It is very easy to predict the negative responses here to anything other than the Bills are a sure thing to make the playoffs. No mathematical model needed,
However if you take the time to read it, and actually think about it, the author does make some valid points. What you have to remember too, is that tackle football is a sport with such a short season that one player being out of the lineup for any amount of time can have a very significant impact. Say for example that King Roger decided to suspend Tom Terrific for the entire season for draining balls last season, or if he gets significantly injured in the preseason, or Giselle decides she doesn't want the other boys in the NFL playing so rough with her Tommy, what would you think of the Pats chances to make the playoffs then? All he is doing is analyzing the available data. And based on that, I don't see anything terribly wrong with his conclusions.
Of course my name is not Nate Silver either .