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BADOLBILZ

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Everything posted by BADOLBILZ

  1. Yeah, having followed the draft closely for almost 40 years and on here since the 1990's and following college recruiting on a too-often(daily) basis......I'm not trying to accumulate every draft opinion I have in the last 6 months prior to a draft. Let alone from the combine onward, like most here. So I've made note to observe certain things about TSW. Like things that trigger TSW fans to jump on players during the draft. I'll even make note of some strange people who are oddly insistent ON a certain player. Like the former Joe Sixpack, who was all about Metcalf and has been cussing the Bills out about it ever since that draft. You.......I made no note of at the time because you seemed like a random throw-dart-at-board-loudly draft newb who I thought would likely flame out on TSW anyway. Your takes have improved since then but your leaps of logic are still an issue. I had no interest in Ford or Risner, for what it's worth. Not because I thought they had zero future in the NFL. But the draft isn't about patching needs by reaching up into early rounds for guys who would be much later picks in a more average year for the position. And at a non-premium position like G or RT to boot. The early rounds are about laying the foundation for your team by getting value at premium positions that are hard to fill in free agency. You have to treat those picks like they have that value. You want a guy with a potential mid $30M's aav ceiling in round 1. Round 2 we are talking about mid-$20M's potential now. These are, statistically, your best chances to get those guys. The Cody Ford move was a total, drought era "we gotta' look competent THIS season or we might get fired" move at the expense of the greater good of the franchise. Made no sense to me given their job security. Guys like Cody Ford are available in free agency every year. Guys like DK Metcalf are not. So we are in agreement on that. I'm just saying you were carried away thinking there weren't a lot of DK Metcalf fans on TSW on draft day.
  2. I think there will be future NFL starting RT's there still, yes. But I am thinking more day 3. It's a year where you can get a Spencer Brown level prospect in round 4 or possibly 5 even. Brown was all-RAS but not much film or experience when he got drafted. He'd have gone later in this draft, for sure.
  3. Not being able to communicate is part of his meticulously crafted public persona.
  4. That part is apparently WAYYY to involved for some Bills fans to understand. For a moment there I thought that the coaching staff and QB actually had a sound f*cking plan and were sticking to it. But NOPE!
  5. Rotational DE in sheep's clothing.
  6. Absolutely, it's a strong draft for OL. Need to bring in some RT competition to develop for Spencer Brown's spot as well for when he leaves in free agency on a contract that will stagger his haters.
  7. So Shakir 2 yards away and having to slow down is open while Diggs being pursued from 5 yards away is.........covered? What's the argument? That *maybe* it's still 3rd and 3 instead of 1st and 10? They had literally stayed in the game by playing that style of football all day. And as for the ASININE argument that Diggs might've dropped the ball.........Shakir might have dropped the ball then too. Like I said, it was the longest air yards attempt to him all season and when he had the dropsies in 2022 it was on longer throws. The level of excuse making for the Bills decision makers in that situation is just comical.
  8. Cool picture........where's the ball? You see the ball needed to be hitting him about a step later. Like a bang nine. On the numbers or shoulder, dead in the middle of the end zone so he has time to decelerate and get his feet down. That's not a back of the end zone route. By the time Allen got the ball there the play was dead. At this point in his career Allen needs that clock in his head to tell him when to move on.
  9. Yeah I think sometimes fans think they are the only one who supported the selection of a player who was passed on..............but are largely wrong. Metcalf had plenty of supporters on TSW. And the point of time we are talking about is the draft itself.........not pre-combine or in-season wherever you are trying to move the goal post. On draft day, a lot of TSW folks were on the DK bandwagon. Including me, who wanted him in round 1 and then have probably mentioned at least many hundreds of times on TSW since immediately thereafter how stupid that the Ford trade-up and selection was instead of selecting Metcalf. It was boneheaded and showed a lack of foresight from a young GM. As a regime that didn't start out in 2017 with a young foundation of talent(they let them all walk or traded them) and who had made a lot of bad free agent decisions in 2018.........they really needed to hit that pick or risk being in chase mode. Which is what happened and that forced them to further undermine their salary cap situation by having to trade their first in 2020 to get a $15M WR in Diggs. But I digress....... Your insistence, on one hand, that Ford was a first round talent because someone else thought so while claiming to have your own take on Metcalf is perhaps an illustration of your lack of a plan/process wrt drafting. You either trust your eyes OR you trust Todd McShay or whatever draft rag that told you that Cody Ford was a first round talent instead of just a body pushed WAY up the board by a lack of actual GOOD options at the position.
  10. Jeter crafted his persona. He was still going out and ***** it up in epic proportions.........but he worked to hard cover that up and threatened to limit access if anyone said anything negative about him. He's an assh*le and he really didn't want anyone to know about that and disrupt his status or revenue stream and HOF track. Ohtani is not "actively" crafting anything. Unlike Jeter there is nothing subjective/subtle about his game and he has no competition like Jeter had with an A-Rod or Garciaparra etc.. Ohtani just doesn't provide access. That's very different.
  11. Yeah there is this idea out there that the throw to Shakir was the first read so it was right to just hurl that no-chance worm burner into the end zone. Whether Brady is to blame for dangling that nonsensical HR shot there or not doesn't take away from the reality that the throw wasn't open and the pressure prevented Allen from stepping into a throw. That's when an elite QB has to be able to take the easy win.
  12. Sure. Because the lasting image of Tom Brady in big games isn't taking what the defense gives him in crunch time. It's not setting up game winning field goals or red zone TD's....... it's those deep TD passes to prevent defense's from tightening up on him in the red zone. How have Mahomes last two SB wins ended? With a PI call and a short TD pass........both in deep in opponents territory. Not with hoping to complete the longest air yards pass of the season to a particular receiver(as would have been the case with Shakir). You can disagree with it all you want but the play wasn't there to be had. The coverage was good and the pressure from Jones should have told Allen to take the first down. But he threw it anyway. I love having Josh Allen as my QB. And if he just provides tons of fun moments over the next 8-10 years that's fine with me. I'm not a finish-line fan trying to get one SB win before I die. This is entertainment. Jim Kelly had greater flaws and I loved having him as QB too. But if the question is if Josh Allen is doing everything he can to secure a SB win..........I know that answer has been no.
  13. Yes, notably as a passer compared to 2020. He's a gamer and experience has improved him in some regards but he still makes a lot of bad "gunslinger" decisions. More than in 2020, when he was working to disprove the notion that he was a turnover machine, for instance. And it's not just throwing 3 interceptions to the same guy on opening night. He's susceptible to critical mental mistakes even when his focus is seemingly great that day. That 2nd and 9 throw to Shakir with 2 minutes left against KC.........with Diggs wide open for the first.........was just an undisciplined mistake that ultimately got him beat despite a largely brilliant performance otherwise. The devil is in the details when it comes to being the best or just another excellent one. Mahomes is focused. He's got a simpler life away from the field........his offseason life is largely about preparing so he's built a compound in Texas to train with his receivers there. He's on the hunt for Tom Brady's records/status. Josh is not at that level as a competitor away from the field and now that he's 0-3 in the playoffs and 3 SB wins and 4 SB appearances behind Mahomes I suspect that only disincentivizes him a bit more. It's not like Brady being great made Big Ben or Aaron Rodgers elevate their games as leaders. They just kept doing what THEY do. And never won another SB after getting their wins early in their careers.
  14. I agree, that's a likely scenario, IMO. But he still can't be paying off illegal bookmakers on the sly. That's when he has to go to authorities first instead of getting busted in a federal operation. Gambling isn't viewed as the ultimate offense for athletes in other countries like it is here......so paying off an organized crime syndicate might be business as usual in Japan........but it isn't here. If this were a garden variety asian baseball player they would draw a very hard line. And with regard to "Meticulously created and maintained his public persona"? Yeah, no. He's hid from sight his entire MLB career. He cashes in on endorsements in Japan but here you need to actually engage the public from time to time to craft a public persona.
  15. https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/39768770/dodgers-shohei-ohtani-interpreter-fired-theft So he first told investigators that he paid off $4.5M in bets to illegal gambling syndicate on behalf of his "interpreter"..............but then his lawyer says no the interpreter stole the money and has been fired. Interpreter says it wasn't bet on baseball and that he didn't know it was illegal and won't do THAT again, doggonit! Obviously, this is lifetime ban kinda' stuff we are talking about here. Ohtani can't be cutting checks to illegal gambling operations...........even if he wasn't the one actually placing the bets........which seems doubtful. Not that interpreters don't have unlimited access to all their clients bank accounts, I'm sure that's common. Very simple solution.........ban Shohei for 10 years. Only costs him $20M because all of his money is deferred. Win-win, in my opinion.
  16. Junkarlo channels Reg-gie in game 6 of 77' and appropriately has what will likely be his signature moment as a Yankee.........in spring training.
  17. It's slang so it's not a grammar issue. The point is that you are ignorant of the root of the term. Jambroni, jambroni, jambronibronibronbroni
  18. I think you mean "jabroni". Gotta' be careful because if you use it but don't know how it's spelled then it makes you a jabroni. https://parade.com/living/jabroni-meaning
  19. Metcalf was a pretty popular pick on this board for most of the 2019 offseason and there were plenty of people who wanted the Bills to select him even in round 1 and definitely in round 2. There were some very vocal anti-DK types who shouted a lot of them down. But Cody Ford was a good example of the "reach" player I am taking about.........he was a guy who wouldn't even be a consideration as a first or second rounder in a decent OL draft.........but in THAT weak OT draft he was viewed much more favorably than he deserved. If you thought taking him was OK with the ceilings of those receivers I guess you were on board with the then-green Beane about that..........but it never made any sense to me. RT is non-primo and Ford's ceiling with his limited athleticism(4 RAS) and lack of versatility was fringe starter. There are a lot of DL in this draft who some people are squinting at to look past their limitations and instead dreaming on being steals who are going to be on "free agent visits" still two weeks into free agency in 2028. We don't need another situation where a Ty Nsekhe type journeymen is beating out a trade-up-for second rounder like what happened with Cody Ford in that camp.
  20. So would DK Metcalf and AJ Brown have been "reaching" late in the 1st round back in 2019? Or in hindsight OBVIOUSLY not? There are going to be some WR at the end of round 1 in this draft with better measurables/advanced stats than many WR who have gone in round 1 and subsequently had success in the past. On the flip side........there are other positions that are just weak. But at those positions the Bills might be able to get one of the top 3 rated players as opposed to maybe the 7th or 8th best WR. I could make a case in point of a non-premium position player..........but how about pass rusher in this draft? There are some years when a guy like Laiatu Latu would be a second or maybe even much later pick as a guy who had to medically retire from football for a couple years and enters the league with modest athleticism and turning age 24 in his rookie season. In THIS draft........some team(maybe the Bills) will almost certainly make him a first round pick. I think as an organization you have to have a list of priorities to help you make tough decisions in the draft. If it were up to me the deciding factor in any tossup situation is how does this help my incredible QB reach his ceiling? If you already have an offense that's putting up 33 points per game then........all else being equal........maybe it's time to take that pass rusher. If you are putting up 26-27 per game like the 2023 Bills did and your vast investments defensively keep resulting in losing shootouts or just getting speedboated on defense anyway.........then the answer is to defer toward WR or LT in round 1.
  21. Worthy as well. 4 is A LOT of players at one position. I think if you take any of the rest of the WR that are bunched up around or behind them you probably better plan on taking one in both rounds. It's a GREAT draft for WR. It's also excellent for OL. Draft to the strengths of a draft. I don't buy into the idea that a strong draft at a position means you can just wait. If it's strong, get a good one early and then get another later. Not a good draft at all for DL. I had high hopes for this DT class a couple of years ago but the top prospects have really underperformed and there hasn't been even a normal amount of last-season risers. Definitely a bunch of guys who could use the motivation of only being day 3 picks.
  22. To be clear I am definitely saying don't draft some positions. Safety........off-ball LB........DT 1T.......Guard......Center......RB. Never-ever in round 1. If that philosophy causes me to miss on a very good player at those positions so be it...........I will have to settle for paying on the open market a fraction of the market value of a premium position. Knowing QB is off the board due to Allen I can always get behind the right Pass Rusher, WR, OT. CB is becoming a tweener as a primo position as the salaries stagnate and as defense's make efforts to protect CB's with more safety help. If you can snag a great cover CB who can also play zone very well and you can maximize them within your scheme they are a primo. As far as not being able to predict immediate impact..........in general you can predict that the incoming WR class will outperform the DL class by a substantial margin. That's been the trend. The passing game has proven to be an area where more and more kids are arriving pro ready due to massive amounts of reps that are put in on the 7-on-7 level of the game. Pass rush still remains a position that tends to take much longer to get up to speed at the pro level.
  23. Yeah if someone's philosophy is 3 players or bust at #28 six weeks before the draft then that's a narrow approach. And if there was a pass rushing DE at #28 that I thought projected to become a star and make a difference in beating Patrick Mahomes or Joe Burrow in the playoffs the next couple of seasons that would be great. I don't see that in Chop Robinson. He's an OLB with a ton of holes in his game at this stage. In a good edge draft he's a 2nd or 3rd round pick largely based on his combine numbers. Upside but not a lot on tape to love. Dejean is a safety and it's just too easy to find cheap talent at safety so using a $30M aav kinda' asset like a first round pick on a safety makes no sense to me. I like VanDemark too but it's a limited sample size. Young LT's are $30M worthy assets. The draft is about building the foundation of your team long term. As that applies to the big X receiver position.........well that's also a $30M worthy position as well. The fact that the Bills have only expended 1 pick in the first 3 rounds on a WR in Beane's 6 drafts(the 1st traded for Diggs) just so happens to have lined up a premium position with an immediate need.
  24. There are always people who want to throw a first round pick at any perceived position of need. Even if it's devalued. There is a very vocal minority that often suggests RB in round 1 every year so any position outside of ST only will please some people if it's a perceived immediate need.
  25. Again...........what position do you think promises more immediate help that also promises *comparable* long term value than WR? It's easy to come up with a reason to not draft any position. What's difficult is to compare and separate the options. I understand that we have people who are borderline frantic about patching every hole on paper...........not saying that's you but anyone who thinks that drafting a center or safety in round 1, for instance, is a good use of such a limited resource(1st round pick) is obviously coming from an immediately needy perspective.
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