PaattMaann

The Kill Shot...if he hits it for a tuddy we are in a completely different place with the Miami game. Also to your point about context....I don't have the stat or remember where I heard it (I am sure it was a podcast over these past two weeks) but it was comparing QBs on third downs and air yards, and the number 1 QB in the league by far at throwing at or past the sticks was Josh Allen. what theeee....THIS is what you got out of that article (did you read it?) and this discussion in this thread (did you read it?)???

Except all of the numbers show how effective our passing offense is on a per play basis sooooooooooooooooo

I didn't think it came off as personal, and I was not responding to your comment in a personal manner either brother! I am simply saying, I'll take "the good with the bad" just as it is. It has largely been game plan specific. He has shown the ability all year to hit open underneath/mid range targets. I am saying this is a non issue and im OK with that crappy offensive series where he took back to back deep shots to Gabe Davis and we punted (I was not at the time lol) because it means we also get multiple deep shot connections a game. And as the post above that shows the twitter thread by @sharpndpensel (a great follow by the way), the passing offense is still wildly effective so who cares how it gets done? The bottom line is, every metric shows that GREAT things happen when Joshua Patrick Allen drops back to fire the pigskin.

except for when he takes the home run swings and hits as pointed out by Greg Tompsett at Cover 1...."which 50 yard pass completion do you want to substitute for the 10 yard completion?" Ill ride or die with him taking shots.

We will have to agree to disagree about it though because I am done spending time and effort on a silly argument. However, Your household debt is a tad high, its actually about 60 grand less than you say, and obviously home mortgages are the driving reason behind debt...not just frivolous spending choices https://www.bankrate.com/personal-finance/debt/average-american-debt/#key-insights-on Go Bills! Lets meet for a beer in KC, first ones on me!

Its also possible that you just arent correct. Why is that NFL players and coaches have publicly commented about how the Super Bowl isnt a good atmosphere anymore? Is that because of all the normal die hards in attendance? Those people aren't relevant to our argument though. We are talking about Chiefs fans not wanting to spend money so they can save it to attend the super bowl, well he is, im telling him that is ridiculous.

found it on twitter, the account who posted it is @TheMaxMeyer (blue check mark for what that is worth) It is essentially an even money bet when your using the point spread, so this bettor is betting basically even money that the Bills will win by more than 5. That kind of money is often from sharps/groups. They don't make a habit out of losing money. The splits between # of tickets betting (in this case, most people are betting the Bengals - these are your average joes) and the amount of money being bet (in this case, the vast majority of money is coming in on the Bills) indicates that the sharps/betting groups in vegas are betting on the Bills. Its never a sure indication of which way a game is going to go obviously, but as I said, the sharps/betting groups don't make it a habit of losing money.

That particular bet was for -110, so that 330,000 bet would win you about 300,000 (relax bettors im rounding)

The presumption is that MOST fans wont be going alone to the Super Bowl then as well. So same spending ratio works. Double my amount for going to Atlanta vs. double the amount to attend the Super Bowl. The vast majority of super bowl tickets are NOT purchased by normals, there is no way you can actually think that. Like, ive seen you post and know that you arent dumb. KC fans not going to the AFCCG in order to save money so they can afford to go to the super bowl is just an illogical, bad argument. Maybe that applies to 1,000 people (IT DOESN'T, but lets just pretend your argument holds any type of water). What about the other 60,000 season ticket holders?

According to Caesars sports book, Cincy is getting 70% of the bets but Buffalo has 73% of the money. There have been three 6-figure bets, including one of $330,000 on the Bills at -5. I like when the sharps are on the Bills.

according to next gen stats, we had 12 different players who had at least 1 pressure on Thompson. He had 51 drop backs, so on AT LEAST 20% of his drop backs he was pressured. Add in the 4 sacks and I am positive some guys had more than 1 pressure, that percentage is likely at least 30% (cant find it, I can find that Allen was pressured 48% of his drop backs - which is ridiculous). So you can disagree, but just know that it isnt rooted in fact.

whos dropping 2k/3k on a trip to atlanta? I paid 150 for a game ticket, 320 for flight and 350 for hotel for 2 nights. Under a thousand is a hell of a lot different than the 8-10K at least itll cost to be at the super bowl (cheapest ticket in the door is $6,500). Normal fans dont go to superbowls anymore man. If you are that much of a fan that you would wanna be at AFCCG / Superbowl and have 10 K to drop on a super bowl trip, youve also got the grand to be at atlanta.

lol OK

I highly doubt chiefs fan, or any football fan, is saving their money for Super Bowl tickets lol

Pat Hammer is literally the only weather source I trust. Aint no rain brudda, just a liddle snow.

trusted local weather people are saying no rain, just light snow during the game. Weather wont have an effect (for as much as you can trust the weather here).

This is true...what is funny is, the other great team at doing this is the Bengals. Crazy high pressure rate and low sack rate.

I think I did say that didnt I? If not that was kind of my point. We did dominate them but fans wanted even more eye popping numbers. Kind of like the number of sacks the dolphins got against Josh : ) haha and the eye popping numbers didn't happen because that wasnt our dline gameplan, it WILL be to get after the QB on Sunday

People expected like 10 sacks and 50 pressures because of the backup oline. This is a classic case of fan perception/hopes vs. reality. We got pressure against the Dolphins and dominated their line in the run game (2.1 YPA rush is a great mark for the D line). A major reason we didnt get even more sacks and pressures is because the dline was focused on run stopping first and not pinning their ears back to get after the QB (game plan specific). We will see a different plan from the D-line this week I can gaurantee.

the plan SHOULD be "who cares" when concerning their run game. They dont have one. They are bottom 5 in every rushing metric. Any rushing attempt is a win for the Bills because its not Burrow throwing to one of their many dangerous weapons. Ill take our chances ALL DAY if the Bengals have more than 25 rushing attempts.

Burrow has struggled mightily against 3 man rushes this season. Might we see that utilized as a strategy to switch it up somewhere in this game? I am trying to find out the Bills utilization of 3 man rushes previously. Oliver, Groot and "insert other DE".

Allen has made some incredible flat footed throws this season (and throughout his career). But I do agree I want to see Allen out of the pocket by design.

Thats what I put our odds at, 60/40...so makes sense in my mind. ESPN matchup predictor shows Bills at 65%

That was the point of his tweet

This has been discussed a lot on some podcasts I listen to, and based on what we know of the offense, the WR's have a TON of discretion in the routes they run and where they end up based on the defense alignment pre snap (WRs have mentioned that this offense is unlike anything they have ever played in before). This likely leads to them being around each other a lot more. Sometimes they are reading similar open spots and both end up there via different path ways, and sometimes one guy might read the D wrong and takes his route to an incorrect place which might lead to them being in the same spot. It is a downside of the offensive design, as well as execution. Same token, its very difficult to defend because there aren't as many tendencies for defenses to pick up on.