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TheWeatherMan

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Everything posted by TheWeatherMan

  1. Completions to 5 different receivers on opening drive. Man this offense is a scary good.
  2. Few clouds with 6-10mph winds out of the west, no precipitation and temps in the low 60’s to upper 50’s and 85-90% relative humidity. Can’t ask for better weather for Orchard Park on a late September night.
  3. I agree, if we lose I’m thinking it will be because they scored more points not because Gabe didn’t play.
  4. David Sills is a starting WR in the NFL??? Guy couldn’t even make our practice squad.
  5. Josh’s Tostitos commercial is dumb. The guy has an amazing personality and that’s the best they could come up with?
  6. Mitch looked really good in the Bills system last year during the preseason which is why he got a deal with Pittsburgh. And yes, everyone is better than TUA.
  7. Even with a new backup, the Bills still have the best 2 QB’s in the division for the second year in a row.
  8. Colts look awful as well, Browns tied with Jets. Lots of bad teams this year.
  9. You didn’t put a smiley or add a “lol”, or “haha”to the end of your post. Those are the requisites for people to not take your posts seriously…lol 😛
  10. Massive hold not called. Two hands full of jersey.
  11. Fun fact, most on-air meteorologist’s aren’t meteorologist’s they are actors regurgitating forecasts and model data.
  12. Exactly! Actually, it’s not. Convincing people who have never studied meteorology and/or have professional forecast experience that they aren’t meteorologist’s is impossible. The weather for Orchard Park this time of year is not that dynamic and the models generally do well even 3-4 days out. You’re mostly timing frontal or trough passage which isn’t that hard to do compared to forecasting the band placement of lake effect snow.
  13. Ensemble’s don’t because they are probabilistic not deterministic, which is why they are so accurate as they account for a chaotic environment. They are exceptional at picking up on mesoscale features such as pulse (pop up) or air mass convection. Look up the NOAA HRRR, it’s amazing. The UKMO is the UK Model.
  14. Yes. Models are only as good as the forecaster interpreting and adjusting them. There’s a reason why all 3 of those models have a different solution. They are all way different and they are global models not regional which means generally a lower resolution. The UKMO is a gridded model as opposed to a spectral which has its benefits but is awful for long range forecasting (hence clear skies). Recomendado you take a look at the ensembles on the NOAA’s / NCEP webpage or hit up windy and take a look at the ECWMF which is the gold standard for global models.
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