Magox

The extension, depending on how it’s structured count have a net savings of around $1.8M for 2025 https://overthecap.com/salary-cap/buffalo-bills#google_vignette

That’s the going rate for someone who signs a deal this year. If Crosby were to sign a new extension today he would be $30m+

It's a negotiating ploy, he's trying to maximize and I don't begrudge the man for doing so. This is most likely going to be the last time in his life to have a shot at making legacy defining sort of money. The way I saw it was that by him throwing that $15M a year number around, that was his beginning asking amount. I think they will get a deal in for less than that. What is also going to effect his FA value is that this is a potentially historic year for RB's coming out in the draft this year. Many think this could be one of the best RB drafts ever, so his value will be impacted by that. I think they get the deal done at around $12M AAV

Can't happen, you can't get guys like Crosby, Garrett or Parsons for that amount of money. Parsons will end up signing somewhere around $33M AAV. That's the going rate for people of Rousseau's and Benford's quality what I suggested above. Rousseau is an above average ascending starting DE, that's what they cost. Benford's level of play has been near elite and that's what they cost. You don't get rid of your two most valuable defenders who are young and ascending because you don't want to pay the going rates. The salary cap has exploded the past 2 years by $50M and 4 years from now it will be up somewhere between $100 - $130 M more. Inflation baby!! Didn't you and I have some arguments regarding Spencer Brown? You said $17M a year was way too much, I said that it wasn't. Turns out that you were right that $17M was what he was worth, he really is worth closer to $20M AAV.

And it states "up to", which means that the AAV could potentially end up being lower than $15M

He makes plays and he's the leader of the defense. If you don't extend him then its just another player that you have to replace, specially considering that once Milano's contract ends after the 2026 season that he probably won't be retained unless he comes in at a bargain deal, that would very likely mean you have two guys to replace. If they can get Bernard on a good deal I'd keep him.

Now we just need to get Cook at around $12m AAV, Bernard at around $10m AAV, Rousseau at around $23m AAV and Benford around $21m AAV. Get all these deals done and that frees up close to $20m from this years cap, extend Josh to an additional 4 years $245m and that will free up another $12m

If we were to get this guy in a trade I'd be very happy. He's 30, so he has a few good years left. I would think a 2025 4th and 2026 5th could get the deal done.

As a player, you want frank transparency from your coach and what it is that they expect out of you and this is a way to motivate him. I expect Keon to work his ass off, along with Kincaid and Bishop and all have improved years. There is some really good talent there, they just need to go out there and realize their potential.

The biggest needs for the Bills are: DT DE CB Safety WR I would say in that order but I could be convinced that WR is a bigger need than Safety. With that said, if Nick Emmanwori or Malaki Starks falls to the Bills, specially Emmanwori, they just may not be able to pass up on either of them. They both have very good size, great instincts and blazing 4.3's speed. The board would probably go apoplectic with drafting a safety with the first round choice but you could conceivably be drafting a future All pro player.

Don't be surprised if the Bills seriously kick the tires on Josh Palmer. He's 25, estimated to come in at around $5M per season, he is a boundary receiver who has good size. And surprisingly, his ability to separate and win against man to man coverage is among the better ones in the NFL. I could see the Bills going after a low cost high upside option like Palmer, paired with either a premium or middle round draft choice.

I think they have it wrong, move it back big time to the 20 on the touchback but move the kick-offs 5 to 10 yards back.

I doubt it, I don't believe he'd use the majority of those funds to finance those contracts, but at least he would have the means to do so and having the means to do it is the first step. In regards to your second point, I'm not sure if I am following you. According to Brett's thinking is that this new way of tracking viewership totals should show a truer picture of the viewership numbers and that it would most likely represent a significantly higher amount of viewers which in turn would increase the leverage for the NFL when negotiating broadcast contracts. What he's speculating is that when it comes time to renegotiate in 2028/2029 that an entity like Netflix will come in and look to begin broadcasting what FOX/CBS currently have with their Sunday NFL deals by outbidding them, specially considering that they have a market cap of around $430 Billion which dwarfs what FOX has which is around $25 Billion and CBS who has a market cap of around $11 Billion. Very likely that one of those two lose out, and I wouldn't be surprised that you see Apple make a play for the other one.

I created a thread on who I’d prefer and why

He is a decent man corner and played solid football with the Bills. Personally, I'd hope for someone better in FA but you could make it work as long as their is decent money spent for other positions.

They could extend him and save $11.7M from the cap. https://overthecap.com/salary-cap/buffalo-bills#google_vignette

The only way I'd agree to a deal with him is if it was very incentive based. You offer a low guarantee of around $12 M with the possibility of earning $4M if he plays in 15 games and if he plays all 17 games he gets $6M. And then another max potential of $6M per year if he hits certain sack production.

Interesting nugget in what Brett wrote is that he speculates that the 8% share Laurie sold which was $650 Million was used to help finance their "rolling bonus options" to keep all their players. The Bills did just sell a 20% stake which is supposed to net Pegula around $1 Billion, maybe and hopefully they will use some of that to do the same?

For those that are interested in what the future of the salary cap could look like in the next 4-5 years, this is an excellent read.

DT - DJ Jones and Tier Tart - FA acquisitions and use one of your premium draft picks and another mid to late rounder on DT's Release - Daquan Let everyone else walk except Oliver and Carter DJ Jones should come in somewhere around $8M AAV - really good run stuffer who can push the pocket and Tier Tart who will be a lot cheaper DE - No FA acquisitions - Swing for fences for either Garrett or Crosby - Assuming you can't get them - Use one of your three premium picks on a DE Release Von Keep Smoot Safety - Justin Simmons will play the role that they are lacking, will add experience, should be relatively cheap around $5M - Draft another with mid to late rounder CB - FA pickup DJ Reed, or Chavarious Ward - one of those two, based off the coaching additions it appears Bills will be employing more man to man schemes and they would be a fit - They need to get a higher end CB. Draft one with a mid to late rounder Trade Elam for whatever you can get. WR - Either Slayton or Hollywood Brown - someone who has speed and can stretch defenses, it would need to be under $10M AAV - Use one of your premium draft choices on a WR who can separate.

There has to be a renewed sense of urgency to go for it. San Francisco and the Eagles do this far more than any other teams which is why they have had the best and most expensive rosters in the NFL. Eagles have two star tackles, they had a star center, two star WR’s, a franchise QB, A really good TE, top 3 RB, and are loaded with high quality players across the defensive line, Really good DB’s and 2 very good linebackers. They are able to keep those players because of how they manipulate the cap with the voided years. Plus the Salary cap has exploded the last two years and some believe that the curve will even steepen with how they are now going to begin measuring viewership numbers which is what they believe is going to show even more viewers than they are counting them now. When the league goes to renegotiate in 2028/2029 with the networks CBS/FOX or whoever wants to make a bid, the league will have these massive viewership numbers and Netflix who is expected to make a bid. Netflix has a cap of $450 Billion, they can massively outbid CBS and FOX, and one of those two networks is going to lose out. The salary cap is going to go bananas in 2029/2030. I hope Beane pitches Pegula hardcore about getting more aggressive with their decisions. You can resign all the main guys, Benford, Bernard, Rousseau, Cook and Shakir and still go after. Garrett and a DJ Reed. I played around with the numbers https://overthecap.com/salary-cap/buffalo-bills#google_vignette They can totally make this happen if there is a will to do it

Trubisky Von Daquan But we will need to substantively replace Von, he was the Bills most valuable efficient pass rusher. DaQuan looks to be about finished, he has rapidly declined over the past year I think they can get Knox to take another pay cut

Netflix is expected to have the Sunday football games over either CBS or FOX for fall of 2028 which would bend the curb even more

It’s higher than what was anticipated. The anticipated amount was $275M. There were some high end estimates as high as $285 but this number is a good increase.

The budget for a WR should be under $8/$9M AAV The defense is where the vast majority of where resources should be allocated.