It's not just that, though. If you compare youth votes for the candidate that won the election in the primary and the general election, the turnout rates fall. As young people learn more about the candidates and watch the election, the turnout rate falls.
IMO, the question isn't whether its going to drop, but how far.
This was actually something we looked at in one of my political psychology courses, and while it was considered a small impedence, the academic studies showed at least in the studies done around 2004, race wouldn't be all that big of a problem, which I think is one of the reasons why Obama decided to run this year. The studies also showed that being a Woman provided a much bigger barrier (again, though, not necessarily impossible to overcome).
Which is quite an accomplishment, certainly, but his donor profile doesn't look all that different from previous candidates. He's oing a great job extracting as much money as he can from them.
indeed.
I still don't think its a good idea. Obama aint gonna win Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Arkansas, etc.
Yep, it has some unique qualities to it, and you summed it up nicely - I don't think the differences are as large as you.