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GoBills808

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Everything posted by GoBills808

  1. I'm not going to argue with you, you are free to believe what you wish
  2. This is all results oriented thinking it's a very common way of looking at outcomes but leads to inefficient decision making
  3. FYI anyone can access the 4th down bot if they desire its here https://cloud.r-project.org/web/packages/nfl4th/index.html
  4. Yes that should be obvious
  5. Do you seriously not understand this relatively simple calculation? WIN% is just EV basically simple example is 2pt vs PAT: success rate of PAT (1 pt) is 94.1 so EV of a PAT= .941 success rate of a 2pt try (2pts) is 49.4% so EV of a 2pt attempt= .988 WIN% is just these EVs calculated wrt to down distance and time left in game over the recorded logs of NFL plays in same circumstances
  6. They're not overly aggressive decisions, they're simply correct ones.
  7. Lol they were trying to take the points, they were trying to take 7 of them
  8. Right decision wrong playcall
  9. I won't pretend to know the number of runs called or otherwise per game that's best. I just think exposing him to as little punishment as possible in service of prolonging his career and avoiding injury should be at the forefront when deciding how best to attack a particular defense. He can already make you defend every part of the field with his arm. Avoiding sacks and picking up first downs on scrambles obviously is one of his talents that shouldn't be discouraged. But if I was the HC or the OC or whoever makes those kinds of decisions I would remove the designed QB runs from the playbook.
  10. Andrew Luck is the comp
  11. They need to run him less without question
  12. Did you miss the shovel pass to Hines or something Or the multiple scrambles in key spots that we've just become accustomed to This offense could not function without Allen being the best athlete in the field every game
  13. Always been good
  14. Disagree that they only have Pulisic Weah is a dynamic threat 1v1 McKinnie can run at guys and create, Dest is as dangerous an attacking fullback I can ever remember the US having What they lack is that final true 9 who can link it all together up front, either himself or distribute properly to get everything aligned at the most important moment. I do agree that they really don't create enough chances but I think they just lack the personnel rn
  15. Deserved the win imo Pulisic injury forced the rest of the defensive subs After he went down they pretty much resigned to hang on
  16. Nobody cares how Lamar actually feels about gay people. It's irrelevant to the fact he directed a homophobic slur at someone on Twitter.
  17. He needs an agent and an actual manager in the worst way
  18. You can only play who's on the schedule Dolphins deserve a lot of credit for taking care of business
  19. Can you point out the given week that there were only one or two guys out on defense?
  20. Patriots quarterback Cam Newton says an injury to his throwing shoulder that he suffered in 2016 took years to heal and changed the way he played.
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