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Jauronimo

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Everything posted by Jauronimo

  1. Warm weather is a fad. Cold and bleak will be back in style soon.
  2. do not encourage this
  3. Being a one man clownshow is what appeals most to Trump's base. Bravado, machismo, and "telling it like it is". Crippling hubris has been successfully repackaged and sold as toughness. Policy isn't selling the merch. Make America Great Again. Mind numbingly simple but highly effective. What most Americans care about is jobs, prosperity, and to live generally free from outside interference. If Democrats would position themselves as primarily caring about the economy and blue collar jobs they might never lose again. But instead they would rather run on how not to commit microaggressions against a 7 year old who recently came out as non-binary gender ***** to their class.
  4. Thats a pretty solid list of examples of public vetting you're compiling. No, I don't think she would have fared much better in this primary than she did previously. I was highly surprised when she was named the pick. Seemed like a panic move to me. They picked a story rather than a viable candidate. And if this was the plan all along, years of careful planning to push Kamala out of the public eye and then pull a 180 and say they had sidelined is now the best person for the job, then I believe its long past time for the tinfoil hat contingent of this board reconsider any notion that the Democrats are capable scheming or executing on anything more nefarious than a pizza party. The fact that there are appear to be no established rules or laws governing the contingency of a candidate dropping out at the 11th hour is highly concerning.
  5. You know this intimate and irrelevant detail about the first wife, of the husband of a presidential candidate, a detail that would never have been public knowledge for any reason were it not tangentially associated with a presidential candidate, and you maintain that this candidate has had "no public vetting"...despite obvious evidence of vetting. Shes been the DA, the AG, a senator, and most recently VP of the united states and you act like she's burst onto the scene out of relative obscurity like a junior senator from Illinois. This board spends much of their day recounting her disastrous history in San Francisco and epic history of her oral skills and you tell me she's had zero public vetting? Come on... Her campaign began 2 weeks ago and she basically was picked as the democratic nominee a few days ago right? I have no clue how long it takes to publicly launch a comprehensive platform but she had better put one out there soon or the short road to the presidency she was gifted will be completely squandered...assuming Americans vote based on policy provisions and I think we both know that they don't. This whole episode has been a bizarre chapter than instills very little faith in how our political system works but "no public vetting" is a weak take. Reviewing the bullet points on the campaign website is probably less than 1% of the political vetting process.
  6. No vetting? Your opinion is that the Vice President of the United States for the last 3 years has had no public vetting?
  7. There are online versions. Can play against friends or computer opponents.
  8. I knew exactly what was going on: two people making bad arguments and demonstrating a stunted understanding of equity markets and economic conditions. Thank you for confirming. I walked in halfway through a monkey ***** fight spanning 3 posts and you still insist I was having difficulty following the exchange of feces? Impressive deductions on your part.
  9. Oh yeah. Equity market returns as a function of the sitting president is real difficult subject matter. Maybe because its so new to me? Oddly enough, it wasn't covered in any of the course work related to my degree in economics or in any of the CFA program curriculum.
  10. By responding to a post about equity market returns over the past 8 years and pointing out that the stock market is not the economy, a point which everyone knows and understands**, you believe that I am now obligated to engage in that silly discussion and provide contradictory evidence about a matter of factual record? Is that your understanding of how conversations work? And you want to be my latex salesman.... **except for when it suits their argument. During the Obama admin the stock market cruised and republicans knew that the stock market was not the economy. How could it be since Democrats are bad at the economy?? Democrats were quick to point out that 401ks were looking pretty good. During the Trump admin, Republicans knew that the stock market was the economy and the market remained hot. Dems were quick to remind us that stock market returns were just the rich getting richer at the expense of the little guy. Wall Street, after all, is not Main Street. Now we are here in the Biden admin and equity markets stayed hot during an unprecedented bull run. Republicans once again remembered that the stock market is not the economy until the opening bell this morning when a 2% blip landed solely on the Biden admin but the previous multi-year run was just markets being markets. Democrats are still pretty sure the stock market is the economy but that is likely to change in November...depending on who wins and which way the wind is blowing. No matter who wins and what side you're on, I can already give you your economic talking points for the next 4 years on a single index card.
  11. The Obama obsession was really strange. Remember all the Hope and Change T-Shirts, bumper stickers, and even posters? Obama was getting teen magazine type treatment from all sorts of fanboys and fangirls. It was a step change in American politics. But the Trump obsession is an order of magnitude bigger and weirder. There is a Trump themed burger restaurant not far from me. Trump NFTs, Trump bibles, Trump collector cards, Trump religious iconography. People are basing their entire personality on being a Trump supporter.
  12. My bad. Thought you were better than "stock market went up = my team better than your team". Sorry for the interruption.
  13. Depends on how its going to be used. Data is great when its used to craft an intellectually honest and consistent argument. In this case, data was used to make the usual slinging of *****, that passes for political commentary in these parts, ostensibly passable. Data wasn't needed.
  14. The Callahan Cheektowaga Homeless Index is a lagging indicator in every sense of the word. "The stock market is not the economy unless its convenient" is the only economic truth on this board.
  15. Its really amazing how Harris was able to completely mismanage the Japanese economy for 20 years in her one month as a presidential candidate.
  16. Keep us updated.
  17. The movie is purely a human interest story. The book deals with a decent amount of football history and how left tackle became a money position in the NFL. Lawrence Taylor was knocking QBs out of the game and overnight linemen stopped being viewed as interchangeable cogs. Anyone up to the task of handling premier edge rushers was suddenly among the highest paid players in the league.
  18. What bigger fish do you have to fry, bro? Name 5 bigger fish.
  19. Those are different plays. Milano has been beaten and he has had some good reps. Hes not getting toasted every play.
  20. I know a few people who have used variants of Ozempic and lost a lot of weight pretty quickly. They swear its a miracle. Its not just diet related changes in behavior either. They're finding they don't drink as much. Basically less sensitive to impulsive/addictive behaviors.
  21. Weirdly enough, FinHeaven is happier about this than we are! And I'm happy for them. Not enough years or money in my opinion. That was Tannehill when Clay dropped the winning TD. Dec 2018.
  22. I can't think of any super bowl winning team in the modern era that didn't have defined roles on offense. We should be more worried than usual.
  23. Do you have crazy CC rewards points racked up from the Corporate Amex? I need to learn how to maximize my miles and points before the next big trip.
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