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The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19


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57 minutes ago, Big Blitz said:

 

 

I'm totally buying the 15-20% infected needed to hit herd immunity.  


 

I’m a subscriber to this theory.  That other coronavirus’s and flus have helped build up some level of immunity to COVID, not a complete level but partial immunity to a significant portion of the population and when you add a heavy hit area of around 20%+ that there is a herd immunity sort of effect.  The rationale makes sense and when you couple that with the fact that every major area that was hit with this sort heavy COVID infection rate hasn’t even whiffed any second wave, it points to this possibility seemingly the more likely scenario.

 

Miami, L.A, Dallas, Phoenix and Houston will soon “burn out”.  But they will have to reach at a minimum of 15% before it begins to taper off.

 

I don’t believe we will see as many COVID infections in November or December as people fear.   Most of the major cities under this theory that I believe is increasingly likely would have already burnt out by then.

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3 minutes ago, Magox said:


 

I’m a subscriber to this theory.  That other coronavirus’s and flus have helped build up some level of immunity to COVID, not a complete level but partial immunity to a significant portion of the population and when you add a heavy hit area of around 20%+ that there is a herd immunity sort of effect.  The rationale makes sense and when you couple that with the fact that every major area that was hit with this sort heavy COVID infection rate hasn’t even whiffed any second wave, it points to this possibility seemingly the more likely scenario.

 

Miami, L.A, Dallas, Phoenix and Houston will soon “burn out”.  But they will have to reach at a minimum of 15% before it begins to taper off.

 

I don’t believe we will see as many COVID infections in November or December as people fear.   Most of the major cities under this theory that I believe is increasingly likely would have already burnt out by then.


@shoshin will tell you this is unfounded Trumpian wishful thinking.  

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2 hours ago, keepthefaith said:

 

This only matters if you see the virus as a threat.  It's not a threat to anyone but the old/sick/obese.  They were caught off guard early on and that's unfortunate. 

 

Those people can choose to protect themselves for now.  The rest of us have nothing to fear.  Spread among low risk people is a plus, the more the better.

 

That's like half the country.

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1 hour ago, 123719bwiqrb said:


@shoshin will tell you this is unfounded Trumpian wishful thinking.  


 

People are nearly fully out in New York City, Italy, France, Belgium, Sweden and the U.K. and they were all hard hit and they seem to have hit that “burn out” level and are showing no signs of increased infections. 
 

Same goes for Boston, New Jersey and Connecticut.  The infections have plummeted and no signs of re-emerging.

 

The places that are most risk of increased infections are the places that haven’t burnt out and ironically the hottest temperatures. 

 

 

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2 hours ago, Big Blitz said:

This is insane.  Yea we're done here...

 

 

 

What a ridiculous load of crap.  The TDS is so strong these people would literally rather see soaring death rates than have to admit the worst may be over.

 

 

p.s.   Wouldn't it be wonderful if we hunted down and publicly executed every person who ever used the word "weaponize" in a political context.

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The precedents being set right now are so beyond alarming.  Every flu season you're going to hear about new strains.  And panic!  Imagine if Twitter was as prominent in 2009 as it is now.  And Trump was president....obviously 

 

 

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2 minutes ago, Big Blitz said:

The precedents being set right now are so beyond alarming.  Every flu season you're going to hear about new strains.  And panic!  Imagine if Twitter was as prominent in 2009 as it is now.  And Trump was president....obviously 

 

 

It spares the young but they can be carriers.  I can't take seriously somebody that compares 135,000 deaths and rising within four months to 12,469 deaths over a year.

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2 minutes ago, BillStime said:


Kinda like that Unite the Right guy who plowed over that woman?

 

Dont worry bro - you won’t be replaced! 

In the highway?

Edit: My bad, you mean from 2017. The White Supremacist Neo-Nazi guy? He aint me bro.

Second Edit: why you dodging the original question bro?

Edited by fansince88
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5 hours ago, Gary M said:

 

I think Trump wins in a landslide, the curtain has been pulled back and the dems have been exposed for the socialist/marxists that they are.

 

They allowed the riots and destruction, they killed grandmas, and violated our trust with the extended shutdowns.

 

That is not what most Americans want. 6.5 million background checks Jan 01, 2020 til April 30 2020, those are new Trump voters, because the old trump voters already had their "arsenals".

 

 

How many are asymptomatic or testing positive for antibodies?

 

How many hospitalizations/deaths, or are we not talking about that?

 

Just throwing out the big numbers from all the testing to incite panic.

 

a percentage  of the population has to get corona to reach HIT (herd immunity threshold) which is estimated at 20-40% is anyone tracking that number?

 

Lets go with 30% that means 98,400,000 Americans have to test positive before we are at the HIT. With 3.2 million testing positive we are at 3.2%

 

 

I think scientists agree herd immunity for covid would be in the 65-75% range for exposures to the virus.

 

As to hospitalizations and deaths in LA, their hospitalizations are climbing, and as we have seen, deaths are a lagging indicator so get back to me in a month.

 

I just find it interesting they are the first state to "respike."

 

 

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