Sound_n_Fury Posted September 21, 2005 Share Posted September 21, 2005 So, Saints move to San Antonio, storms head in that direction. Saints move to play in Baton Rogue, uh oh. 449711[/snapback] I can't say LOL (because it's tragic for everyone involved), but at the same time, you have to wonder what kind of bad ju ju Haslett's team is under. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ramius Posted September 21, 2005 Share Posted September 21, 2005 Stupid !@#$ing media. Yes, it's a category 5...and the media's reporting 165 kt winds. Except that those are flight-level winds. The surface wind estimate is actually 145 kt, gusting to 175 kt. Which is nothing to sneeze at, obviously (the difference between 155mph and 181mph, in practical terms, is negligable to anyone caught in it). But way to report accurately and not cave to alarmism, media. Central pressure's down to 914, too...stronger than Andrew, and into Katrina territory. 449770[/snapback] i know, when the media reports the flight-level winds, everyone panics ever more. Morons. But you hafta admit, shes an awfully pretty storm. Her and Katrina were 2 beautiful Cat 5 ladies out in the Gulf... living in FL has gotten me addicted to hurricanes...i have a reasonably strong math background, i may just ditch biophysics grad school and get a meteorology degree and become a hurricane chaser/storm expert...that would be fun... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KD in CA Posted September 21, 2005 Share Posted September 21, 2005 That B word Rita is now a CATEGORY 5!!! Houston, we have a problem. WTF? Wasn't this still a tropical storm 2 days ago? It's amazing how quickly these storms can ramp up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ramius Posted September 21, 2005 Share Posted September 21, 2005 WTF? Wasn't this still a tropical storm 2 days ago? It's amazing how quickly these storms can ramp up. 449813[/snapback] Low shear, high convection, anti-cyclonic activity in the upper atmosphere...all coupled with the fact that the gulf is literally as warm as piss... Mix ingredients from above... Add in a tropical wave (a low pressure trougth)... Spin and release... perfect ingredients for a large hurricane... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GoodBye Posted September 21, 2005 Share Posted September 21, 2005 Everybody oughta move to Ohio. 449366[/snapback] Or Oregon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SDS Posted September 21, 2005 Share Posted September 21, 2005 Or Oregon. 449845[/snapback] I heard the women are beautiful there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GoodBye Posted September 21, 2005 Share Posted September 21, 2005 I heard the women are beautiful there... 449860[/snapback] Yes, we are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rastabillz Posted September 21, 2005 Share Posted September 21, 2005 i know, when the media reports the flight-level winds, everyone panics ever more. Morons. But you hafta admit, shes an awfully pretty storm. Her and Katrina were 2 beautiful Cat 5 ladies out in the Gulf... living in FL has gotten me addicted to hurricanes...i have a reasonably strong math background, i may just ditch biophysics grad school and get a meteorology degree and become a hurricane chaser/storm expert...that would be fun... 449790[/snapback] Since I'm a meteorologist, I feel I can offer some insight. Yes, the 165 mph winds are flight level winds...but winds this strong can mix down down in gusts to the surface in the heavy squalls surrounding the eyewall. For intense well organized storms like this, the National Hurricane Center uses a 90% reduction, i.e. they take off about 10% of the max flight level winds to determine the max surface wind gusts. I am not an alarmist by nature, but what we are looking at now in satellite is a perfect storm. Just about eveything a hurricane needs to intensify is occurring with the storm. Very warm water, low shear, symeterical outflow. I beame alramed earlier today when I saw the small eye and pefrectly symetrical very cold cloud tops surrounding the storm. Rita will likely continue to intensify for the next 12-18 hours, especially now that she is crossing the warm loop current. Fortunately storms this strong have a hard time maintaining this intensity and it should "weaken" down to category 4 storm after 24 hours, if not sooner. It is difficult to accurately forecast shear far out in time, so hopefully Rita will encounter some soon. I also think that the storm could encounter some dry mid level air which would also weaken her. Realistically I do not see how this storm could drop below category 3 since the gulf water temperatures will remain above 80, and a category 4 at landfall is very possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SDS Posted September 21, 2005 Share Posted September 21, 2005 Yes, we are. 449863[/snapback] It's sad what you girls have to choose from in men there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyemike Posted September 21, 2005 Share Posted September 21, 2005 Houston, we have a problem. 449696[/snapback] I should say so. I saw the cameras on the freeways in and around Houston. People are leaving. Galveston has been ordered evacuated. What a freaking mess. BTW, just heard the official Katrina death toll has reached 1,000+. As I said, what a mess. Mike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyemike Posted September 21, 2005 Share Posted September 21, 2005 With where rita is going, and your comment, all i hafta say is... "There's nothing wrong with Ohio except the snow and the rain I really like Drew Carey and I'd love to see the Rock n' Roll Hall of Fame So when your done doing whatever and when your thru doing whoever you know Denton County will be right here waiting for you.... Come back to Texas Its just not the same since you went away Before you lose your accent and forget all about the Lonestar State There's a seat for you at the rodeo and I've got every slow dance saved Besides the Mexican food sucks north of here anyway" 449396[/snapback] I think that's "Ohio" by Bowling for Soup, correct? Oh, and to the person who has the issues with religious fundamentalists, I've heard pretty much the same thing. I'm a devout Christian, but I don't wanna give the doomsayers any quarter. Jesus said He'd come back, and it's His time, not ours or yours or anyone else's. These things are cyclical...but I do not believe that the end is near...yet. I'm safe here in Ohio, but with all the hurricanes, I'm starting to wonder how bad this winter's gonna be. We had 117 inches of snow last winter. Mike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyemike Posted September 21, 2005 Share Posted September 21, 2005 im told its a "biblical" thing, and we will see more of this, this year. so should i just punch them in the face, or should i punch my self in the face cus i have to live in a world of idiots??? 449442[/snapback] Oops. That was you. The above post is directed towards you. Mike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
erynthered Posted September 21, 2005 Share Posted September 21, 2005 Yes, we are. 449863[/snapback] You're a shameless Bill's fan, and we love you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ramius Posted September 22, 2005 Share Posted September 22, 2005 Rita's now the 3rd strongest storm on record...shes at 898 millibars... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crap Throwing Monkey Posted September 22, 2005 Share Posted September 22, 2005 Rita's now the 3rd strongest storm on record...shes at 898 millibars... 449942[/snapback] 898????? Holy hell. That's wicked. Someone correct me if I'm wrong (but I don't think I am)...wasn't Gilbert the all-time low pressure, at something like 888? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nanker Posted September 22, 2005 Share Posted September 22, 2005 Rita's now the 3rd strongest storm on record...shes at 898 millibars... 449942[/snapback] I'm going to toss a bag of ice in the ocean to cool things down a little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rastabillz Posted September 22, 2005 Share Posted September 22, 2005 898????? Holy hell. That's wicked. Someone correct me if I'm wrong (but I don't think I am)...wasn't Gilbert the all-time low pressure, at something like 888? 449958[/snapback] Yes, I' m pretty sure Gilbert had the lowest pressure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Campy Posted September 22, 2005 Share Posted September 22, 2005 Since I'm a meteorologist, I feel I can offer some insight. 449871[/snapback] Who are you with, the MSC, NWS, or a commercial outlet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rastabillz Posted September 22, 2005 Share Posted September 22, 2005 NWS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KD in CA Posted September 22, 2005 Share Posted September 22, 2005 Do any of the oil industry experts here have any thoughts on the potential impact of Rita? Are there a lot of refineries in the impact area? Are we in for a $.40 bump in gas prices next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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