34-78-83
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Posts posted by 34-78-83
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You're the most knowledgeable and accurate x's and o's poster we have on this board, @HoofHearted. I always appreciate the insight.
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Some choose to overlook the explanations, guidance and proof (with pictures even) provided right here in this very thread that refute the concern of the OP, and still post nonsense right after, as if those posts and proof don't exist. Gotta love it! (not really)
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I’ve watched hundreds of hours of Josh’s all 22 reviews since like 2019 and he definitely is not a 1 read qb. To assume he is is kinda outlandish considering how easy it is to find. It’s blatantly obvious that he goes through progressions on plays that are not rpo’s or sight reads ( like the play to Harty in the last game) and you can literally watch his head move from 1 to 2 to 3 etc.
These are the types of speculations that create false narratives about a guy.
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He was excellent tonight. I couldn't believe it!
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Shakir made plays and yac, 2nd week in a row.
I agree with your point overall, however OP
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5 hours ago, 34-78-83 said:
This is a 40/60 to win game for the Bills as I see it, going on the road against a hot team and QB who handled us last season. The Bills CAN pull it off, but will have to win the LOS on at least one side of the ball and Josh needs to play really well. I'll be disappointed if they lose but if they look like they belong on the field out there I'll be encouraged that we can still make a run and peak toward the end of the season. A win would put me in a COMPLETELY other place mentally and confidence for the season would be high here on out.
They looked like they belonged on the field tonight physically speaking (I'll stay out of the ridiculous post game thread) which is a marked difference from the playoff game last year. So I am disappointed but encouraged. Tough to go to a real contender's place in prime time (who needed a win badly) and pull one off. Although I still think we can go to KC and win. 5-4 sucks but it is what it is.
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This is a 40/60 to win game for the Bills as I see it, going on the road against a hot team and QB who handled us last season. The Bills CAN pull it off, but will have to win the LOS on at least one side of the ball and Josh needs to play really well. I'll be disappointed if they lose but if they look like they belong on the field out there I'll be encouraged that we can still make a run and peak toward the end of the season. A win would put me in a COMPLETELY other place mentally and confidence for the season would be high here on out.
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Good post @Simon, and I agree...
To add, I think they've realized this back to the off season. The interior O-line adds and development of a running game have been good adds that should help at the end of the year and in the playoffs vs. tough, physical teams like the Bengals.
I think the 3 recent additions will certainly help as we go as well, but I am concerned with how much they'll be able to add tonight. I wish we had one more week, especially for Douglass to pick up the disguised looks and terminology. It also sucks that Daquon Jones has been out for both the playoff game and today.
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3 minutes ago, EasternOHBillsFan said:
I haven't seen much in the way of details regarding his injury, so it's all weird with the Soon and the blue heart and trying to decipher that.
Yeah I haven't seen anything either. Maybe @HappyDays knows something :). Beyond that, I think the "soon" was a false account, as some here have pointed out.
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We still don't know if there was ligament damage to go with Milano's fracture, or do we? It would certainly make a potential difference in rehab time.
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5 hours ago, Wraith said:
You're both wrong. Elam has been on the injury report since week 7 with an ankle injury.
https://www.buffalobills.com/team/injury-report/week/REG-7
...to take it further, that ankle has been injured since training camp. (there were reports on it at the time)
They keep these things on the DL where they can, this isn't unprecedented. How many times do we get to the end of a season to hear "So and so was playing all year with a partially torn ________"?
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Certainly not obvious that the Bills tried to trade him. Keep trying to develop him while he's on his rookie deal. We know the talent and physical skills are there. Wait and see. Doesn't hurt anything.
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23 minutes ago, stevewin said:
So we're still doomed against Joe Burrrr?
LOL maybe. We'll see how it pans out!
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He is and has been a starter people. Seriously, watch other games and teams before making your claims. He is 100% for sure better than Dane, and likely Benford too. Might take a couple games to integrate to our system.-
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5 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:
He is a backup.
no
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1 hour ago, FrenchConnection said:
I always get eyeroll emojis when I post this, but fans like the plays that work and dislike the plays that don't work.
I got one too Lol
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It has been explained on here before (Hoofhearted for example) but the Shotgun runs that many are yelling at the wind about is a big part of our successful read-option (RPO) game. Sure, it hasn't always worked, especially on the goal line, but overall it HAS worked. The shortsighted takes over and over and over without learning anything about the game are so muich fun to read through though!
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2 hours ago, SCBills said:
This has been him almost every week, so I’m not sure where the disconnect in evaluation is.
That pass rating against stat some sources use is 100% subjective outside of in one on one man coverage situations. There, I put it nicely.
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10 minutes ago, HappyDays said:
No. The Bucs are a poorly coached team playing on a short week and seemed totally unprepared. They had crazy off coverage alignments and never adjusted, which allowed us to funnel the ball to Davis in a way that we normally can't. To his credit he was able to make a couple plays after the catch, but we have seen him have these sudden high production games in the past before falling back into 2 catches on 5 targets for 27 yards the following week. Don't be a prisoner of the moment. A WR that can play outside is still a big need.
To me, of the realistic available targets, Hopkins makes way more sense than anyone else. Right now in obvious man situations we are always throwing the ball to Diggs. That's obviously the right read 100% of the time given our current personnel, but Diggs is not a contested catch specialist and is not all that great at dealing with physical coverage, so if he doesn't outright win the route the ball likely falls to the turf. One of our drives against the Bucs in the 2nd half stalled out for exactly that reason, and it was at a time when we desperately needed to get out of our offensive rut.
So now add Hopkins into the mix. Suddenly defenses have to be very concerned about those jump balls/contested catches and Allen can just kind of chuck it up to him, instead of always relying on Diggs to win his route. That hopefully will pull defenses out of man coverage more frequently which gets us into favorable zone looks that we can beat with our preferred spread formations. Hopkins also gives us an actual downfield explosive presence that we currently don't have at all.
I'm at least intrigued by the idea of Derrick Henry because Murray has not been good the past couple weeks and we currently have no goal-to-go run offense. Henry/Cook would be a great 1-2 punch, arguably the best in the league. But I would prefer to lean into our strength which is obviously passing the ball downfield.
Hopkins is the only one that makes sense to me as well on the offensive side of the ball. On defense, I could see us acquiring a DT or LB, but IDK... it still seems most likely that we will acquire no one (not saying that would be my choice).
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All but one, maybe two of Gabe's catches the other night were hands catches, plucks out of the air, previous history not withstanding. Give credit where credit is due, even if its just for one game. Everyone has already heard umpteen million times about his poor hands.
All of both Gabe and Kalil’s catches are displayed here-
Hard working players actually can improve on occasion too ( I know some don’t seem to agree with this), so there is hope, atleast while we have them and can afford them.
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Bills have been much improved in RAC all season long. Normally, they are between 29 and 32nd in RAC each season. Not the case this year.
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1 minute ago, Goin Breakdown said:
Yessir
LOL Chris has got to ease off on the "Try Hard" a bit.
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40 minutes ago, BuffaloRebound said:
I don’t remember 2 missed targets unless they’re counting deflection interception by Winfield as a target to kincaid. Nonetheless, Kincaid needs the ball more. He’s catching 90% of his targets.
Exactly.... Which is also why catches per target is kind of an empty stat. Catches per targets that are catch-able would be much more of a telling stat with regard to the reliability of a receiver.
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Notes from the Cinci Game
in The Stadium Wall
Posted · Edited by 34-78-83
I think the reason nobody dared play man against us back then is because Josh would readily take off and end up with 50-100 yards rushing on those outings, gashing them for huge chunks. In my opinion, and for the rest of this season, that threat has to return enough (kinda like in the Tampa game) so that they have to once again respect it. Next year maybe we can replace that with a more versatile #2 WR (one that is better than the #2 Corner covering him)