CincyBillsFan

Have at it. But if analytics is working then it must show FUTURE outcomes. Describing the past is not very important.

Absolutely I want them to win. Of course don't put starters at risk to get the win but keeping NE from the #1 draft spot is hardly a reason not to want the Bills to get a record number of wins in a regular season.

Rank ordering QB impact on wins/losses using analytics. Unlike Baseball there are not enough data points and the data is to subjective/variable to provide much insight.

Not great but I have the feeling that this playoff season we will see the best Bills D in the Allen era.

Hopefully even though this did not appear on the stat sheet as a completion, the voters take a hard look at this play:

I have a lot of experience in data analysis and football is not a good place to apply it. Sure, you can get some insight but for something like this it's a significant overreach. After all how do you factor this into the calculations:

I'm not sure I've ever read anything this passive/aggressive before in my life. In one paragraph you manage to throw shade and love at Allen more then a dozen times. Damn, that's impressive. Allen was just as important to the Bills success in 2020 as he is today. Do you think the back-up QB beats Indy in the wildcard round that year? I don't. In 2020 it was conventional wisdom to play your HEALTHY starters for about a half in these types of games.

Yep and I remember they would often leave the starting O line in for the first series with the back-up QB. Then they also would take a seat.

Allen and the starting Bills offense (healthy players only) should play one to two series (a total of 10 - 15 mostly scripted plays) which would match what they do in one of the preseason games. It's important for an offense to stay sharp on it's timing. There is also a real benefit to the starters of practicing for a purpose the entire week. Keeping the practice routine constant is real important at this time of the year. Of course anyone dinged up doesn't play. There are a lot of HOF and soon to be HOF coaches that believed in playing their starters even longer then this in end of the season "meaningless" games. They would argue that the risk of suffering negative effects from playing the starters is not as great as the risk of not playing them.

I'm to lazy to look it up but I would be curious as to their preseason predictions on where the Bills & Ravens would finish this season.

Given who they've beaten and how they beat them I'm not sure I would call their 4 game streak "peaking". It's a nice win streak and it's kept them alive for the playoffs but it's not like they beat the Vikings, Ravens and Chargers in this run. To me the Bengals are an average team that has beaten three bad teams and one average team in their 4 game winning streak.

Agree but IMO the results of that last playoff game are the icing on the cake why I think this team will come out with their hair on fire against the Bengals.

I don't get the fear of the Bengal's. If the game was in great weather conditions here in Cincinnati it would likely be a shootout and it would be a tough game for sure. But the game is in OP and the weather at best will be poor (windy & cold). Also check out who the Bengal's have beaten in the last 4 games: Cowboys, Titans, Browns & Broncos. Two of the teams had back-up QB's, one had a TO machine at QB and the other had a rookie.

I thought I heard on the TV yesterday that it was the first home undefeated season since 1990?

I disagree here. When Philips jumped into the stand the only ones in danger of getting hurt where the fans in the line of his jump and the stadium infrastructure. As an aside in the video where the D is celebrating the INT and Phillips does the Lambo leap check out the look on the fans face right before Phillips lands. I believe both guys saw Allen's hand signal and went to the place Allen wanted them to go. That pass would have been a great throw to either guy as each of them would have caught it if the other wasn't there.

I picked the Bengals as the 1st round opponent I most want to see and here's the reasons: * Payton scares me as a coach with a lot of playoff experience and the Broncos have a good running game. * I don't like the idea of having to beat a team THREE times in one season which is what we would need if the Dolphins make it. * The injury to the starting Bengal's RB (high ankle sprain) might seriously diminish an already weak running game. The weather is likely to make putting up huge numbers through the air difficult. Cincy has a bad D which should allow the Bills O to score a lot of points and control the clock as well. * Finally beating the Bengal's would be the most satisfying win against potential wildcard opponents. I also think Cincy is the team the Bills are most likely to bring their A game against and not look past to Baltimore.

And you know this how? McD must be fairly happy with Bishop or he wouldn't still be getting starts.

It's more then silly it's dumb. Bishop is getting significant playing time which tells me he's doing very well in practice. McD is not one to go lightly with his DB's. I also suspect that on game tape, Bishop is doing better then many of us realize given that McD is sticking with him. My own admittedly less then expert eyes sees him missing some stuff but also making some nice plays to. The one thing I have noticed is that he's fast and sticks his nose in the hole. I believe he will be a very good starting safety for the Bills for years to come. His comp as far as rookie season experience is Bernard & Williams.

Also, while Burrow hasn't turned over the ball much this season the TO's he's had have been very damaging. Three of his TO's (1 INT, 2 Fum) have been returned for TD's. Burrow's fumble TD's led directly to losing two critical games - KC & Pittsburgh - both decided by less then the TD. To me you must look inside the stats if stats are a big part of your MVP decision. The Ravens last 3 drives that game involved 2 punts and then a failure to score at the end when trailing. That is on Jackson.

And while Burrow is one of the top 5 elite QB's in the NFL his stats are inflated by his bad defense. He has spent a lot more time then Allen throwing against prevent defenses desperately trying to keep the Bengals in a game.

I have to say I don't remember a single pass today that should have been intercepted. And Allen was unlucky that Coleman dropped one of those passes that hit him in both hands 55 yards downfield.

In the replay I thought I saw Allen direct Coleman with a hand gesture to the place he wanted him to go for that shot?

NFL officials are doing their best to kill the sport. Their combination of incompetence and inconsistency is making games almost unwatchable. The last few seasons I have come to loath these cretins.

No his entire claim is based on the simple fact that Allen has been the most valuable player on his team by a wider margin then Jackson has been on his. And Allen's team has outperformed Jackson's team. The clincher is that very few expected Allen to play this well and the Bills to do this well this season.

Like many Bills fans the constant refrain by the "experts" of this point was depressing as the summer wore on. It was close to a universal opinion. Now none of these so called "exerts" seems to remember saying this.