Florida Bills Fanatic

second round guy

It would be interesting to correlate the data with good or elite QB play. Some of the guys going in the top half of the draft probably went into a bad QB situation. No matter who the Bills select, they will be under a lot of scrutiny and will constantly be compared to Diggs.

Beane's first round M.O. has been to move up to get a guy they like, if there is a chance the player isn't going to get to them. It will all depend on who they like and where that player or players are likely to be selected. A lot of people expect 5 QB's and as many as 6 OT's going in the first round. If that happens, a good receiver should fall within range to move up. With 10 draft picks this year and the extra second rounder next year, Beane has the capital to make a couple of moves. I'll be surprised if they actually select more than 7 players. The other picks will probably be used to move around. If there isn't a player available to them at 28 that they like at that price, a trade back could happen. I believe that Beane really wants to gain a pick before the end of the third round and those two factors could motivate him to trade back.

How about Bass hole?

When I look around the league and see the number of good receivers that were not drafted in the first round, I get the feeling that fans are more locked into a first round receiver than Beane. The depth in this draft also contributes to that feeling. Beane isn't prone to making abrupt moves without a plan. Trading Diggs wasn't done in a vacuum. The Bills must be confident of drafting a guy that can be a good player or they believe that somebody like Shorter or Hamler can do the job. I thought Diggs looked slow and ineffective during the last half of the season. Davis was too inconsistent. Improving upon them doesn't seem like it should be much of a reach. The Bills may also believe that Allen is good enough to elevate the performance of less regarded draft prospects. In any event, I will be watching the draft unfold with a high degree of anxiety and a couple of adult beverages.

No GM is going to telegraph any info that will tip their plans for the draft. Given Beane's past, he is too clever to do otherwise.

I can't rule out any of your well thought out scenarios. They all could be accurate. Thanks

Thinking back, I felt the same way when Hyde and Poyer showed up. Neither had really given an indication of how good they would become. McD needs to work his magic. I do hope the Bills draft someone that can play sooner rather than later. Having to play Lewis and Hamlin would be a nightmare scenario.

Picking a day two talent with a first round pick is a losing strategy for the long run. Fortunately, there are more receivers with first round talent than are likely to be selected in the first round. Even with the numbers stacked like that, there are no guarantees that the Bills will even like any of those guys that are available. I do hope they select a highly graded receiver in the first round. IMHO they need to be prepared to replace Diggs in a year. Beane has not shown the propensity to over reach in the draft and I don't expect him to this year. If they go with a day two guy, they probably know something that we don't.

It is highly probable that a WR worthy of pick 28 will be available. There are also a large number of receivers that make sense for a day two pick and should not be selected in the first round.

It is all going to come down to perceived value, supply, and demand. A run on receivers or d-tackles might force Beane in one direction. It could also be a situation where a player drops and is the best value on the board. We won't know for sure until the draft unfolds. I am confident that having 5 or 6 teams taking QB's before pick 28 will guarantee that some really good value will be available. As free agency unfolds; WR, Safety, and d-tackle appear to be the most important needs. And to a lesser degree, they also need to add at CB and IOL. Because of the concentration of positional needs and the number of picks, Beane will be able to trade picks to move around and still pick more than one in some of these position groups. It's no surprise to me that Beane has himself in a great position going into the draft.

I think Beane will get a WR and DE in first two rounds. The order will depend on who is available. Day three will probably be safety, d-tackle, and interior o-line. I think that many of us have a much higher opinion on most of the WR's in the draft than the Bills do. It might be a case of the top three being really good and a large number of the rest being significantly less talented. The bust rate on highly drafted WR's seems high to me.

There's a good article on clutchpoints.com that provides a pretty good history on Samuel. The article can also be accessed through the Yahoo sports app.

This is a play to get ahead of the Giants at 6 to draft McCarthy. It's a pretty serious commitment of resources for a guy with mixed opinions from scouts. When your team is up the creek at QB, I guess you roll the dice and take the best shot available. We should all be glad that the Bills aren't in this situation. I hope 6 QB's go ahead of the Bills at 28 and good talent drops to them.

I guess you'll just have to watch him play because it is pretty clear that you have an opinion.