pennstate10

Agree that Jones is the most important guy on this list. But I think he has 2 good years left at most.

I haven’t read this thread but I will predict some dweeb will be saying, “well, the analytics say if you go for a first down on both of those plays you increase your win% to 53.472%. That’s the crux of the entire analytics problem. Going for it on 4th dandy 5 at your 30 yd line when you have Mahomes and Kielce playing against some scrubs is a world different than Goff and whoever against the 49ers defense. But the analytics doesn’t know how to properly weigh situations when there are infinite relevant variables.

Sorry you’re wrong. The amount of cap dollars Bills have rolled over in the past few years is minimal. I doubt any competitive team has rolled over more than 10% of the cap during their successful years. The teams that roll over 10% of the cap are the losing teams that don’t have good players to pay. If you’re trying to argue that Beane SHOULD have been rolling cap dollars over every year since 2018, I’d say rolling cap dollars into the future when you’re in Allen’s peak window is not a wise move. Every team pushes cap money into the future. That’s the entire concept of amortizing bonuses. I’m pretty sure that no bonuses paid in 2018 are factored into Bills 2024 cap.

The flaw in this line of reasoning is the assumption that most NFL head coaches are drawn from the NFL player pool. They’re not. Bellichek, Lombardi, and Walsh are probably the 3 best NFL HC of the modern era. They collectively played zero downs in the NFL. What is true is that almost all NFL HC played high school football. Or lower level college football. That is the real pool that’s being drawn from.

Im pretty sure that is exactly what will happen.

Good post. The only move ups that I think make sense are putting 6-7 round picks together to get another 5. Rounds 1-5 are where the moneys at, so try to get as many of these as you can. And yes, I know Benford was a 6th round pick. But what other 6-7 round picks have the Bills made that were quality starters for the Bills in the last 5 years?

Disagree completely with your first sentence. It’s simply wrong. There was no player contract signed in 2018 that is in force today. It’s not up for debate. The statement is clearly wrong.

? What am I missing here. It seems that the guidance specifically states that playcalling is NOT a requirement.

I’m not sure that what you say about nickable is correct. I doubt there is anything in the nfl rules about a permissible lateral move being dependent on playcalling. I think it would be impossible to enforce, especially since playcalling is often fluid.

This is the most useful post in the thread. it’s not a clear cut right/wrong decision. For instance, the fake punt was the wrong decision for many reasons. Here, you had a clearer throw to Diggs without 600 lbs of beer in your way. But that wouldn’t have been a td. But it could have led to bleeding the clock. But Diggs had the dropsies. there were a ton of variables going into the decision, and many unknowns. I can’t say Josh made the wrong decision. On balance though, I would have liked the higher percentage throw on that play

No. That’s exactly the problem. McD hears that he’s too conservative, so he decides to shut up his critics and be aggressive at the wrong time. Yes, it was an aggressive call. You know what else? It was a stupid decision. Penn States coach (James Franklin) does the exact same thing. Calling a fake FG from the 2 yd line. Is that aggressive? Yup, no one expects it. Why? Because it’s stupid.

I actually consider Kelly to be a Super Bowl winning QB. he did exactly what Brady did to win his first Super Bowl. Guided his team to a game winning FG in the last minute of the game. Not his fault that the kicker failed.

Lost in this entire discussion is the fact that the throw to Diggs would have been substantially easier than the throw to Shakir. The throw to Diggs, if Allen had taken it, would have occurred about 0.5 sec befor the throw to Shakir. When there wasn’t 600 lbs of beef in your face. A much easier throw. Josh gambled that he could hold the ball another 0,5 seconds to allow Shakir to uncover and then throw. It was a reasonable gamble given that the reward (TD) for the throw to Shakir was much higher. The safe play was the throw to Diggs. Given all the variables, including Diggs dropsies, shaky FG kicker, ability of KC to drive down field, it’s really impossible to say which was the right choice.

Mike Ditka would like a word.

In fairness, Sherfields first drop was clearly DPI missed by the official. DB had his arm so he couldn’t get 2 hands on the ball. Burns me that they let this one go, but called a dpi on 42 that clearly wasn’t dpi.

Bills already did that. Signed KJ Hamler. good signing if injuries haven’t sapped his speed.

It might be my imagination, but I think the Bills have more miscommunication leading to TDs or missed TDs than most of the top teams. For instance, last night Kelce first TD, the Allen end zone INT 2 weeks ago, the missed winning TD to Davis in Philly OT. Why do Bills have all these miscommunications? In Malcolm Gladwell's book “Outliers”, he outlines a "10,000 hour" rule; it takes 10,000 hours of intensive practice to achieve complete mastery of complex skills and materials, like playing the violin or shooting slap shots, or running a pool table. I'm not taking this rule as gospel truth, but I think it is a good starting point. As you practice any skill, you acquire a "muscle memory". Which can be intellectual as well, knowing and reacting, not thinking, because you're practiced a situation a zillion times. Maybe 20 yrs ago, the best teams (ie, Manning's Colts) started organizing their own off season passing drills. They won a Super Bowl, and organized team activities (OTA) became a trend. Here's the thing. Bills dont really seem to have great "buy in" for their OTAs. Key players routinely miss these, and the mantra is "they're voluntary". Yup, players who are truly motivated volunteer for these. I hear about how certain players refuse to lose, and are hyper-competitive, but some of these same players don't show up for OTAs. Its their time off, per contract. Which is true. By the way, how many of you get 6 months vacation per year? A couple years back, one of the backup Bills QBs organized passing drills. Maybe not coincidentally, the passing offense in 2020-2021 was outstanding. Bills have one of the most talented rosters in the NFL. And a supreme talent at the most important position. And hard working, well respected coaches. But I'm thinking that until the players show comparable dedication, the playoffs is their peak. To scale that peak requires dedication.

Nice play dhskir

Another uncalled penalty

More holding. The guys are terrible.

That was such a bs call. it was 100% wrong

Too close to overturn.

Dumb

Not crying. Just pointing out an obvious foul that wasn’t called.