can slot into that role a bit better than Mckenzie/ roberts should someone get hurt. However it's hard to find an offense that effectively uses a 4th WR for more than a handful of plays a year though. If Hill and Watkins don't miss time, i doubt hardman gets 26 catches for the chiefs. I guess the packers but 3 bad receivers doesn't make the 4th WR important, it just means the WRs were bad. If someone could be had in later rounds that you believe is better than mckenzie/foster/duke right now - maybe? As for TE, the Kroft restructure seems to indicate they're rolling knox, kroft and whomever from smith croom and sweeney. I expect smith unfortunately.
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Kickers in the draft
Bleeding Bills Blue replied to BillsShredder83's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Typically you have the kicker, punter, and longsnapper essentially doing their own mini practice. Thats why punters hold for kickers. If you only had 2, then you have to take another guy away from practicing at his actual position to hold FGs. -
Bucs apparently shopping OJ HOWARD
Bleeding Bills Blue replied to Alphadawg7's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
He's on a 1 year deal at this point and we have a lot of people to pay next season - so it would be tough to bring him back. However, cutting lee smith saves the cap hit so it's a wash dollar wise. How much should a team be willing to wager for a 1yr rental? -
What about White/Milano/Dawkins?
Bleeding Bills Blue replied to oldmanfan's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
White's a "set the market" kind of player. I don't see Dawkins or Milano as that guy. OLB's who get paid are traditionally pass rusher's, and he has 2.5 sacks in 3 years. He's a solid coverage linebacker and a smart player. At the same token - Shaq Thompson just got 13.5 AAV. I assume negotiations are starting at around 11-13M per year for Milano? Dawkins? Vet deals basically start at 10 million, and he'll be a younger player so you're looking at like 14? -
Bills Sign OL Evan Boehm
Bleeding Bills Blue replied to BillsMafi$'s topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Yeah - as soon as williams signed it was like - he's either the swing tackle/guard or he's traded for a 6th RD pick. I don't think we could get much for spencer long, but maybe? He has played guard and center in the NFL and usually those types can be hard to come by. Yeah - He's 3rd string center - and he's going to be in a battle with bates. Keeping bates saves you money, and neither likely sees the field this season. Bates also likely takes some snaps at 2nd string center in camp since feliciano is starting RG. -
Basically 4 years and 60 million left on his deal that you would cover. Fair amount more than Diggs. He hasn't been particularly elite in the last 3 years either. I'd probably still go offensive line in the first and then use their early 2nd on a WR. Stefanaski is a run first guy so I think they'll want to roll heavy PA with Chubb/Hunt. Plus they have Hooper/Njoku.
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Why not a Free Agent RB2?
Bleeding Bills Blue replied to FireChans's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
No idea what goes into generating a DYAR and DVOA for running backs in a passing attack - but allens scattershot accuracy on swing passes has to harm these numbers, no? Seems to factor yards per target, as well as catch rate and TDs. But look at the guys on the bottom and their QBs and it makes a bit of sense. Either way - Gore wasn't it, and Motor should have to earn 3rd down opportunities. The screen game for Buffalo in general has also been bad. -
Why not a Free Agent RB2?
Bleeding Bills Blue replied to FireChans's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I mean - the remaining free agent options are in limbo. Anyone with a health risk is in a holding pattern until they can get in front of team docs. And the others are waiting for the draft to happen, then they're playing musical chairs to make sure they're on a roster for camp. I like Motor, and I like the idea of adding someone in rounds 2-3. I also understand why they wouldn't go that route and just decide to try and bring along a vet. Depends how the draft falls - if there's serious value at 54 then pull the trigger. If it's not major value, then go for where you think there is value. Jones i believe was brought in for Special teams, so he likely is active gamedays. Usually they would only have 2 others active and a 4th on the 53. So i doubt they'd draft someone and sign Hyde. One of them's probably not active. -
and the Layoffs begin @ Pegula Sports
Bleeding Bills Blue replied to Chandler#81's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
The GM has not panned out. But if they fire another GM... I just don't know who to hire. If most of the murray picks are bad, you're left with a barren pipeline. Murray also traded a lot of the prospects who should be depth on this roster - in short sighted moves to try and rush the rebuild. People wanted JB to try and make some crazy move to salvage this season and TBH I'm glad he didn't. Stop loading this team with terrible contracts, you need players to contribute on entry-level deals or it wont matter. And can they get a friggin goalie? Why are we so worried about every other aspect of this team but stopping the puck. A better player than hutton and they're probably sitting at 78-80 points and a little run away from sneaking into the playoffs. Also - Ullmark aint it. Keep looking. -
I mean - for this years picks maybe? Minny would still have 2 firsts to address holes on defense. For the browns, i think I'd likely use their first 2nd round pick on a WR. If they do the trade I'm sure they'd be tempted by a top 3 WR in this draft, but they have problems along the offensive line and their new coach is a run first kinda guy.
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and the Layoffs begin @ Pegula Sports
Bleeding Bills Blue replied to Chandler#81's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Have to agree - was a headscratcher when Kim was put on top of PSE. -
I mean Ekeler was a UDFA, and just got a raise to 6M per year. He was just as productive a receiver as McCaffrey - and split time with Gordon. They replaced Gordon with Justin Jackson who was a 7th round pick. The Ravens had Ingram, Edwards, Hill. All I'm saying is you can get the production from other players at the position. Of the 5 leading rushers in the NFL, 2 made the playoffs. From a pure team rushing yardage perspective, its somewhat of a precursor to success (Turnover Differential seems to always point to playoff teams) - but I don't think those yards need to come from a single player. Rush Yards per game - Buffalo ranked 8th Rush Yards per carry - Buffalo ranked 13th Expected points from Rushing offense - Buffalo ranked 9th As for pass catching running backs A- Daboll needs to build into the offense more since I think some of the gimme plays give Allen a bit of confidence B- RBs who catch passes don't necessarily equal team/offensive success. 5/15 of the leading receiving backs teams made the playoffs. Outside of NO and the Vikings, I wouldn't even consider the other 3 to have particularly good offenses. Christian McCaffrey 116 1005 Austin Ekeler 92 993 Alvin Kamara 81 533 Tarik Cohen 79 456 Leonard Fournette 76 522 James White 72 645 Le'Veon Bell 66 461 Devonta Freeman 59 410 Ezekiel Elliott* 54 420 Dalvin Cook 53 519 Saquon Barkley 52 438 Miles Sanders 50 509 Aaron Jones 49 474 Jaylen Samuels 47 305 Nyheim Hines 44 320
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“One-Hit Wonders” for every NFL Team
Bleeding Bills Blue replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I go with Karlos - 9 TDs on 100 Touches, and like 600 yards. And he never played again... -
At the end of the day - owners have deep pockets - and every scout and GM etc. has basically just had some ridiculous battlestation put into their home offices with a few weeks to test out the conferencing features etc. Probably have some sort of slick Draft board software that someone built and sold to sports teams for you to organize it how you would on a big magnetic board. I've built some stuff in excel that i thought was pretty cool for fantasy baseball - but this is probably like, click his name and a popup comes up with like measureables, stats, grades that you input etc. If they don't i'd fire the App developer immediately - this should be able to be programmed in like a day. Assuming the NFL provides teams with a usable database of draft-eligible player measurements and stats. I think the vet's in trouble would likely be - Nsekhe (if they feel good about williams/bates), Long (for same reasons), Maybe Lee Smith, and Philips. But I'd bring every one of them to camp this year - its going to be an abbreviated camp. If someone important along the oline gets hurt etc. you're going to want them there. Move them closer to cut downs.
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To consider Singletary the 31st best RB because he only had 775 yards discounts the fact that his YPC was a very good 5.1. Singletary averaged 15 touches per game (and missed some time with the hamstring) to McCaffreys 24. Was there room for improvement? Yes - Ball security was an issue at times (watching him get run down is terrifying), he had some room to improve in the passing game (drops mainly). But he was a rookie... I think one can expect some level of improvement. He also had massively increased usage in the 2nd half of the year. I don't feel like extrapolating over a full season but I suppose I could. Oh, and McCaffrey averaged 12.3 touches his rookie year, and had 435 yards rushing on 3.7 YPC. Just comparing rookie seasons in that way gives Singletary a leg up. I personally don't care how Buffalo does it - but get the YPC up, and get running backs who can make plays in the passing game. I'd prefer keeping costs low however you do it so you can continue to invest in the offensive line. Baltimore rolls 3 deep, same with SF and Arizona last year. However you don't need to give one guy 300 carries, if giving 2 guys 150 carries works just as well for half the price. The key to me is if Singletary isn't going to be your RB to get 75-100 targets out of the backfield, we need that guy.
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McCaffrey Signs 4 Years 64 Million
Bleeding Bills Blue replied to aristocrat's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Why do they need a running back to carry a huge workload? Ekeler had a fantastic year last year - and they can get 100-150 touches out of Justin Jackson. Ekeler gains more yards per catch than pretty much any other running back. If the yardage ends up the same who cares who got them? Same with TDs, will having McCaffrey end up getting them more TDs? Or did Cam's TDs end up as McCaffreys since they had to adjust their offense in the red zone? -
McCaffrey Signs 4 Years 64 Million
Bleeding Bills Blue replied to aristocrat's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I don't think its a bad deal - hes a great player. However - comparing yardage from RBs to WRs isn't fair. How many yards would another running back have gotten rushing the ball on his carries - probably less but its also probably closer than you think. 200 yards rushing less maybe? As for the receiving factor - James white had a slightly lower catch rate, and lower yards per catch. But he costs 4 million. So while he is a great back - is he worth the full 16 million? I'm not sure. He's obviously really hard to tackle in space making him lethal in the red zone where its often 1x1 for backs on the outside. He has the speed to turn plays into TDs. But at the same time, if you get a few backs and run the same offense you can probably obtain largely similar results spread out. Is he Marshall Faulk? Basically yeah. But is that worth the extra 10 million more per year than Austin Ekeler?