dave mcbride

That was a game-deciding play too.

Allen had the lowest sack rate in 2023 too.

Further update: The trend has gotten progressively worse as the season has gone on. And yesterday, any normal QB would have been sacked more than three times given Miami's 17 pressures. He escaped a few that would have resulted in sacks for most others.

Good post, but the Panthers were really good in 2013 too, going 12-4 and leading the league in sacks. Their D finished second overall in both points allowed and yards given up. Hmm ... how does this actually work? EDIT: I looked it up and now see. I stand corrected. He's on the books for next season.

Milano won't count against the cap next year. He's a free agent after this season because his contract was restructured to a one-year deal (2025 only).

Chubb is a really good player. I'm always pretty impressed when I watch him. The other thing about Chubb is that when I think of him, I can only think of Josh Allen. John Elway had a chance to take Allen, who was playing next door at Wyoming, and instead chose a defensive end at the #4 overall pick.

Update: He's 20th in the league this season and slightly worse than league average. The company directly beneath him is mostly (but not entirely) pretty bad. Maye gets sacked a lot, but I think that's pretty typical for a second year qb.

Sacks are really bad. Usually, they are drive killers. Luckily for the Bills, Josh Allen is really good at avoiding sacks. Like, REALLY good. And it's not as if he's lost a step. Yet he is being sacked at a very high rate this season: 7.1 percent, his highest rate since 2019. His offensive line is both very good and healthy, so I'm not blaming either him or the line. At any rate, note the rates in the last column below. He led the league in 2023 with the lowest sack rate, yet was even better last year: a ridiculously low 2.82 percent. Derek Carr was somehow the league leader but he missed nearly half the season, so I'm giving the crown to Allen. That means he basically led the league two years in a row at being the best QB in avoiding sacks. His sack rate this year is perhaps the strongest indictment there is of wide receiver talent and passing game design. Jeff Ulbrich taught the league that you can relentlessly blitz Allen (which the Dolphins did yesterday) without a ton of fear given the wide receiver talent and (possibly; I don't know enough) the passing game scheme. With regard to scheme, is Allen not being given answers in blitz situations? He used to absolutely DESTROY blitzes. Not this year.

Houston has the best run defense in the league by EPA right now. They stifled the Bills last season too.

He threw that exact same pass five weeks ago against the same coverage vs the Saints and it was picked off by the safety!

This seems like a pretty bad read of that play. The safety was watching Allen the whole time and was positioned to get over to Coleman if the ball went that way.

Is this a real possibility? Have you heard anything? Simply curious.

It wasn’t pi. He was playing for the back shoulder throw flag but the ball traveled BEYOND him. It’s gotta be behind him. It wasn’t.

That pass was supposed to got cook but he was completely covered. Allen just did a desperation heave instead. That’s gotta be an Allen sneak. By far and away that’s the highest percentage play.

Pretty terrible drop by thornton

Not saying he’s great, but PFF has a longtime rep of underscoring heavy zone DBs because of separation measures. They infamously had Tre rated fairly low in 2019, when he was a first team all pro (entirely deserved, btw).

Is Tre really playing that badly? My guess is that he's been playing at a league average level for a starting CB. He's hardly a disaster out there and is objectively better for every starting CB for the Dallas Cowboys.

The Miami game is super important — divisional and in-conference.

Does a healthy Josh Palmer who is more integrated into the offense (and hence receiving more targets) move the needle for you? I ask because his separation stats are pretty good: https://sports.yahoo.com/article/7-things-know-buffalo-bills-164148184.html Going to echo others here, but that Baltimore team that the Bills faced was elite. They weren't by games 4-5 because of a ridiculous number of injuries to key players, but that was an impressive win. I actually expect them to win the AFC North at the end of the day. They still have two games vs Pittsburgh, so they control their own fate.

KC's defense is extremely good, NE's defense is extremely good, and Carolina's is better than average. Yet the Bills put up over 400 yards vs both Carolina and KC. They put up 363 vs. NE. Finally, in the first game of the season, Baltimore was unquestionably elite because they were healthy (plus they had the best defense in the league by far the second half of last season). The Bills shredded them - 497 yards and 41 points.

I thought and still think the Bills would have demolished the Bengals that year. It would have been in Buffalo, the weather would have been bad, and the Bengals o-line that years was TERRIBLE. They had fluky victories over both TN and the Chiefs, and Mahomes had the yips in that game. Worst game he ever played despite building a huge lead early. Also, the Bills' offense was freaking unstoppable at that point. I think they would have handled the Rams easily too, as they did their very next game in the 2022 season opener.

All I could think of when I saw this piece was this: https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/19/world/americas/argentina-election-javier-milei.html

Corey Coleman is a true deep cut.

Curtis samuel ran a 4.31 at the combine. After all the leg ailments, getting older, and the punishment that comes with being in the league for 7 years, I suspect his 40 time is a good bit slower these days.

It's a time value of money sort of thing. The Seahawks are legit and in it to win it this year, not two years down the road. 100 percent.