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YattaOkasan

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Posts posted by YattaOkasan

  1. I think there will be three big differences between PS1 game and the opener that will be in Darby's favor.

    1) Pass rush: We didn't bring pressure and we will bring pressure week 1

    2) Safety help: Coverage will be rolled his way for help on jump balls

    3) Match up: He will not cover the taller AJ but will be on the faster TY Hilton

     

    That being said if Darby is getting roasted I think Ryan makes the easy transition of Graham to CB. Don't remember where, but the coaches said they were putting Graham exclusively at safety during OTAs and TC so he could learn the position. The assumption being that he could move back to CB quickly because its simpler (bump and run in this defense) and he's played the position before.

  2. I think Dareus is double teamed excessively regardless of the scheme. That said, for a man that gets nose tackle like double team rates, he is exceptionally fast and can either blow up the middle pocket or destroy a run play 3 yards back. Perhaps in Ryans scheme He needs to stay in anchor role. Too much penetration might create problems with gap responsibility. I could see why that designation would be frustrating to Dareus if that is indeed whats happening. That brings up all sorts of other concerns regarding his future but it's far too early to tell what his final role will be. Rex is a good coach and good coaches put players in a position to maximize the skills they have. Dareus being aggressive is in everybody's best interests and we need to find a way to position him where he can play that way.

    I think he will be maximized from the NT position and kept happy by using DL stunts that keep him moving yet maintaining gap responsibilities for the rest o f the defense.

     

    If he was stunting away from the double team I imagine the DT on his back side would slide across the guards face and cause all sorts of havoc for the LB to clean up. Additionally, I would expect Dareus to beat the C, and potentially have TFL utilizing his athleticism.

     

    If he is stunting towards the double then we've seen him blow double teams up before. He doesn't get pushed off the ball, and he can sometimes win!!! These stunts should help lower the effectiveness of the double team.

     

    This is how I think Ryan will maximize Dareus, but I do expect a NT to be brought in after this year.

     

    Can the link for the Dareus interview, in which he said he didn't like his role in the scheme, be reposted?

  3. why do you say that? was there a gentelman's agreement that we wouldn't sack the QB that i don't know about?

    I think he's saying that Rex didn't want to show anyone his blitzes so he didn't run many at all. The assumption being that in the regular season we will be blitzing more than then can block thus the QB will not have much time.

  4.  

    I hear similar thoughts on this - maybe not every round - but drafting a QB every year comes up often. How in the world would you propose to evaluate if a QB hits in this scenario?

    I agree. How does this work?

     

    Every team that doesn't have a franchise QB should draft a QB per year? If we all agree there are >10 teams that need franchise quarterbacks and there are <10 QBs per draft then how does that work out?

     

    I think this would lead to QB HELL, and because the rest of your team sucks (related to spending so many draft picks on QBs) you don't have the talent for your QB to succeed. Thus, the QB you drafted will be evaluated as bad and you'll picking near the top again.

     

    Meanwhile the teams that do have franchise QBs will take advantage of the surplus of good players at positions that aren't QB.

  5.  

    I think this offense is going to rely upon a ton of pre-snap reads, more than post-snap progressions.

    Agreed. I think it will mostly be a counting game. Like 1, 2, ...,8 guys in the box "Let's throw to Sammy/Harvin/Woods", or 1, 2,...7 guys in the box "here you go McCoy." All of this is on 1st, 2nd, and 3rd and manageable downs.

  6.  

    What accountability are you talking about? The reporters have a job to report on what they see & hear. Internet posters battle to win the internet every day.

    You were saying that reporters have 0 stake in who wins the battle unlike some on the board. It's not clear to me why that's true because if they make a pick wouldn't they be accountable for that. I guess you argument is they have 0 stake because they aren't making a pick. I now understand this assertion if that's what you're saying.

  7. They have zero stake in picking a winner and sticking with that prediction, unlike the posters here.

     

     

    Why do reporters have less accountability than internet posters? I know there's not much punishment for making wrong picks but I have to imagine the person who's opinion is being paid for has more at stake than person who's opinion is not paid for.

  8.  

    You may not have an idea, but if you were to guess, you'd say that a fan has far less access to the team than a beat reporter. There's also a lot of difference in the level of access across the pool, with longer tenured guys having greater relationships and feeds. Just because the team won't spoon feed the local guys the big story doesn't lead to the opposite being true - that the average Joe has the same level of access.

     

    The reason the national reporters get bigger scoops is because they get the news from the agents, who often represent both the player and the reporter. Schefter is represented by the largest talent agency, so it's not a coincidence they feed him the story first.

    Maybe the reporters are trying to network during practice and that causes them to miss the nuances of each play. Either way I haven't seen their level of access result in much information. Remember when Kromer was going to be fired 2 different times.

  9. Smart to start Cassel in the preseason opener. The competition between EJ and Tyrod seems pretty tight, and starting one over the other would be a big statement to their teammates as to who has the upper hand. Cassel is competing really against Cassel. If Meh plays Meh he'll carry a clipboard. If Meh plays better than meh he will be the #1.

    Agreed

     

    They need to select the guy that can operate in the red zone the best.

     

    I don't think any of these guys is going to sustain long drives, or throw the ball downfield very well. This team has moved the ball reasonably well, but has had to settle for field goals way too much. With this defense, they are going to get lots of short field opportunities.

     

    I have no idea which guy has shown better red zone skills, but that should be the determining factor.

    Agreed as well. We were 12th in Red Zone Attempts and 30th in TD%. If we could be average in TD % we would have 5 more TDs which is 20 more points.

  10. You never answered my question. You think it's OK to mock QBA of my team and then I give a nickname for QBC on that same team, who will be lucky to have the career that QBA has had, and it's somehow controversial.

     

    And to achieve "meh" status, Manuel would have to have two ten win seasons and make a pro bowl. You do realize that Matt Cassel has had a more successful career than say, Losman or Edwards, right? Let's take baby steps here. Let's see Manuel have as good a season as Losman did in '06 when he took every snap all season and finished 11th in the NFL in passer rating in his third season as a pro. You realize that if he doesn't get his act together soon, he's going to go down in the annals below both JP Losman and Trent Edwards on the list of all time Bills QB's? And you have the nerve to mock the OTHER QB in this competition?

    I would call Michael Vick "meh" (or something worse) if the Bills signed, but he has had a more successful career than anyone mentioned in your posts.

     

    My "meh" with respect to both Vick and Cassel is because both guys haven't been too exciting as of late (past 3 seasons).

     

    I do think EJ could have seasons like Cassel's best (little bit of a reach to say he will). I also don't think EJ's out of the league if he doesn't make it here. I think he would be picked up as a back up that would likely get several opportunities to start (be it for poor play or injuries).

     

    His physical attributes and calm demeanor will serve him well as he ages. What I mean is he will work very hard until he fixes the gaps in his game, and at that point I don't think his arm will have started to fade. I think these two features are why the EJ "defenders" do not think he should be written off.

     

    On the flip side, I get the win now mentality because teams like this don't seem to last (I'm hoping Whaley is draft genius). EJ has definitely been underwhelming at times in his career, but I think he will good QB (albeit in probably in 3-4 more years).

  11.  

    Well he's going to have to win a job before he's ever going to have a season as good as Orton did last year. And I don't think Orton had a good season last year- to me, he was a disappointment. But look at his numbers. Extrapolate them over 16 games (4,000+ yards and 24 TD's) and I'd be surprised if Manuel ever has a season that good in this league. And that's my issue. The EJ guys love to take cheap shots at Orton, Cassel, even Tannehill (which is utterly preposterous). Let's see Manuel sniff what any of those three guys have ever accomplished in this league and then you can make fun of them again.

    I took your question to assume EJ would be starting no matter what. If you're asking me the odds he starts I say 40% and if he wins the competition, 90% he is better than Orton.

  12. Let me ask you this, honest question, not trying to start a whole thing here:

     

    What do you think the percent chances are that Manuel is still in the league as long as Orton was and Cassel still is? What do you think are the percent chances that Manuel ever has a season as good as Cassel's two best seasons? Or hell, as good as Orton's season last year?

     

    10% hes in as long as either

    5% hes as good as Cassel's best (by which I assume you mean make a pro bowl)

    70% hes better than Orton last year

     

    One of these questions is more important than the other two.

  13. As an RFA he had 2 cheap years left. I'm curious to see the numbers. He's a good role player and likely not pricey.

    If he has a breaks out this year, doesn't he become not cheap? As in some other team would offer him good money and we would have to match. As corners (including nickel corners) are hard to find I would expect him to get a decent offer, at least from Pettine and the Browns.

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