
OldTimer1960
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Everything posted by OldTimer1960
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Yes, I agree that they are hard to find. But, why would you want an average one? I can't think of any very good 3-4 defenses with average NTs. Round one is too high (IMHO) to take an average player whom you will be trying to replace shortly after drafting him. I'd just as soon they backtrack on their decision to go 3-4 and stay with the 4-3. Seems there are more good 4-3 DTs and ends this year than 3-4 NTs or ends. Why fight what's available? I thought this coaching staff's claim to fame was not being married to a particular scheme. Doesn't seem to be the case on defense as they seem committed to changing to 3-4 regardless of whether they have the personnel to make it work.
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If there were a dominant NT available to the Bills in the first, I would support taking him. However, I don't see one in the draft worth taking in the first, let alone as high as 9th. Too many varied opinions on Dan Williams, but NONE of them say he is a dominating run-stuffing machine who will really set the line in an NFL 3-4. They read more like "he has power and will do the dirty work in the trenches". That doesn't scream 9th overall pick to me. Beyond Williams, there are few true NT candidates that I'd even want in the 2nd. Scouts don't agree on Cam Thomas from NC - some rate him highly, others think little of him. I am not a big Terrence Cody fan - anyone who can't be bothered to get in shape for a job interview that could land him $Millions has to scare you. From what I've read, the remaining candidates are more 3rd-4th round guys: Torell Troup, Linval Joseph and maybe Al Woods. While I think that NT is a very key position for a team that aspires to run a 3-4, I do not advocate reaching for one in the 1st or 2nd "just to get one".
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Draft two OTs early? They'll be lucky to find one that can play LT let alone a Left and Right Tackle. For all of the talk of how "deep" the draft is at OT, I don't see it for LTs. There seems to be Russell Okung and then a bunch of questions: Trent William's work ethic and effort have been questioned. Anthony Davis' ability to stay in shape and his judgement have been questioned (didn't even show for his pro-day and then when called refused to work out or be weighed). Bryan Bulaga has everything you want in terms of effort and attitude, but some question his strength and whether he is an elite-enough athlete to pick in the top 10 Bruce Campbell - is supposed to be a tremendous athlete, but supposedly lacks aggressiveness and lacks experience (having started only 17 games in college). I don't like any of the guys whose work ethic and effort are concerns - especially Davis. Bulaga seems to be the safest pick of the bunch (that has a chance to be available) - he seems to have the "highest floor", but maybe the "lowest ceiling" of the group. Campbell probably would be my next choice in that there are no real knocks on his effort and he has super athletic ability. I could live with the concern about being a "finesse" blocker as LT is more about pass protection than being a powerful run blocker. As far as OTs after the first round, I think many here are over-rating them. Saffold might be interesting in the 2nd with eventual starting-LT potential, but is the 9th pick in the 2nd round too high for him? I guess if the Bills want more power and less pass blocking ability at LT, they could consider Vlad Ducasse in the 2nd - if he's still available. Beyond him, I think the pickings are slim and they'd be getting a guy that they'd be trying to replace again soon. I guess they could maybe consider Charles Brown in the 2nd, too, but for a guy who was at a very top level program, it concerns me that he isn't more physically developed and didn't play better since his team was usually much better than the opposition. So, what do they do? I could easily see them going with another position in the first because they don't like the guys that are left when their pick is up. If they do, that will leave them with the potential of not filling the LT position in the draft, but I'd rather they do that than reach for someone that they aren't sold on at LT. As for RT, I guess I agree with the thread's poster that they may be able to find a future starting RT in the 2nd or 3rd round.
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Kiobe wasn't a full starter until his 4th year
OldTimer1960 replied to StamerforPrez's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
What do you propose to give up for a 34 year old QB who has relied in the past at least as much on his athletic ability as his passing ability? You want to spend the Bills' 2nd pick on Tebow, right? So, then what would you give Philly to acquire McNabb? I would not even consider giving up their first for McNabb and I don't think the Eagles would take a 3rd this year (and I'd be reluctant to part with that, too). -
What about a trade with Houston at 20
OldTimer1960 replied to billsfansince1964's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Boy, FAT Cody in the first round is a BIG BIG gamble. The guy hasn't bothered to get into decent shape when $MILLIONS are on the line - enough to set himself and his family for life. How on earth will he be able to be motivated once he HAS that money? In my opinion, he would be THE biggest risk in round 1 and maybe even in round 2. Yeah, I know he's lost a few pounds since the Senior Bowl and I know that there have been some HUGE FAT DTs that have been pretty good, but I'd be very leery of spending a high pick on that guy. -
I could be wrong, but I don't like Clausen. I don't know how you can call fat Anthony Davis a "workout warrior". Workout warrior refers to a player who performs better in combine-like drills than he does in actual games. If anything, Davis is more of an ugly guy who has gotten good results - but don't read me wrong, I don't want hm because of the negative things I've read about his work ethic. Now, Bruce Campbell might be described as a "workout warrior". I don't know if that is true or if he is just young and inexperienced. He is only a Junior coming out and is a phenomenal athlete. Question is whether he will blossom with more coaching and experience or is he a very athletic guy who isn't a great football player?
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UPDATED: Tim Tebow, QB, Denver Broncos
OldTimer1960 replied to Kingfish's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I am not arguing that the Bills should draft Tebow, but why do you think "Pike or Skelton are the best options for us"? Pike is a guy who showed nothing until someone ahead of him got hurt and he is very skinny (injury prone) and didn't play against a very high level of competition at Cinci. Skelton is a big-arm who didn't dominate against an even lower level of competition. Granted, these guys both have good arms, but why is that enough - especially if they'd need to be taken within a round or two of Tebow? College play and level of competition should have a lot to do with evaluation and Tebow was much more productive over a longer period of time at a higher level of competition. If having the raw arm-strength is enough, then most pitching starved MLB teams should only have to turn to a couple of their outfielders who have great arms. Clearly that isn't enough. There is more to playing QB (or pitcher) in the majors than just arm strength. -
You can do the same exercise for each round of the draft for any team. Have the Bills missed more than their share of 1st round picks? Maybe, but they aren't that far off from most other teams. As you said, the draft is a crap-shoot and the Bills biggest problem has been a lack of decent QB play. Where would NE be if they hadn't gotten stupid lucky on Tom Brady in round 6? Yeah, they did pick him, but there is no way they expected anything like what they got from their 6th round pick. Take Brady away and the Pats are probably much like the Bills have been for some time. Now, I am not saying that I think the Bills should draft a QB this year. I don't like what I've read about any of them other than Bradford who won't be available. I am just arguing that sometimes its when you get lucky that you are the smartest (like SF was with Joe Montana in round 3).
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'Bama LB McLain could be the Bills pick
OldTimer1960 replied to PromoTheRobot's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
It isn't just about "practice and learning", a player also has to have enough size and athletic ability to play a position. By that logic, Demetrius Bell and Jamon Meredith should also be fine at LT because they too have all offseason to practice and learn. Now, maybe Levitre is an exception and he can overcome his relative lack of height and shorter arms to be a good NFL LT. I don't know that. But, I do know that most or all of the starting LTs in the NFL are taller and have longer arms than he does. -
Latest ProFootballWeekly.com Mock Draft
OldTimer1960 replied to Estro's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I respectfully disagree that Jackson is an "excellent" #1 RB. Jackson had a very nice season last year, but he did not have to carry the full load and he is closing in on 30 y.o. when many RBs fall off a cliff. Jackson is not a top 15 RB in the league. Note that I am not saying he is bad or disrespecting him, I just think that calling him "excellent" is over-estimating his ability. That being said, I still don't like the idea of the Bills' first pick being spent on a RB. However, with the way that mock draft is laid out, there isn't a LT left worth taking at 9, I don't like everything that I've read about Clausen (especially that he is rumored to not be well-liked by his teammates) and there isn't a NT worth the 9th pick. So, where do you go with that pick? If it were me, I'd look at helping the D at either DE or LB, but I'd still have to consider Spiller as he would likely be rated much higher than any of the DEs or LBs left at that point. -
Why do you think Quinn is any better than Edwards, Fitz, Brohm? What has he done? Better yet, look at what Cleveland got for him: a fullback and a 6th round pick. If any team thought he was any good, Cleveland could have gotten more for him. Just because there are QBs that play for other teams, it doesn't necessarily make them any better than what the Bills already have. I am not saying that I am satisfied with the Bills' QB situation, only that adding another mediocre QB to the bunch wouldn't help much.
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Not really a lot available at LT after round 1 this year. I guess the best of the bunch that might be around after the first are: Vlad Ducasse U Mass - Now, some questioning if he is good enough to play LT, more a RT or G Roger Saffold - Indiana - Played LT in the East-West Shrine game and was reportedly very athletic - finesse guy Charles Brown - USC - Finesse LT, think he is a converted TE Beyond these guys I think you are wishing and hoping rather than finding a good prospect to play LT.
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jimmy kennedy visiting buffalo tomor
OldTimer1960 replied to lightning21's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Judging by the lack of information about the visit coming from the Bills, I'd assume that Kennedy is leaving and won't be returning. I am not saying that it is good or bad, only that it doesn't look like they will be signing him. -
No problem with taking this guy in the 5th or later, but he is a long-shot. Really, beyond Bradford and Clausen, the other QBs in this draft are much closer to long-shots than sure-things. Even Bradford and Clausen are not sure-things, but they are head and shoulders above the other QB prospects. I'd go so far as to say, I wouldn't consider any of the other QBs in the draft before round 3 and even there I'd hesitate. I'd rather see them get a guy at another position that has a good chance of developing into a starter or at least strong backup than to spend a 2nd or 3rd rounder on a QB who likely will never be more than an NFL backup.
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No. I am just a draft fanatic who has purchased and read lots of draft publications over the last 25 years including Kiper's, Draft Scrapbook, Ourlads, Pro Football Weekly, Draft Insiders and Lande's GMJr. I am sure that I forgot a few, but I think that is most of them. I just appreciate the product and thought that I'd mention it on here as (obviously) there are a lot of folks on here who are very into the draft.
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Whitehurst visiting Arizona!
OldTimer1960 replied to Billsfan=pain's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I know that I am not a big optimist, but to get upset that the 3rd string QB of the Chargers may sign with another team and the Bills will "miss out" is way past me. Why would anyone think that Whitehurst is any better than Ed FitzBrohm? -
Why do you say that? Is it just because it doesn't line up with other mock drafts that you've seen? How do you know which one is "right" or if ANY of them are close? I applaud them for going with their opinions on the players and team needs instead of just going with the popular "flow" from other prognosticators. Realistically, most of the mock drafts will be wrong A LOT, even in round 1.
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He may get stronger, but I doubt that his arms will get any longer. Again, that doesn't mean that he can't be a good NFL LT, it just means that he will have to find a way to overcome not having ideal arm length.
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I am a long-time draft fanatic and I find SportingNews' WarRoom to be one of the most credible scouting services around (I also like Pro Football Weekly's Nolan Nawrocki). WarRoom is run by Russ Lande who actually worked in the NFL as a scout for the Rams (and I think the Browns, too). Now, I know that there are good and bad scouts in the NFL, but Lande at least knows how to study tape, knows what NFL types are looking for in players and likely has some contacts in the league also. He also isn't afraid to express a bold opinion. For instance, he isn't down on board-favorite Rolando McClain, but he does go against the "common opinion" in thinking that he isn't a high number 1 pick. FWIW, Lande was not that high on Aaron Maybin last year when many others were touting him as the best pass rusher in the draft. To be fair, we can't write Maybin off after one year that would have been his Junior season in college, but so far Lande looks to have been spot-on. Another fwiw, Lande publishes his own draft guide (GMJr) in addition to working for SportingNews. Lande's guide is BY FAR the most detailed of any that I've seen over the past 25 years of following the draft. For $20 it is really worth-while if you are into the draft.
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Bills line up meeting with C.J. Spiller
OldTimer1960 replied to bobcat's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I think that they are doing their due-dilligence on all the players that they could consider at 9. He will not be around in the 2nd unless there is some medical issue/injury or drug issue that hasn't yet come out. I disagree that RB is "not a need" for the Bills. Yes, Fred Jackson had a special season, but he is about 30, when many RBs fall off a cliff and the Bills may also be trying to move Marshawn Lynch. I do agree that there are bigger needs for this team than RB, but let's say that the only LT candidate available at 9 is Anthony Davis (concerns about work ethic), QB Bradford is gone and they either don't like Clausen or he is gone and both Suh and McCoy are gone. I'd say they should be prepared to look at other positions including RB and LB. In this scenario, Spiller could be the best player available or maybe LB Sergio Kindle or a board-favorite like Rolando McClain. I'd be disappointed if they WEREN'T looking at all the top players coming out, regardless of position. -
I would love to see us take a run at Colt Brennan
OldTimer1960 replied to ACor58's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
The knocks on Brennan coming out of college were the following: * small stature * suspiciously quick weight gain red-flag (from 185-207 between the Sr Bowl and combine) * marginal arm strength * does not throw a tight spiral * did not have to read defenses much in college due to the offense they ran Now, all that doesn't mean that he couldn't be a good NFL QB, but reasons like the above are why he was still around late in the draft. -
I agree that Bulaga seems to be the "safer" pick. However, there are those that don't think Bulaga should be picked that high. The knocks on Bulaga from those with that point of view include: * doesn't have a powerful lower body to drive defenders off the line * has marginal arm length (this supposedly can let a defender with longer arms have an advantage) * is built more like a G than a LT However, those knocks seem less scary to me than Davis' reported lack of work ethic and maturity.
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I wouldn't want to give up the Bills 2nd this year for an old D. McNabb. I think he is 34 and likely has only 1-2 years left in a good, but not great, career. If the Bills had the other pieces in place (OL, D), then maybe it would make sense to throw a 2nd round pick to Philly for a year or two of good QB play, but that is clearly not the case for this Bills team.
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I am not known to be one of the more optimistic guys on this board, but "a bunch of solid role players" IS a foundation. I agree that finding a QB and OTs are very very important (and difficult), but this team is not completely devoid of talent. I believe that the lack of FA signings is more a case of there not being much available and a (refreshing) unwillingness to over-pay for mediocre players (like Langston Walker and Derrick Dockery). There were maybe a few outstanding players available in FA (Julius Peppers), but the Bills really could not compete $-wise for the top end guys - especially this year with supply far far short of demand (price goes up and up). Beyond that, there might be some decent starters/good backups available as unrestricted FAs. Not rushing to over-pay those guys is reasonable, especially considering that none of them are going to turn this team around immediately. Heck, I might argue that if the Bills signed any 5 of the remaining unrestricted FAs today, that might not translate into two more wins - that is how weak the UFA market is. I do expect that the Bills will pick up a few depth guys during FA and that is fine. I don't think that there are any difference-makers left. The team will need to build through the draft.
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If Jamal Williams is health and has much left, then SD would very likely not have released him. Unless the Chargers are in trouble financially (I don't think they are), you have to consider that Williams may be a shell of his former self. He may still be better than the alternatives the Bills have, but you can't justify paying him the amount that he used to make when he was dominant if he no longer is. For all we know, the Bills may have contacted his agent and found out that he is looking for $ that is too high compared to what the Bills believe he has left. Just because a guy used to be an outstanding player doesn't mean that he still is. Injuries and age take their toll in the NFL.