I think is the best indicator of success at the next level. It shows that a guy is capable of being "The Man" at a University level, and accurate, and smart enough to read defenses at the next level. I would add also that the level of competition is relevant as well. Peyton Manning was "The Man" at a school in the SEC, not the SWC. Or the Mac. One year wonders have been the rage before (akili Smith, Ryan Leaf, Rick Mirer) and now we have another (newton). Stick to the formula. Take Dalton in the second if you must, but stay away from all others, IMO...