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Everything posted by mjt328
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We need a 1-Tech to takeover for Daquan Jones. That is Kenneth Grant. Most people see Derrick Harmon as a 3-Tech, which is the same position of Ed Oliver, DeWayne Carter and Larry Ogunjobi. Grant is easily my number one target in the draft. I think a big body in the middle of the D-Line would give us a huge upgrade. I would also rather trade up for one player with huge upside, as opposed to sitting back and getting two solid/safe prospects. There is a slight chance Grant falls to us. More likely we need to get above the Chargers at 22.
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Abdul Carter. Part of the awe surrounding Travis Hunter is his ability to play either WR and CB. That isn't (or at least shouldn't) be happening in the pros. In the NFL, he will need to pick only one position and really try to perfect his craft. Otherwise he splits his time, and risks not being great at either side. Will he be happy focusing on just one position? Will it be the same one his coaches want him to play? Will there be division in the front office or coaching staff over where to play him? Too many questions for my taste. Give me the "potentially next" Micah Parsons, and don't look back. As a sidebar... how hilarious is it that we basically let New England beat us in a meaningless Week 18 game, and it cost them one of the two elite prospects in this draft? Ouch.
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Using Beane’s past 7 drafts to try and predict 2025 picks
mjt328 replied to LEBills's topic in The Stadium Wall
You are thinking of Ken Dorsey (who was the OC at the start of the year). But I'm not really buying that. Dorsey didn't run much 12 the previous season, and then still didn't have a plan to fully utilize both TEs in the first half of 2023 before he was fired. And even now when Brady goes heavy, it's usually a 6th O-Lineman instead of a second TE. The Bills have never had a grand strategy to get both Kincaid and Dawson Knox heavily involved at the same time. Combine that with the contract Knox got the previous September, I just think Kincaid was more of "Plan B" on draft day, rather than Beane's primary target. And unfortunately, that's how premium draft selections get wasted. -
Elite prospect at #30? That never happens. Those guys are gone in the Top 5-10 picks every year. But lots of guys drafted later turn out to be elite once in the NFL. Just like some of those Top 5 elite prospects will bust. It's just a lot harder when you draft later, and requires much better scouting. Always picking in the late 20s/early 30s is only one reason we struggle to find elite talent. Personally, I think we focus too much on roster needs, instead of the best player available (particularly early). We draft heavily for pure scheme fits, rather than find different ways for coaching to utilize high-end physical talent. Beane also seems to prefer stockpiling picks and getting more swings, rather than trading up and trying for the homerun.
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Using Beane’s past 7 drafts to try and predict 2025 picks
mjt328 replied to LEBills's topic in The Stadium Wall
I've always believed that Beane had no intention of drafting Kincaid, and was fully planning on taking a WR. Then all the top receiver prospects got snatched up, and he talked himself into it... reasoning that he was still a "weapon" in the passing game. Usually it's pretty safe to assume we are going to take someone in for a Top 30 visit. -
I asked ChatGPT to Mock Round 1 - and the Bills select…
mjt328 replied to BisonMan's topic in The Stadium Wall
My educated guess is that Brandon Beane is targeting a CB in Round 1. He will make calls to teams 3-4 picks in front, and 3-4 picks behind us to prepare for trades. Depending on how our board looks, we could move a few spots. But I have very little doubt that CB will be the pick. Which makes me sad, because I feel like a good D-Line prospect is going to fall within a reasonable distance of us getting. But he's pretty much stuck us into a position where a corner must be chosen in the first two rounds. -
Every year, there are leaks about the Bills being heavily interested in a player. It always happens a couple days before the draft. And we never draft that player. I'm convinced it's our staff purposely putting out nonsense to throw other teams off. For 3-4 years it was always a running back. Then James Cook emerged and that rumor wasn't really believable anymore. I'm just going to assume these rumors about Carson Schwesinger are the same. Drafting a linebacker that high just doesn't make sense. We play mostly Nickel, which means only two LBs on the field for most of the game. LB is a position that guys play 95-100% of snaps. We just handed Terrel Bernard a big contract. And even if Matt MIlano doesn't return to his old self, Dorian Williams played well in his place most of last year. It's hard to see a rookie getting ANY snaps in this defense. Much less any meaningful playing time.
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What Does "Due Process" Mean?
mjt328 replied to The Frankish Reich's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Quick question. What date was Garcia put on the plane and sent to El Salvador? (Hint... the answer is March 15) What date did the Supreme Court rule on "facilitating" his return? (Hint... the answer is April 10) So no. Trump did not ignore the Supreme Court and deport him. He was already gone for almost a month before they issued that ruling. FYI - The court also clarified what they meant by "facilitate"... writing that it involved “taking all available steps to remove any domestic obstacles that would otherwise impede the alien’s ability to return here." So basically, if El Salvador sends Garcia back on a plane, the Trump administration can't create any obstacles to stop it. El Salvador said they aren't releasing him. Case closed. -
Absolutely not. The more playoff teams a league adds, the less important the regular season becomes. Less urgency for them to win the normal games. More chance for bad teams to pull off upsets against superior opponents. There are multiple teams in the NBA playoffs right now that finished at .500 or lower. That is pathetic. Once the NFL added a 7th team to their postseason format, they were forced to drop the bye for the #2 seeded team. Teams with 12-14 wins forced to play against a team with 8-9. I don't see how this possibly makes the sport better.
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What Does "Due Process" Mean?
mjt328 replied to The Frankish Reich's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
None of these arguments supports why immigrants need to come here illegally. The United States has the most generous immigration policy in the entire world. We take in more refugees, asylum seekers... grant more work/student visas... and give permanent citizenship to more people than any other country. And it's not even remotely close. All we ask is that people follow the legal process, and let the U.S. vet them first. It's rude and disrespectful for anyone to feel they are entitled to just sneak into a country. Not just to the citizens who already live there, but also to the other immigrants they are cutting in front-of who are doing it the correct way. -
What Does "Due Process" Mean?
mjt328 replied to The Frankish Reich's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
The Trump administration doesn't want him back. No doubt about that. But they aren't ignoring the Supreme Court. They are simply doing the bare minimum required to satisfy the court's order. An offer was made to send a plane to El Salvador to take him back. El Salvador declined. End of story. Garcia is a citizen of El Salvador. Garcia is in custody in El Salvador. Just because we have a contract to return immigrants to El Salvador, doesn't mean they have to send them back. If you really think the Supreme Court of the United States can FORCE another country to send us one of their own citizens... I just don't know what to tell you. For a minute, let's just ignore the plentiful evidence of Garcia's criminal record, or that he's a member of the MS-13 gang. Let's also ignore that MS-13 kills, rapes and traffics innocent people. Let's also ignore the fact that it was proven yesterday that he isn't dead, hasn't been tortured and that all his fears about being murdered by a rival gang were likely exaggerated in order to stay in the United States longer. How much due process do we really need for someone who broke into our country illegally? We aren’t talking about him facing the death penalty. We aren’t talking about him being tortured. We aren’t talking about him getting life in an American prison. We are talking about putting individuals on a plane, and sending them back to their own country. Nobody in the United States put Garcia in that prison. The officials of El Salvador did that. Yes, we knew that was going to happen. But it's still that country's choice. He is their citizen. They can also release him if they want. We are just getting them out of our country. America’s judicial system already has a huge backlog. The average court case takes between 12-18 months to be heard after it has been filed. One of the biggest problems with illegal immigration, is that our country only has limited resources. We only have so many courtrooms, judges and lawyers. Our own American citizens can’t even get a speedy trial date. But we are supposed to spend the people, space and tax dollars to give every single illegal immigrant a full court hearing? Garcia has been in the country illegally for over 14 years. He's been arrested for other violent crimes. He has already gotten at least two trials, both over 5 years ago. Both judges said the evidence convinced them he was a gang member. But somehow, people want to claim he didn't get enough due process under the law. Give me a break. In my opinion, we know he is illegal. That is enough to send him back to his home country. Nothing else is needed. El Salvador can worry about everything that happens after that. -
What Does "Due Process" Mean?
mjt328 replied to The Frankish Reich's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
He broke into this country illegally. Then due to the insane loopholes in our immigration system, he was granted the legal right to stay in the U.S. for the last 5-6 years. We can argue back and forth about the technical terminology. But either way, he was not a citizen of the United States. Whether a person is on a student visa, work visa, or granted any kind of temporary status by a district judge - that privilege can be revoked. The Alien Enemies Act has historically allowed the President to remove illegal immigrants for any reason, and without any kind of due process. Meaning that when Trump's administration deported Garcia, they had every right to do so by precedent, regardless of what a federal judge says. At the same time, the judge had no jurisdiction to order a plane to turn-around after it's already left the United States. Now, this is how Supreme Court cases always work when there is a dispute over the law: - Party A does something - Party B says "no you can't do that" - Party A says "yes I can" Then the Supreme Court makes a ruling on which side is correct. In this particular case, the Supreme Court ruled that Trump absolutely can use the Alien Enemies Act to deport individuals like Garcia. However, he should have gone through some kind of process hearing before deportation. Kind of a win/lose for both sides. To be clear, this is a slight change from the way the immigration procedure has been interpreted in the past regarding (particularly regarding the Alien Enemies Act). So you can't just go back and retroactively accuse the administration of defying what is really a new Supreme Court ruling. Furthermore, Garcia is now in the custody of El Salvador. He is also a citizen of that country. The idea that the United States Supreme Court can just order the President to retrieve a foreign citizen from another country's prison is absolutely preposterous. We can't even do that with American citizens being held as hostages. And finally, I think it's disgusting that people can't discuss things like this on an Internet message board without getting threats. Once upon a time it was OK that people disagreed on issues. At the end of the day, we could just voice our opinions and be civil. Now everyone on the other side has to be seen as evil, and deserving of "consequences." -
What Does "Due Process" Mean?
mjt328 replied to The Frankish Reich's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
The outrage over trying to get this guy back in the United States is what is ridiculous. But to be fair, this case does raise a lot of interesting questions about presidential/judicial authority and jurisdiction, and how the Constitution applies to non-citizens. For starters, there had already been a deportation order to remove Garcia from the country. The administration's supposed error was that (according to the district judge) he wasn't supposed to be removed to El Salvador, because he supposedly feared for his life from this rival gang. If they had dropped him off somewhere else, there wouldn't have been a problem. To be very clear... He came here illegally. He had a hearing before an immigration judge, who concluded he was a member of the MS-13 gang. Historically speaking, the Alien Enemies Act has allowed the President to remove illegal immigrants for any reason. Gang member or not. No due process at all. Under that precedent, this would have made the district judge's ruling null and void, allowing Garcia to be deported to El Salvador anyway. So to say that Trump was breaking the law (as it was interpreted at the time) is simply untrue. The problem with the Supreme Court ruling on the AEA (which didn't come until last week) is that Garcia is now in an El Salvador prison. And he is a citizen of that country, not the United States. Our government can't just force El Salvador to send us back one of their citizens, because of a court ruling that took place after the fact. No matter how the SC words their ruling, you can't just "undo the error" as you stated. And even if El Salvador decided to return him to the U.S., the Trump administration can simply hold a quick hearing before an immigration judge (as now ordered by the SC) and deport him again. Going forward, I'm curious how the Supreme Court ruling is going to play out. What entails a quick process hearing? Even spending 10-15 minutes per individual would backup the system and make it virtually impossible for the mass deportations needed to clean-up this mess. The current system is totally broken (as evidenced that Garcia was residing in our country 5-6 years without being sent somewhere). I agree with this. Unfortunately, the Supreme Court felt differently and believes they deserve some level of due process. -
Matt Milano was a Doug Whaley/Sean McDermott pick. Not Beane. As stated, my gripe with Beane is that (despite his reputation) he's become a very conservative GM over the last 3-4 years. Where is the guy who wheeled-and-dealed his way into the Top 10 to get Josh Allen? Where is the guy who traded a 1st Round Pick to get Stefon Diggs? Where is the guy who came out of nowhere to land Von Miller in free agency? In my opinion, Beane hit his comfort-zone and is now pretty much on auto-pilot. Every offseason is roughly the same... Sign some extensions to help get under the cap. Add some mid-level/low-impact vets on mostly one-year deals. Go into draft with 1-2 glaring holes. Sit back at pick 25-30. Reach for biggest need in the first round. Claim player was Best Available. Address remaining spots on Day 2-3. Rinse and repeat. Put it all together and you end up with Josh Allen single-handedly carrying an above-average roster to the AFC East Championship. Then getting bounced from the playoffs by a superior team with more star-power, who doesn't rely on one guy to do everything. Did you realized that Beane has never drafted a 1st-Team All-Pro (including Allen). Only Allen and Taron Johnson have been selected as 2nd Team All-Pros. Every year fans complain about Bills players getting snubbed for Pro-Bowls around the NFL. Despite more than half our games being on national television every season, just try finding someone outside of Buffalo who can name five of our defensive players. The truth is, our guys outside of Allen just don't make enough of an impact to get noticed. And they always disappear in the postseason.
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Don't get me wrong. Brandon Beane is still a Top 5 GM in the NFL. It's just that he's significantly lower than the top guys Howie Roseman and Brett Veach. I think he's also a tier below Eric DeCosta and Les Snead. Just like if you were to say Jalen Hurts is a Top 5 QB in the NFL (which is reasonable). He's still quite a bit below the top guys in Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen. As I've said many times about Beane. I like him. I don't want to see him fired. But I do think he's gotten too comfortable and conservative. He needs to be more aggressive, and he needs to break a little from his normal draft routine.
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That's because Beane's drafts are usually singles/doubles instead of homeruns. My worry is that he's once again really backed himself into a corner (pun intended) at the CB and WR positions. This appears to be an extremely weak year for both. Meanwhile, the D-Line is loaded this year at both edge rusher and tackle. It would be a great year to load up on the front. But sitting at #30, I could unfortunately see us getting desperate, trading up to fill needs, reaching for value, and then settling for left-overs on the DL on Day 3.
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Somewhat unrelated, but I can’t help but come away unimpressed with any QB prospects nowadays. After watching Josh Allen every week for 5-6 months, everyone’s arm and athletic ability just seems average. People are gushing over Cam Ward, and to me he just looks meh.
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Bills halt contract negotiations with Cook
mjt328 replied to Returntoglory's topic in The Stadium Wall
Hard for Cook to look good here. The Bills have made every effort to re-sign and financially reward their own players, despite being tight against the salary cap. Just this offseason we've seen extensions for Josh Allen, Khalil Shakir, Greg Rousseau, Terrel Bernard and Christian Benford. They are not one of those cheap franchises that waits until the last minute, and then locks players up with the franchise tag. In terms of market value, Cook is RB that isn't the primary 3rd Down back and (despite the touchdown numbers this year) isn't really a short-yardage/goal line guy either. One has to question how much of his value is inflated playing next to Josh Allen and behind one of the NFL's best O-Lines. Yet he wants to get paid Top 5 at his position. Going after a team without much cap to spend, his terms really aren't reasonable. Then instead of just buckling down and vowing a strong contract year... he pulls the cryptic unhappy with his situation nonsense that forced Stefon Diggs off the team. To me, this just seems like really poor strategy from Cook. If he keeps this up, he's going to get traded to a bottom-feeder with no QB and terrible blocking, and he's going to watch his career go up in smoke. -
As many have mentioned, Brandon Beane typically leaves one glaring hole in the starting lineup every single year going into the draft. This year his biggest free agent acquisitions were Joey Bosa at DE (replacing Von Miller) and Josh Palmer at WR (replacing Amari Cooper/Mack Hollins). At CB, he's basically replaced Rasul Douglas with Dane Jackson... who he was always trying to upgrade during his last stint with the team. Plus he finally gave up on Kaiir Elam, leaving another depth hole at the position. We are almost certainly going CB with our first pick. Whether he's the BPA or not.
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So what's the plan?
mjt328 replied to BringMetheHeadofLeonLett's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
You don't need a lengthy legal process to determine a person isn't an American citizen. The First Amendment is for American citizens. North Korea suppresses speech for its own citizens, and throws them in prison for speech. The U.S. is deporting non-citizens, and sending them back to their own country. So there is a difference. This world is full of people with terrible worldviews and ideologies, who hate our country, freedoms and values. If they are here under a temporary immigration status, we are under no obligation to allow them to stay here. -
So what's the plan?
mjt328 replied to BringMetheHeadofLeonLett's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Citizens have full rights under the U.S. Constitution. They are not being deported, and will not be deported. Illegals are being deported, as they should. Legal immigrants (with Visas and Green Card holders) are here on a temporary trial basis. They do not have the same rights as U.S. citizens. If they commit crimes they can and should get deported. If they promote anti-American ideals (such as supporting terrorism), they can and should get deported. -
So what's the plan?
mjt328 replied to BringMetheHeadofLeonLett's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Even if most manufacturing jobs are automated or done by A.I., there is still a great benefit to having things built in the United States. -
So what's the plan?
mjt328 replied to BringMetheHeadofLeonLett's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
OK. So you are simply looking at tariffs as "raising taxes" and nothing else. At least now I understand where you are coming from. No need to be rude and condescending. There are many factors that will determine whether a tariff turns out to be positive or negative. It's not just necessarily just going to raise prices for American citizens. For example: If tariffs are used as a temporary negotiating tactic with foreign trade partners (such as Canada) and it ultimately causes both sides to drop/decrease them, it will result in a net positive. U.S. companies will become more competitive in foreign markets, and there will be no price changes for our citizens. If tariffs encourage manufacturers to open plants in the U.S., this is also a positive by creating jobs for American citizens. There will be no price changes for our citizens, because those products will now be made here in our country. It happened in my hometown during Trump's first term, when his tariffs caused the re-opening of our local steel plant. Depending on the market for the product, foreign companies will sometimes find they cannot raise prices and remain competitive. So they simply eat the tariff. This results in more tax revenue for the U.S., while there is no change in prices for American citizens. In some cases, our inability to manufacture products in the U.S. is a serious national security issue. We found this out during Covid, when it was revealed that much of our medical equipment and drugs are manufactured in China. Not good if we ever went to war with them. As I originally stated, only time will tell how the tariff issue works out. -
So what's the plan?
mjt328 replied to BringMetheHeadofLeonLett's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Where did anyone say he was raising taxes? I'm very confused where you got that. Some of the tax cuts Trump has been talking about include: - No tax on tips - No tax on overtime - No tax on social security benefits - Eliminating income tax for everyone making $150K per year and under -
So what's the plan?
mjt328 replied to BringMetheHeadofLeonLett's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Part of the plan is to: - Reduce government size and lower the national debt - Reduce taxes for working Americans - Bring back jobs and manufacturing capability to the U.S. - Energy independence from other countries - Negotiate better trade deals with foreign governments These aren't things that can just be done overnight, with a snap of the fingers. It's a process and balancing act. For instance, significantly reducing taxes will give the economy a spark. But if it's done without also cutting government spending, we just make the deficit worse. Much of the tariff stuff is about posturing and leverage. What is being put in place today won't necessarily be in place tomorrow, a month from now, or a year from now. It's all about the endgame. And our "allies" getting angry? Give me a break. Most of these countries totally rely on the U.S. for military protection, expect us to supply 90% of foreign aid to the free world, and have economies heavily dependent on exports to the U.S. They have already been hitting us with massive tariffs for decades. But as soon as we do anything in the self-interest of our citizens, they scream unfair.