Bleeding Bills Blue

Actually its 11.75.

I'd add a void year to bease. 6M for a WR is likely a downgrade for who you get.

It depends who is there - i'm not taking a CB2 in the first or probably even the 2nd. I probably just buy a back in free agency and use a 6/7 because they aren't expensive. Offensive line clearly impacts both the run game and pass game - it needs to get better, and it needs to probably get younger.

Spotrac is assuming a 2022 cap of 199 (probably low) - 10.1 mil Assuming you cut Morse - 7.5M savings Klein - 5.2M savings Ford - 1.5M savings Williams - 5.3M or Feliciano 3.7M savings (I'll use Williams as the example because he was paid to play right tackle, can't swing to LT, and he sucks at RG - feliciano probably also moves to center) Matakevich - 2.5M savings Beasely - 6.1M savings (i'd probably just add a void year or extend him 1 more year to space cap hit rather than create a hole here, so i'm not counting it - his replacement will not be cheaper than 6M) That would give them 32M total. And they'd have QB - Allen Webb RB - DS, Moss, Wade FB - Gilliam WR - Diggs Davis Beasely stevenson hodgins TE - Knox Sweeney OL - Dawkins Feliciano Brown Doyle (Bates RFA) DE - Rousseau Basham Epenesa DT - Oliver Star LB - MIlano Edmunds Smith (Dodson ERFA) CB - White Jackson Lewis Johnson S - Hyde Poyer Hamlin johnson Free agents Hughes, addison, butler, sanders, kumerow, trubisky, boettger, wallace, jones, obada, mckenzie, Breida, Phillips, Zimmer, Neal There are a fair amount of candidates to restructure as well if they need additional space - but as it stands now its going to be tough to go after any premier free agents with that many holes in their depth. On the plus side, the defense is already pretty good- and the unit is largely intact outside hughes/addison. I think they can get by with the corners they have, but CB depth could probably be improved upon - also important to note what they do about losing a gunner in Neal. A premier pass rusher would be wonderful... they're just insanely expensive.

Yeah - get them to pin their ears and hammer them with draw plays when you see a blitz package you recognize.

Agreed. Pennington's was on 4th down, in the 4th quarter. Also robinson legitimately fell over.

Depends on how FA shakes out, but id like them to use FA money on linemen (offense and defense). They don't project to have a ton of cap space, and i don't know who they can use to lower cap hits - but they're usually players in your long term plans so id say Diggs, Milano, Dawkins. Holes - Interior Oline, CB2, MLB (need a plan here), RB, WR depth, Pass rush.

He's been a better receiver than I think most thought, especially with edmonds missing some time. His nose for the end zone has been great as well. However 3.7 YPC is pretty lousy. Singletary is like a lesser mccoy - not as good a receiver or pass protector - but he has some phone booth moves and occasionally tries to do too much and causes negative plays. You can't just coach him into being a 1 cut north south guy, its not really what he does. He needs to just play his game, and follow his instincts. Will it result in some busted plays? Yes. But in the end the numbers end up evening out as he has the ability to turn a 2 yard gain into 10 or more by being able to make plays. Frustrating for an OC though when you're just looking for like 4 yards on 2nd and 8 to get to 3rd and manageable.

Fresh JAGs to hate on... obviously!

I think we need to hit on some oline draft picks next year - it's so expensive to even get mediocre talent in free agency. That or you have to use draft picks to pick up bad contracts. Buffalo can get out of any and all of their offensive line deals this offseason - so it'll be interesting to see who the keeps vs. replacements are and how they approach the draft. I assume Dawkins spot is safe (limited cap savings), as is Brown. Feliciano i could see bringing back as he's a capable center/guard. Morse and Ford are almost definitely gone. Williams likely joins them. That'd save 14ish in cap, with another 8 in dead money. It's not enough to replace all of them with high level players, but its enough to get another interior lineman at center or guard. Other major cut candidates would be Klein, Matakevich, and possibly bease. I only doubt Bease as the savings would be about 6mil - which is what buffalo paid for sanders on the open market - so do you cut him to avoid the roster bonus - just to use the cap savings to sign another player who might not fit the offense? I'd rather keep bease and sign a cheaper sanders replacement and hope davis just runs with the job (hodgins becoming a useful player would be huge). As for holes - they lose 2 pass rushers in hughes/addison. Butler whos worthless. Sanders where davis likely steps in (i'd also consider this a low-key priority in the draft unless they like hodgins). Wallace at CB2 (not a huge loss imo, hes fine and he's been cheap). And zimmer/phillips - could probably bring back either or both for a reasonable amount of money. Running back - with limited cap space? I just don't know how smart it is to invest here - I'd probably look at a later round back. The way i look at it - 1st round almost has to be offensive line - or trade down if someone slips to Buffalo's pick. After that it depends what they address in free agency - but they need depth and youth at DT. They need someone to push at CB2 with it basically being jackson and lewis next year across from Tre (assuming he's ready on day 1). I'd also look at a mike LB in the 2-3 range. And they also need to continue building the offensive line beyond round 1. TE2 should be looked at. To me - buffalo is going to be bargain barrel hunting with the cap space they create. I'm ready to move on from hughes/addison - but if hughes wanted to come back for a 2-3 mil swan song? I'd probably do it. They need some beef up the middle however they can do it. A lot of what they need to do to fix the offense starts up front, and as for the defense they are getting younger.

I only factor it in if you had like 20 carries for 110 and one was like 80 yards. Still counts the same but if you average sub like 3 on the other carries i think the argument carries some weight.

And just a reminder that fournette was mostly pretty terrible in his time with jax too. Fix the LINE!!!

I think DS should have a role in this team. What exactly it is I'm not sure - i do think its a position to upgrade and I'm not sure the draft is necessarily the spot to do it. Free agents should come cheap at that position - and I'd probably target guys in the vein of chase edmonds or darrel williams. Barkley probably walks this year too, but I'm not a big fan of his TBH. He tries to do too much at times to the detriment of the play. However he shouldn't command a big contract with his production level. I'd say somewhere in the 6-7 range max, and likely lower with performance incentives put in. He's still a home run hitter when healthy, and has always been a solid pass catcher - the health has been a major issue for 2 years now though. They seemed to figure out the pressure looks and ran right into them. Thus forcing TB off of their pressure looks.

I don't disagree. He needs to rein in Daboll at times with the pass happy attack, and figure out how to execute in the red zone. I'm also not going to dump a guy who's helped build a competitive team. Run the ball in the red zone - figure out how to do it.

Breida missed a blitz pickup BAD yesterday. I doubt he played much after that, and its kind of why he's never been a starter.

I mean... they have won 2 of their last 8 and have scored more than 21 points 3 times in that stretch. Buffalo's defense hasn't been getting the takeaways in the last few games, but I think they're likely due against an offense lacking identity, offensive line ability, and QB. Could they win? Of course - its the NFL. But they have been playing pretty crappy for a couple of months now regardless of QB, CMC, etc.

I believe it was mitch morse who pancaked guys on that cutback run to the outside actually.

Low percentage of turnover, sack, anything that would result in having to run on the FG unit on 4th.

On the TD jackson and wallace both went with Evans so... i'm gonna go ahead and assume edmunds was hung out to dry there. I seriously doubt they'd run a single high safety look and have a LB in 1x1 coverage with a WR, so something was busted there.

Right?! and a lot of them were like - down field escape the rush type of plays too.

Both calls to me were questionable. Jackson had his head around on the gronk one - and while there was a fair amount of contact, a lot was initiated by gronk. As for the wallace one, his head was kind of around and i guess he was late to do it, but its tough to tell because evans didnt play the ball - he played wallace and basically yanked him down.

The gronk one in the first half was iffy. The one in ot I probably wouldn't have called. And then diggs couldn't get a call all day. Probably held 3 or 4 times including the last drive before OT.

The no call on diggs and then the call tb got in OT was just brutal.

Cant blitz - they have some contested catch guys and deep threats. Just gotta play physical at the catch point and break up some plays. I expect them to attack the middle of the field since its the easiest part to attack. They'll probably run it to start the game, but its really not what they do particularly well. I expect the defense to do what they usually do - try and get 3rd down stops and takeaways. It's boring and for the most part it works. As for the O, I'm not sure i even bother running the ball much. Maybe an RPO heavy attack to create conflicts for 2nd level defenders.

While i think speed helps in the running game as it is currently constructed - a lot of that has to do with the fact that the structure is such garbage that you're better off just sprinting to the edge. Arian foster, Alfred morris, Ingram, Leveon Bell - there's plenty of backs who have been successful outside the structure of the 40 yard dash. I don't have faith that moss will be one simply because he lacks the vision to make plays in outside zone - but it won't be because he wasn't slightly faster.