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Bills trade #10 for #27, a 3rd, and 2018 1st


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It's pretty standard.

It is math. It is not some type of opinion you can debate.

 

Run the actual numbers in the 2016 draft.

Run the actual numbers in the 9ers trade.

 

Oh - wow actual GMs in 2017 use the chart. shocker!

Its not math when subjective values are placed on these things. Jeez. Read a book for me one time!

 

I have an idea. I love you're 2014 Toyota Corolla that's worth 150 bucks. So I'll give you 150 for it. Sound good? When can I pick up.

Edited by dubs
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It's pretty standard.

It is math. It is not some type of opinion you can debate.

 

Run the actual numbers in the 2016 draft.

Run the actual numbers in the 9ers trade.

 

Oh - wow actual GMs in 2017 use the chart. shocker!

 

I could be wrong but doesn't the Bears/49ers trade blow the trade value chart away?

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I could be wrong but doesn't the Bears/49ers trade blow the trade value chart away?

You are wrong. The delta is 400 on the chart and the Bears gave up about exactly 400

But it's math! Whaley sucks. Ralph is cheap!!!!

You're a clown.
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I could be wrong but doesn't the Bears/49ers trade blow the trade value chart away?

 

Bears 2600

 

49ers 2200+255+104+41= 2600

 

It's right using the rough rule of thumb method of devaluing future picks by 1 round.

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Something I'll never understand: all you guys who know more than the Bills and could have done better...why are you all sitting here on a Thursday night posting on a random message board for a bad football team?

 

Why aren't you in the War Room in Philly? We need you geniuses, dammit!

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Bears 2600

 

49ers 2200+255+104+41= 2600

 

It's right using the rough rule of thumb method of devaluing future picks by 1 round.

 

So going by this idea, a 3rd round pick in 2018 is worth less than a 5th round pick right now? I mean it adds up, but that seems like silly logic. You get the guy for 5 years either way. I understand the "make an impact now" idea, but the Bears, Browns, 49ers, and maybe even the Bills aren't contending anytime soon for this to be considered.

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So going by this idea, a 3rd round pick in 2018 is worth less than a 5th round pick right now? I mean it adds up, but that seems like silly logic. You get the guy for 5 years either way. I understand the "make an impact now" idea, but the Bears, Browns, 49ers, and maybe even the Bills aren't contending anytime soon for this to be considered.

Don't do any independent thinking. It's all about math and the chart.

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It's pretty standard.

It is math. It is not some type of opinion you can debate.

 

Run the actual numbers in the 2016 draft.

Run the actual numbers in the 9ers trade.

 

Oh - wow actual GMs in 2017 use the chart. shocker!

 

Run the numbers on how many future #1 overall picks you would have to trade to get this year's #1 overall pick using the "1-round deduction" for future drafts. Never gonna happen. These are guidelines, not straight math.

 

Also, everyone already knows the Bears got fleeced hard, so the fact that the numbers line up almost exactly should tell you how inaccurate they are.

Edited by MPT
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So going by this idea, a 3rd round pick in 2018 is worth less than a 5th round pick right now? I mean it adds up, but that seems like silly logic. You get the guy for 5 years either way. I understand the "make an impact now" idea, but the Bears, Browns, 49ers, and maybe even the Bills aren't contending anytime soon for this to be considered.

 

With the rough rule of thumb, the 3rd in 2018 would be worth a 4th this year. From what I understand, most teams use their own internal chart that vary slightly from the one posted here.

 

Also, it's very important to understand that each draft is different and results can vary wildly depending on who is available. For example, there is no way you were trading into the #2 spot for the Luck/RG3 draft like Chicago did today. It took a king's ransom to get that pick because of the players involved.

 

The naysayers can point out the aberrations, but for the most part the draft chart is still very much alive.

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I guess, but you still get 5 years out of both players.

But the person who makes that trade is more likely to be gone because of unmet expectations. Delayed gratification amounts to career suicide in a short term business like the nfl. If mcdermott has two losing seasons, he will be gone. Bank on it.

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