BADOLBILZ

Yeah that would be the more expensive version of the Jamison Crowder flyer. It might work out.........but even at his best Campbell probably isn't good enough for what you need at WR2 to make a big difference.........the same way Crowder wasn't going to evoke memories of 2020 Beasley from the slot at that stage of his career.

The Texans committed to Brandin Cooks. Because of that he has an outrageous 2023 $18M base salary coming off a sub 600 yard season with a career high in drops. He looked like he fell off the cliff this year............it's perplexing to me why he was talking about wanting out........Texans eat $32M in dead money by releasing him and nobody is taking his salary on in trade.

So people aren't confused............Greg T means cap space the Bills can create. They are already $21M in the hole though. So $57M worth of work would give them $36M in cap room. And that's almost everything of note that they can do short of a few releases(like Morse and Hines examples). Now as for signing players...........they could sign Edmunds for a long term deal and backload it so the initial cap figure is very small and not need much space at all...........that's why I fear they will do that. Basically they are in a decent position to sign players that warrant long term contracts because they can backload them. Where this hurts is the majority of free agent deals which are 2-3 years in length...........I don't see a Dalton Risner, for example, wanting ghost years added to his deal when he thinks he will play beyond that.

Yep.........time for Beane and his hallowed scouting department to earn the hype.

Puts them about $21M under the cap.........which they can get almost exactly by doing a base salary restructure with Josh Allen. After that it gets harder. Probably don't want to do any of those type of re-structures with players you can't see starting and worth 8 figures doing it in 3 seasons. Tre White and Milano probably are a no in that regard at this point. Dawkins might play a long time at guard eventually so I'd probably do a restructure there. Dawkins and Diggs re-structures give you about $9M total. Morse and and Hines cuts save around $11M total so that's gotta' be on the table. McKenzie and Neal can get lopped off for around $4M total savings. That gives Beane about $24M to sign draft picks and UFA's unless the roster minimum isn't met.

The Bills biggest single player need is another WR1 type. The unit that needs the most work is the OL.

People didn't want to hear it at the time but Beane was not a proven personnel man when the Bills hired him...........he was an "executive" GM.........which is what the rudderless Pegula-run Bills needed at the time. His first 10 months or so on the job were actually horrific personnel-wise..........all while he was being fluffed by Bills fans as some kind of savior because he was willing to get rid of players that other people selected. Then he selected Josh Allen. That has bought him another 5 years of mostly bad UFA decisions and decent overall drafts but with flawed drafting strategy in rounds 2-3. Now it's time for him to take those years of experience and raise his game...........like Howie Roseman did post-Chip Kelly.

I'm not opposed to them drafting 3 OL with their first 4 picks in this draft if the value lines up.......makes total sense in the long term outlook.........but I don't expect immediately impressive returns. I am hopeful they come out of this draft with their future LT and center(fairly deep group of centers). Ultimately you gotta' get premium position players early though. Drafting for need.......when it's not a QB......just doesn't work. They used 2 picks on super athletic, huge OT's in Brown and Doyle in 21'..........those are the draft picks that need to start paying off in 23'.

If you compare the Bills drafting to other teams in the past 5 seasons it is pretty solid. What they are absolutely atrocious at is free agency. In the last two years Doug Whaley was employed they signed an NFL DPOY candidate(Lorax) and NFL leading tackler(Zach Brown) for near league minimum and then Hyde and Poyer to exceptional value deals. The only bargain they've gotten in UFA since Beane has been in charge is one year of Daryl Williams cheap. They have literally overpaid, gotten virtually nothing or occasionally got what they paid for from every other UFA they've brought in. It's very hard to be as inefficient with salary cap dollars as Beane has............and this is AFTER he set a then NFL record for dead money created in the 2018 offseason with the McBeane culture cleanse. This team should easily be $50M under the salary cap entering this offseason...........in which case the drafts look a bit more palatable.

I expect the Bills will go into the season as the co-betting favorite to win the SB in 2024. But the talking heads will be very dismissive of them(for good reason). How they actually perform, with a strangely lopsided schedule of easy home games and tough road games, will LARGELY depend on how they handle this offseason. I don't want to see another season with JA with another 150+ combined rushes and sacks taken.............that number needs to start getting under 100 every year like Mahomes or we will be looking for a new QB in 3-4 years, IMO.

Agree completely. With few exceptions most offensive lineman are a liability until year 3.......some, like the McGary example, take 4 years to get there. The people who think that the Bills can just throw 3 early draft picks at the offensive line and fix it immediately next season are delusional. The reality is that the Bills aren't likely to be able to be active in free agency for top offensive lineman and Dawkins and Morse are likely to continue to regress. So we are probably in for another underwhelming display of offensive line play next season even if they hit an absolute HR and draft 2-3 future good NFL starters. In the meantime they will have to get more out of what they have and scheme to their strengths and around their deficiencies more efficiently (like most teams have to, there are few good offensive lines in the NFL).

If Cinci has another good defensive game and wins I think it improves the currently unlikely chances that the 56 year old Lou Anarumo gets a HC job............which is probably the only potential tangible win for the Bills.

I think we are in a position with Frazier that is not unlike the last few years of Ben Roethlisberger career for Pittsburgh............when you can get a team to 11-0 like Ben did in 2020 it's hard to justify replacing him. But the proof was late in seasons. He wasn't good at the end of seasons anymore. The Bills have been thoroughly dissected in the playoffs defensively each of the last 3 seasons. If you can't see 64 year old Leslie as the DC for another 3-4 year contract then I think you don't extend him a new deal as DC..........it's time to move on. I'd also agree with Eric Eager that climbing the same hill to the same type of futile conclusion with the same people sometimes makes it necessary to make changes that don't necessarily reflect the competence of the departed. Tampa had to move on from Dungy to get over the hump. It was time for Andy Reid to leave Philly when he did and they've had 3 different winning HC's and a SB since. Those guys are HOF coaches who could not inspire confidence due to past postseason failures.............that, IMO, is very squarely where Frazier sits. And if McD isn't proactive about it.........I think that he could be lumped in with Leslie next year when it happens again.........which we don't want to see, IMO. It's not an easy call but his contract is up...........IMO it's just time for Leslie to be replaced.

I agree.........their motivation simply should have been being such a significant underdog in the game. But as of Monday......despite the blowout to Cinci.........the Bills were still the Vegas favorite to win the SB next year already. Vegas just loves the Bills because they put up statistics that generally equate to victory.

I think it's time for a new DC. 6 years is a long time for the same DC to be running the same defense. Leslie will be 64 next season. He's not like Wade Phillips who had proven he could change his defense to suit the personnel or the opponent and warranted a DC position until his early 70's. They've become a defense who isn't fooling anyone any longer........as the season wears on teams get better at executing their offense.........they know how the Bills will react to what they show them....... and we then get diminishing returns despite adding more and more talent to the defense every season for the past 5.

Try to hire Jim Leonhard as DC. Best available mind at the position...........young and clever........and literally available right now.

The furthest the Sabres have been out of the lottery at this point in the season in a decade plus. https://www.tankathon.com/nhl

You just can't use a $20M-$30M chip.......which your first round pick is.........on a guard. That's edge and island money. Gotta' get your guards and RB's and safeties with much less valuable chips. Not only because it's hard to find premium positon players late..........but because when you throw a big chip at a James Cook type early you are much more likely to pass and miss on a great value like Isaiah Pacheco late. Positions that are covered up(like guards) or almost entirely dependent on those around them(RB's) are tougher to project fairly. I like Torrence.........intially I had Cyril Richardson vibes about him as an over-hyped prospect........but his tape is good if his medicals project well...........I think he's probably a tweener for where the Bills pick in rounds 1 and 2 though.

For those of you looking for late rounders and UDFA's to fill out your mock drafts..........NFLPA collegiate bowl today at 6pm on NFL network. https://www.nfl.com/news/2023-nfl-draft-six-intriguing-prospects-from-nflpa-collegiate-bowl-practice

He's an OK prospect. Lotta' good C prospects in this draft. He will always be remembered for the botched snap at the end of the Michigan v TCU semi-final game. Brutal mistake in such a big moment.

My concern is that the Bills defense will continually respond against Cinci the way the Patriots defense now responds to playing Buffalo since Josh started going off on them in the second game of 2021............uncharacteristically bad. The Bengals could easily have scored TD's on 9 of the first 10 drives they played against Leslie this season. That just doesn't add up. They are good but they aren't THAT good.

You must have been at a different game than I was..........the Bills defense forced 1 punt in the first 7 Bengals drives. The only reasons the score wasn't worse was a reversed TD(turned FG) and time running out on another hot-knife-thru-butter last second Bengals drive in the first half. The Bills defense was thoroughly dominated. Once the Bills got down two TD's there was no chance for the offense to patiently dig out of it. It didn't just "seem" that way. The Bills tried to grind their way back into it.......their 2 long scoring drives consumed a full quarter of the entire game. They were immediately answered with 2 long scoring drives by the Bengals that ate up 26 plays and 12 minutes of TOP. I know people want to re-imagine how it went..........because it was a terrible performance.........but once they got down 2 TD's they could not get the stops necessary to put up the 3 more scores than Cinci to win the game.

And yet the Bills running game was better than the Bengals in 2022. What separates the teams wrt personnel is talent in the WR corps. Their passing game overwhelmed the Bills in both matchups........but in two different ways. The first time they tore them up over the top.........the second time they used their skill and size to get open quick and dominate in slippery conditions. Nothing has come quick for the Bills in the passing game this year.........they had WR5-WR7 talents in the slot all season.........and Gabe Davis would be WR4 on the Bengals and is a low % target and not a RAC WR. The Bills pass offense had been off schedule almost exclusively since the bye. The decline in the Bills WR corps since 2020 is a huge reason why. Getting caught up in rushing stats when the game was effectively over at 14-0........primarily because the Bills defense played a dreadful game and couldn't get off the field and allow the Bills offense to exercise patience...........is pointless commentary on the Bills offense, IMO.

Riddick is just another "meh" talking head. The Bills got beat by one of the league's worst running offenses. In the NFL of today, when you have an elite QB if the pass isn't setting up the run then you aren't doing it right.

It may be that he was never going to be a better player outside and on the edge...........where he could think less and react more...........but he has fallen FAR short of his measurables/potential at MLB.