Reasonable logical conclusions need to be drawn on a dataset that has a large enough sample size.
Josh has the most turnovers (and overall touchdowns) in the last five years or so, I heard in a video today.
And Beast's thread on his TD/INT ratio since last year's KC game is a large sample of very recent evidence that Josh has been a turnover machine for a long stretch now.
He played poorly against Miami and Cincy in the playoffs.
And then, after all the talk and off-season resetting and "focus," he played a horrible game last night. The sample size is large and it absolutely recent.
Is his elbow to blame? His O-line? His coaching? His head-space?
I don't know. And I hope I'm wrong but until Josh starts to play at an elite level for a good stretch and including against elite teams, I think at the moment he is no longer an elite QB. An elite athlete, yes, but he has not shown elite game processing for a long time time.
I hope I'm wrong and/or it turns around. I'm not super confident. 😕