GoBills808

you misunderstand my argument that the offense can 'struggle' and still put up 36pts and over 400 yards is testament to the idea that big plays help mitigate variance and again...you make my point for me. the shot to diggs if completed likely wins the game. if the throw to shakir is completed you likely win the game. we need to stop being so results oriented and realize you need more of those plays, not fewer

ok hands up- who is Allen more like, Scottie or Bryson

i haven't 'loved' any of the offenses they've put around Allen since day 1 i appreciated the fact that the dorsey 2023 iteration was the only one that deliberately limited his rush attempts

it's actually the opposite i submit our last two playoff games vs the Chiefs as evidence. 13seconds we had won w Allen chucking it all over the field but for the defense and ST last game at home we played small ball and were very lucky that it was within a one score game. the type of pass attack you are advocating for actually leaves you less margin for error, not more...it's very difficult to operate at max efficiency every snap for an entire game

i hear you on the opportunities- ive been pleasantly surprised by how many early/easy looks we've have my point was just to illustrate that EPA isnt necessarily indicative of the performance of your offensive coordinator. the offense was certainly very different under dorsey but it also ranked highly in efficiency metrics

This is the order

I don't know why you are arguing This is the list We never speak of these

No I've told you this a million times, this is the order Blue on white White on white Reds White on blue White throwbacks (not sure we use these anymore) All blues

These are the best look

I'm just as interested to see if we can stick w this run heavy approach in a close/big game tbh I don't have the data to support this but I have a feeling we run the ball significantly better in low pressure situations

The obvious choice👍👍

😂😂I was buddies w our college kicker but I played different sport...I did get to take some kicks messing around after camp on the tees I can kick the ***** out of a football No That weird little half step right when he starts his approach is indicative of bad timing imo Could have been a miscommunication on the snap but either way not great

Correct I kicked in HS fwiw his run up has always been weird to me...too short and not enough angle.

i believe if people understood how EPA functions as it relates to QB play they wouldn't be using it to differentiate between OCs, in particular as it pertains to Allen One of my absolute favorite parts of Allen's game is how ruthless he is in high leverage situations ie third/fourth and long, third downs in own territory, etc...these are down/distances that have huge EPA implications by virtue of converting simply because his play in these spots vs avg QB performance is so lopsided. The Miami first down for example: EP of third and 12 from your opponent's 35 is roughly 2.45...Allen breaks contain and hits the RB down on the one for first and goal. That single play was worth over 4.3 EPA and it had little to nothing to do w whoever happened to be OC

Colin is a casual... you can't really expect him to have a good take on how a particular QB performs relative to their given OC

Chiefs are 2-0 beating two AFC powerhouses and they haven't played close to their best ball yet...they are cruising unfortunately

I wasn't talking about your OP. I've been talking up our metrics for the past 2+years now

not yet because from an afcn perspective their biggest competition imo is also 0-2...but for seeding purposes yes they have hurt themselves sidenote this is how KC always manages to sneak out HFA in the postseason...they are a questionable PI call and an Isaiah Likely toe away from 0-2 and instead hold tiebreaks over two major AFC contenders

it's equally fascinating to see folks try to proclaim this might be a top offense after week2 where the offense is ranked 21st averaging under 300ypg

I'm not in every thread talking about it In fact iirc that was last season when the metrics were great and everyone wanted Dorsey fired 😂😂

CJ Mosley for current Always appreciated how he went about his business

There are some very valid sustainability concerns but folks won't want to hear them

EPA stands for expected points added. It's a derivative of expected points, which in itself is a measure of how many points you can expect to gain relative to down/distance. For example if you have the ball on the opponents 20 and it's first down, you have an EP of say 4 (roughly)...if it was third down your expected points would be 2.5 or thereabouts. I believe expected points and EPA both draw from the same data set that win% and success rate do also. EPA is just the difference between what your expected points is for a given play (or drive) and the outcome...like if it's fourth down and 10 from your own 40 (probably net zero or even negative EP in that position, so say its like -.15 expected points in that particular scenario) and you gain 11 yards that would be significantly positive outcome (like 1.25 EPA, I dont have the calculator in front of me) that play would be 1.10 EPA there is an awful lot to be said on this but im not sure this is the time or place tbh