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TPS

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Everything posted by TPS

  1. The oldest and supposedly true is, "Someone find me a one-handed economist..." H. Truman Absolutely! Especially if it's Bernie who takes him baby!
  2. One person predicted > 4%, and 14 predicted between 3-4% as I suggest. As I stated in other posts, I expect this year to be in the 3-4% range which will lead the Fed to hike rates quicker than expected, most likely leading to the next recession in 2019. A low measured savings rate is and will be a consequence of the bottom 90% increasing debt-financed consumption expenditures related to their meager increases in disposable income from the tax cuts--another factor contributing to the likelihood of a slowdown in 2019. You should hope this scenario plays out, because a weak economy in 2019/20 will make the trumpster a one-termer...
  3. You do realize the latter is the average forecast of about 60 economists? By my count, about 20% predicted 3% or more for 2018.
  4. There are a lot of positives underlying the data. The main issue, which Trump or any president can't fix short term, is that strong consumer spending raises the trade deficit which acts as a drag on the observed growth rate. As I mentioned about the tax plan, the tax cuts should push growth into the 3-4% range this year.
  5. He or his wife like warm weather...
  6. Wow, my relationship here has been longer than any of my marriages...
  7. I'm with you. Stupid people think taking an 0-16 team to the playoffs in the third year means he's not a good head coach. Stupid people think this. He will be successful.
  8. And an economics major!
  9. Which makes it very easy to observe changes in the result from changes in the variables.
  10. I won't be surprised if they try to retain Matthews. He wasn't just a throw-in on the trade, they liked him. KB on the outside, JM in the slot, then a fast rookie on the other side would be nice.
  11. The selling point is the Bills making the playoffs; the counterpoint is they don't have a QB. I'm sure McD will have to sell the new OC by explaining their plan on QB for next year...
  12. That will be interesting to see since he was here before Dennison. One would think a new OC would want his own line coach?
  13. This is a pretty good take on things. Two questions. Shouldn't Dawkins go to RT since you usually want a stronger run blocker on the right? Glenn has been a very good pass blocking LT. Second, what do you think they will do at MLB? Re-sign PB?
  14. I don't know that he'll be asked to take a pay cut. He and Kyle (and Wood) are appreciated for their leadership as you state, and it takes a few years to really ingrain the culture they desire. I'm sure McD would love to have Kyle and Lo back for one more year.
  15. Oh Canada sounds interesting...
  16. A Chad and Yeezus attack on the same day...Cheezus!!
  17. This morning Beane essentially provided the reasons for the big trades. when discussing Watkins, he mentioned whether a player wanted to re-sign and at what cost; with Darby he mentioned scheme fit; then said Dareus has been discussed ad nauseam. He didn't state these explicitly, rather he was making a general point that trades have different circumstances, then blurted out different possible reasons that just happened to coincide with the particular player mentioned. I think those coincidental reasons are consistent with what many have argued here. The important factors driving decisions: culture, scheme, and cap management. Darby was a scheme/culture casualty; Sammy and Dareus were culture/cap casualties.
  18. He tied for the team lead in sacks playing in only 10 1/2 games. He's no Von Miller or Joey Bosa, but he gives above average pass rush ability and run D. I will be shocked if either Lawson or Hughes is gone, though Beane has certainly done some shocking trades. I seem them keeping both and drafting a pass rusher early since they need reinforcements there.
  19. What, you don’t think Cap could step right in?
  20. Ricky led the DTs in tackles in that game. He may stick around.
  21. Yes, the Bills have shown they are tough team, and they accomplished a miracle feat after getting rid of some of their (perceived) top talent. I'm all on board, but they still need an infusion of talent at some key positions. I think we can "win the off-season!"
  22. From what we know right now, it will be tough to win more than 3 away games next year.
  23. I don't know how good this guy is, but I hope the Bills draft him just for that name.
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