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TPS

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Everything posted by TPS

  1. Beane has said what his philosophy is, use FA to set up the draft (so you aren't reaching for need). My impression is he also weighs the strengths of the draft class; for example, the 2019 class was strong at DT, and he didn't do much there other than re-sign J.Phillips. It's my understanding that the 2020 WR class will be good, so we'll see.
  2. I meant to respond to this....Maybe you're not looking in the right places? https://www.wsj.com/articles/wave-of-financial-stress-hits-low-rated-companies-11571736606 https://www.institutionalinvestor.com/article/b1htfp0w2w1c8r/Bigger-Private-Equity-Checks-Won-t-Make-Up-for-Weakened-Credit-Protections
  3. Who is the greater threat to US hegemony, Russia or China? By vilifying Russia, we’ve pushed them closer to China.
  4. Yes, I've heard the clap can make you soft....
  5. I know I've said it before, but I've grown to like some of these Reagan supply-siders in their old age... https://original.antiwar.com/David_Stockman/2019/10/30/yes-virginia-there-is-a-deep-state-and-its-feeding-the-anti-potus-mob/
  6. Maybe you should read the posts prior to mine in order to understand the context, then maybe you would not have misinterpreted it. First, I posted the article because some of the things (lack of income verification for example) that are going on with subprime auto loans are exactly what happened with housing--which is what the related posts were discussing. No where did I say it was "a harbinger for the economy;" in fact, I stated it is relatively small compared to housing. Second, my aside comment about the ratings agencies was also about the housing crisis, not the Santander article.
  7. This is a good piece on current issues with subprime auto loans. It's almost identical to what the banks were doing with housing. Fortunately, the market size is no where near housing.... https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-10-25/subprime-auto-giant-s-loans-souring-at-fastest-clip-since-2008 btw, a lot Of those buyers you mention relied on the ratings agencies who were corrupted by conflict of interest.
  8. A shitton were originated by mortgage finance companies many of which were bought by Wall Street banks to supply their CDO/mBS business. My view is there were many, many factors that contributed. You can’t pin it on one area, other than greed...
  9. No. Read the article. It’s a short summary of the research. .
  10. Ahhh, the old CRA and the Dems did it canard. It won’t matter how times someone disproves it, because the story fits your bias. https://www.federalreserve.gov/econresdata/notes/feds-notes/2015/assessing-the-community-reinvestment-acts-role-in-the-financial-crisis-20150526.html
  11. Based on calendar year data from the BEA and CBO, total federal revenue went up by $62 billion from 2016 to 2018. Compared to the previous two year (2014-2016), revenues increased by $248 billion over that period. Revenues as a share of the economy (GDP) were 17.6% in 2016 and 16.5% in 2018, and using 2018 GDP, that reduction of 1.1% amounts to a loss of revenue = $225 billion (which is where that $200 billion contribution to the deficit is coming from). Overall, the tax cuts lowered the federal government's share of revenue out of total income. Yes, the majority of Americans got crumbs, and those of us in high tax states paid more. Most of the tax cuts went to the top 1%, directly or indirectly via stock buybacks.
  12. You have to be very biased to believe you can compare deficits when unemployment is 3.5% vs > 6%. And my statement was made based on the deficit to gdp ratio, since you also can’t compare a dollar deficit today to a dollar deficit from several years back when the economy is a couple trillion $s larger today.
  13. Yeah, I'd say the Pegulas are very happy with the way this organization is moving. Building for the long haul...
  14. The point of the article, (outside of WWII) the deficit has NEVER been this large when unemployment is this low. Unemployment and the deficit almost always move in the opposite direction. Trump's tax cuts and spending increases have changed that. As I said, he's a good Keynesian....
  15. The left? Who exactly? Clogged plumbing in a very large payment system. It’s whats driving the trump economy. He’s a great Keynesian!
  16. This topic is a good sign. A Game is only "the biggest of the year" if the Bills are contending for or are in the the playoffs. I fully expect to see at least 12 more of these threads....?
  17. Yeah, yeah, I get it, the people who think Putin controls Trump, of which I'm not one. While Trump deserves credit for moving US troops out, which allowed Russia/Syria to broker the deal with Erdogan, the truce was a Putin success. The more interesting question from my perspective is if the overall plan was coordinated between parties? Regarding the outcome, I posted this a week or two ago in response to an analysis DR posted:
  18. So Trump is taking credit for a deal that Putin brokered?
  19. Never really hear Phillips interviewed before. I enjoyed that. ?
  20. Not really. You suggested it was about protecting the flow of oil to the market, when it's about WHO benefits from the flow.
  21. They are not doing it to protect them, trump wants to control them so Assad can’t access.
  22. There is more to this then the facade of ending endless ME wars. They have not pulled out of Syria completely. They have control of key oil facilities, as has been reported. Troops have moved into Iraq, which last I looked, wasn't "home." I agree with your view the troops to SA are for another purpose. I do believe there is a plan in place...
  23. I hope he guarantees a win again this week...it was great motivation for the Cowboys.....
  24. That's why you have the common phrase "on any given Sunday." Eagles beat them at GB. Browns beat Ravens in Baltimore. There are no gimmees in this league....
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