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On halftime replay the Diggs bomb looked accurate until it took a right turn for the last 15 air yards. It was a good play and good throw absent the wind.

This is an incredibly shallow take. Most on this board are savvy enough to realize that individual plays aren't called in a vacuum. Plays are sometimes called to beat what the other team is calling, or more importantly to setup a desirable matchup on future plays. There were some great examples on the drive that had moss's injury and ended in the go route where we forced them into that play. The touchdown probably doesn't happen without what came before. Josh's outside scrambles and called outside runs forced the DLine into outside contain and then qb draws pulled the mid field coverage down to protect. The runs that people are complaining about literally caused a touchdown. The point of the OP was to try and deduce what was going on that warranted all the runs. To me it looked like overall the Colts had a great coverage game plan that took away alot of the shorter crossers and outs. They did it by rushing only 4 most of the time. We've been able to beat this in the past when the O line gives some time for guys to find a gap in coverage. Today, the O line lost the battle. The called runs were intended to slow down the outside pass rush and bring more into the box to open up the field. They initially didn't fall for it which was why we kept going back to the draw.

I feel like diggs and Allen had an average day. There's gotta be someone on the O line that had a career day with how clean the pocket was. Or someone deserving on the D line that turned our run defense around after the 1st quarter. Can we give a game ball to the officials for sticking to their principles and not calling the mugging of Addison?

That was some nice head down drive by singletary

Where's game 17?

I haven't read the Pats forum, but generally I'd agree with this. They are barren of talent and were heading down with or without Brady. It's why he got out. Granted, they'd be a better team with Brady, but it's not like he'd make that team a contender.

Gah. I swear I checked all posts from today :/. Merge please

I'm surprised by nobody posted this yet. According to this report and survey of "22 NFL Execs" Josh is getting a couple bids for MVP, Mcdermott has a slim lead in coach of the year, and Beane has a solid hold on GM of the year. Josh and Sean are about what is expected. I was actually the most surprised about the support for Beane. I think he is viewed favorably here, but not many truly put him as "best in the league". Either way, it's great to see our organization represented in the conversation for multiple awards here. https://www.nfl.com/news/nfl-execs-vote-on-awards-who-s-mvp-coach-of-the-year

This is still a possibility, but it's a bit more complicated. We'd be tied on conference record and it would come down to strength of victory. KC is currently ahead in SOV, a few games that other teams are playing would have to swing the right way for us to get ahead. That's why we preferred a KC loss to NO instead of ATL.

White

Josh has thrown to 12 different receivers. He also caught one, being the 13th.

I'd prefer it if we were the 2 seed and miami was 7 and we beat them with our starters in week 18.

I watched the whole video. I've never seen this segment before, but it's a neat premise. Some power rankings are basically a restatement of records, some are a list of superbowl odds, and apparently cowherd's list is a ranking of who he thinks would beat who today (based on recent play and current injuries). I did not expect rationality, but I was pleasantly surprised. I wouldn't put the bills as #1 in a power ranking, but based on his premise and data, I have a hard time disagreeing with him on the placement of the bills and chiefs. 5-10 is arguable, I would think the colts and potentially redskins belong there by his metric. Whatever else cowherd says, this was some decent content.

3 way tie doesn't work with a loss to saints. We needed them to lose twice in afc. Edit: I forgot their other loss was to raiders. Saints/chargers does work.

His ego got the better of him. He thought he could turn the corner and throw to kelce to pick it up.

Today is looking like the MVP odds will need an adjustment

I think the colts should win, but which raiders team are you going against is the question. The team that beat the chiefs and saints or the one that got blown out by the falcons and struggled vs the Jets? Jacobs is back and apparently healthy. I don't dislike the pick, but it has the feeling like it will swing strongly for you or against you. Some of the other ones will probably be a bit closer.

It's not quite that farfetched. We would be more likely to get 1st seed in a 3 way tie. I forget the key games, but it still seems more likely than the chiefs losing 3.

That's a tough slate. I like Hou over bears for a few reasons, but chicago is on a big skid and likely to have a bounce back game at some point. Atl over chargers should be a good pick, but either of those teams could lose any game at any point. SF over wsh could be good, but hard to judge SF effort after we eliminated them. You mixed up cle and gb, but I wouldn't touch either game.

Overall, what game are some people watching? We drove down to goalline nd they stopped us. They drove down to goalline and we stopped them. Moss fumbled on the 5. Looks about even other than the turnover. Good football so far.

Great work pulling this together. I'm not sure that AV is the perfect metric here, but I can't think of anything better (which is sort of the problem). A missing piece to this, and much more challenging to track, would be the inclusion of trades and some way of valuing based on draft location. If I understand your ranking correctly, any team that trades away picks will show up lower in the ranking and any team that habitually amasses draft picks should do better. One suggestion would be to average a teams AV per round and then rank based on round performance. This would also be controversial though, because it would rank 2 average players the same as drafting an all pro and bust. In that case, what is best? Someone who is risk averse would prefer the 2 decent players to just 1 blue chip player. I think the blue chip hit rate is likely going to be more correlated with team success.

We have one of the best performing right tackles in the league. Are you seeing something else in his performance or are you worried about contract?

This stat is a bit useless. It's close to saying "Mcdermott is undefeated when winning by more than 7 with less than 37 seconds left in the 4th" or "undefeated when the total score sums up to an odd number after 19 minutes of gameplay". You can look at any team and find a strong, winning record with a 2 score halftime lead. I thought today wasn't "that" bad. We played an ok game, while showing that we have better talent and coaching to lead and win so definitively with that many mistakes.

Defense is looking pretty good today.

Did you miss the first drive when the charges went 3 and out?