TrentEdwardsCheckDownOn4th

Hypotheitcal question about the miami game... let's say miami beats Baltimore and has the divison locked up heading into the last week. And also the bills locked up a playoff spot after beating new England. A buffalo win In week 18 would almost certainly mean the 6th seed and a matchup @ kansas city. Or a loss to Miami and bills finish as the 7th seed at Baltimore. Which would you prefer?

The chiefs are essentially locked into the 3 seed. They obv wont catch Baltimore for the 1 seed. They almost certainly can't catch miami or buffalo for the 2 seed. And they hold the tiebreaker over Jacksonville so they won't be the 4 seed. And chiefs only need one more win to clinch their division. If bills somehow win division their path looks something like: Steelers at home Chiefs at home Baltimore on road or maybe Miami at home Wow! How awesome would a home championship game be.

This is not a very Einstein like take...

Looking more and more likely that the chiefs finish with the 3 seed. And if bills don't win the division, their most likely spot would be the 6th seed and a 1st round playoff matchup at Kansas city. Win that game and the divisional round would be at Miami or Baltimore, Vs. Winning the division and getting the #2 seed and playing a team like Pittsburgh at home in the wild card followed by the chiefs at home. Winning the divison is going to be huge this year.

Has there ever been 2 defensive scores back to back? My guess is no

I believe the bills clinch if the jags lose as well. So for example : Bills wIn , cinci loss , Pittsburgh WIN, jags loss also gets the bills in

If New England wins tonight the NYT playoff simulator says the bills are 95% to make the playoffs at 10-7.

Yeah a lot went the bills way today. They will be able to clinch a playoff spot next week if they win and a couple games go their way.

I tried using it last night and had the same issue

Are we positive the bills cannot get the #1 seed? Is it mathematically impossible?

Martin the only one showing up today.

The bills losing this game may be a blessing in disguise. Instead of an early playoff exit again , we can hire a better coach like Jim harbaugh and win a superbowl.

I think taking the ball first statistically gives you the best odds of winning. Sure the other team gets a chance to posess the ball and it would be nice to go second so you know what you're up against. But what happens if both teams score a touchdown? Then the first team gets the ball, and now all they need to do is score a FG to win. The other team doesn't get a chance to match the FG. Also, lmao at thinking OBD is following this forum.

Which games will be flexed in week 18? There will be two saturday prime time games and then of course the sunday night game that needs to be flexed. Below are the 6 games where both teams could potentially still be in playoff contention , I can't imagine any other games being flex worthy. I'd imagine the NFL wants the Sunday night game to be a game with playoff implications, regardless of what happens in the other games. Meaning a game that is for a division and not a game between two teams fighting for wild cards that could potentially be eliminated before the game even begins. I put my predictions below: Texans @ Colts Bills @ Phins (Sunday Night) Vikings @ Lions Falcons @ Saints (Saturday Night) Steelers @ Ravens Rams @ 49ers Browns @ Bengals (Saturday Afternoon)

I care a lot more about Indianapolis at Atlanta than Detroit Vs. Minnesota. Thanks a lot FOX

Unless we are talking about the division, all of these wild card scenario talks should be centered around assuming the bills lose one game. If the bills win out we know they're almost certainly in. The interesting scenarios involve a bills loss to Miami. If we go 10-7 our odds are 52% according to NYT. And Our biggest rooting interests this week would be: Steelers over Bengals, and our odds improve to 64% if the steelers win, and drops to 42% if bengals win . Falcons over the colts (64% vs 43%) Browns over Texans (61% vs 47%) Bucs over Jags (61% vs. 43%) Patriots over Broncos (64% vs. 50%) If all of the above teams lose this week, and assuming we finish 10-7, our odds would skyrocket to 95%.

I think getting the 2 seed is more important than most think. Of course we just want to make the playoffs at this point, but ideally we dont get the #3 seed. I'd actually prefer the #4 seed over the #3 seed. The Chiefs probably win out and finish second. That means whoever finishes 3rd could play at arrowhead in the divisional round. That place and the bad playoff vibes around it, feel like the only thing that can stop the bills from making the superbowl. I'd much rather be the 4th seed and play at Baltimore in the divisional round.

In case it hasn't already been mentioned, the bills are Officially out of the running for the #1 seed. Even If the bills and ravens finish tied at 11-6 , they will have the same conference record but the ravens will have a better record vs. Common opponents.

I am hoping Baltimore wins because I don't want the chiefs to get the 1 seed.

Von has gotten pressure on multiple occasions today. I'm willing to eat my words, I thought he was done but he's looked better these past 2 Games.

Diggs again with a bad game. After the 1st half he has a drop and a fumble that luckily Dallas didn't challenge . That was also the same play that allen got sacked because they rushed to snap the ball before Dallas could challenge

A Texans tie is the same as a loss for them. We don't hold the tiebreaker vs them

Free win for the bills next week.

He's 30 years old and on the tail end of his career. He's definitely slowed down and anyone that says otherwise is kidding themselves. Because of his contract the bills are stuck with him for at least one more year . 2025 is going to look a lot different with no Gabe, diggs, Miller , or knox. Tons of cap space will be opened up. The bills could be a juggernaut in 2025 if beane plays his cards right.

He had a huge pressure on third down late in the game to get mahomes off the field. Were we watching the same game ? This was definitely his best game since the injury.