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Football Outsiders 2016 Season DVOA Rankings


26CornerBlitz

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@fboutsiders

Check out our updated 2016 DVOA projections, accounting for preseason injuries and personnel moves. http://www.footballoutsiders.com/dvoa-ratings/2016/2016-dvoa-projections

 

Interesting, if you apply the rankings to our schedule, I get 9 times we have the higher ranking and 7 times our opponent does. Plus, we get off to a relatively tough start of 1-3. The end of the year is our salvation.

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@fboutsiders

ESPN Insider: running through all 32 teams in FO's playoff odds, with commentary: https://t.co/24Kev6OO1s

 

@lebronstein

Jonah Bronstein Retweeted Football Outsiders

Bills at 40%, higher than preseason odds, highest among 2-2 teams in AFC

 

 

CONTENDERS

7. Buffalo Bills (2-2)

 

Odds of making playoffs: 40.0 percent

 

The Bills are a difficult team to get a read on because of the circumstances surrounding their season. Right now, they rank 10th in DVOA, higher than any other 2-2 team. Their 33-18 win over Arizona will look better to our numbers if the Cardinals can fix their problems and play more like they did in 2015, but it will look worse to our subjective opinions if the Cardinals keep struggling all season. And how much credit does the Bills' defense really deserve for shutting out a Patriots offense that was using an injured third-string quarterback?

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CONTENDERS

7. Buffalo Bills (2-2)

 

Odds of making playoffs: 40.0 percent

 

The Bills are a difficult team to get a read on because of the circumstances surrounding their season. Right now, they rank 10th in DVOA, higher than any other 2-2 team. Their 33-18 win over Arizona will look better to our numbers if the Cardinals can fix their problems and play more like they did in 2015, but it will look worse to our subjective opinions if the Cardinals keep struggling all season. And how much credit does the Bills' defense really deserve for shutting out a Patriots offense that was using an injured third-string quarterback?

I guess the question would be how much credit do the Patriots get for shutting out the Texans with the same line up the previous week? Follow up question - how much credit do the Texans get for dominating the weakest division in football? This is all BS. Edited by MDFan
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@fboutsiders

 

New DVOA: Seattle returns to its familiar place at No. 1, now the only team in the top 10 both offense and defense. http://www.footballoutsiders.com/dvoa-ratings/2016/week-11-dvoa-ratings

 

Bills #9 Overall with # 7 Offense, #16 Defense, and #17 ST.

 

So even with all the injuries it appears the Bills are playing above average but getting below average results for their level of play...us and Pittsburgh(10th) are the only teams in the top 10 without a winning record

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