Mikie2times

Tell you what, if McD gets us to a Super Bowl I will wear a dress and take an adult size inflatable sex toy with a shirt that says McClappin for life to my local watering hole. Order dinner for two. And take plenty of photos for the board. Not that it’s very far off from my normal post work Monday. But the point is none of the “haters” want to be right on this. We would all want nothing more to be epically wrong. To eat crow for life and bath in shame for eternity.

The 90’s filled my bowl of winning without winning the big one. I want the actual big one now. I guess that makes me miserable. As for the regular season, let’s shoot for reasons why we might think the postseason will be different. Let’s start with winning some games against contenders. 0-2 in that regard thus far. Chiefs and Lions on deck. I think we can hang with regular season KC but I still really want to see it happen. Lions will likely steam roll us. Burrow was hurt 2 years in that stretch and they got robbed on a phantom call in the Super Bowl Bills fans would still be talking about if the role was reversed. Not to mention, they beat KC, nearly twice in the playoffs, and kicked our A$$ at home. Sign me up for those Cincinnati failures vs the McD success story.

Given the state of the AFC East since 2020, having Josh, what would you have expected us to accomplish thus far? Missing the playoffs? The league has about 5 real difference makers at QB and having one is a massive advantage.

Isn’t that the goal? A Super Bowl? Something beyond what one would expect? Did you not expect a Wild Card appearance in the worst division in football with a hall of fame QB? That is the absolute floor and exactly what we have accomplished. Sorry I don’t join the ball wash club after every regular season win vs Mac Jones. If you want me to change my tune win a game that matters in the postseason. That SHOULD matter, to all of us. Until that happens it’s not very hard to see these threads as exactly the reason things will never change. Which is exactly why I’m a prick in every one of them.

Last thing I’m going to add to this. When teams march out Mason Rudolph, Geno Smith, a 90 year old Aaron Rogers, yes, it only matters that we have Josh. It is enough to win 3 out of 4 of those games as we have for a long time. Where the things you call out matter is when you face other great QB’s. Then you need the roster, the coaching, and the rest of it. Which is why we can’t get past the divisional round.

Would you trade what we have done for what the Bengals have done? Multiple conferences title appearances and a Super Bowl appearance? Keep in mind they lost Burrow last year and still nearly made the playoffs. I don’t know how you couldn’t trade that. The AFC East champs is like being the fastest one legged man at this point.

That’s not what the data shows The league average win rate with QB play at Josh’s level is exactly what we have done.

QB records the last 3 years with a 65 or better QBR (excluding Allen) 119-43 73.5% Allen's record the last 3 years (all 3 at 65 or better) 35-15 70% Lets not overcomplicate things

All three of these takes are spot on

The played the Raiders week 2 half asleep off the KC game and a Browns team that was a bad match up for them and really anybody in the NFL if Winston is hot as he was in that game. They have beat multiple playoff contenders at this point, including Buffalo. They're way ahead of us at this time and if you think that isn't accurate then we are far away enough in what we are seeing that it's not worth discussing further.

It's a hit he has delivered several times as a Bill.

It was a great win. Thrilling and completely not Billsy. I don't believe I have seen anything from the team this year that allows them to beat Baltimore and likely KC (if they figure anything out on offense). We have largely won the games we should win. Lost the ones in which we wanted to find out more about how good we are. Nobody really looks good this year outside of maybe Baltimore and Detroit, so perhaps style points are not something we should care about but this team doesn't historically ascend come playoff time. We have room to grow still and wins vs either KC or Detroit would do a lot to quiet what I'm saying.

The Bills play plenty of man. So maybe it's the scheme and something we don't readily see, but the Bills play the 12th most man coverage in the NFL according to the recent splits.

I don’t remember many of these threads the last 5 years

It probably helped him being so long. Not much to think about on a kick like that.

The last three Miami games (including this one) 2 of 3 they led at halftime. Last game vs them we really didn’t play well on offense. Turnovers and off schedule Allen plays drove the lopsided result. The game script so far is not surprising TBH.

Josh was very fortunate on that play

By most accounts he is a very good guy. But certainly not hard to hate the football player.

Get um Jim

I would take Cook over Hall but past that the 3 Jets players rightfully get more credit.

Look at who they beat outside of us. Offense is not getting it done. Mostly been from the defense

Betting is so funny to me. Literally everything goes your way or nothing does. It will swing for weeks like this. Time left for the Jets to F it up but what a break if you have the Jets spread.

People, the shin has always been equal to a player being down. It's not a new rule. You usually only see it applied on determining if a runner is down. Not if he is inbounds. But it can be used that way as well.

Shin has always been two feet. You're down if your shin touches.

Stroud performs worse on the road. Worse in open air. Texans are 2-3 on the road with those wins vs New England and the Colts (by 2 points). They have 5 wins by 18 points total vs many lackluster teams. Now Diggs is out on top of the other injuries. It's getting excessive. Houston and the Jets both have serious protection issues. This is actually a very even match up with the Jets at home but the bottom line is whenever I see a game with a 2-6 team favored over a 6-2 team and that 6-2 team is getting hammered by the public I either stay away all together or hammer the opposite team. I'm hesitant to agree with the theory of "trap games" as to me a "trap game" can be recognized in data usually. They tend to be more situation in which perception just doesn't align with what is happening. That is the case in this spot. The spread isn't off, but it sure appears that way. Usually those are good spots to go opposite of the "sure thing". I'll take the Jets all day here. Under is live as well.