Opponent 20+ first half points; Bills set NFL win% record.

[Sammy Watkins' Rib]

As I was watching the game yesterday, I started to think about the number of times this team has given up 20+ points in the first half and thinking there has to be some sort of record set. Bills are the only team in NFL history to have a winning record (4-2) in six or more games where the opponent scored 20+ in the first half. The Jets are the only other team this year to have six such games and have a record of 1-5 in those games.

 

To me this is another JA is the MVP stat. As a QB, if your opponent is spotted 20 points in the first half, whether you trail or lead, that means you are certainly facing some sort of adversity for the majority of the second half. You are feeling the pressure of a tight game or a game about to get away from you. And you are feeling this pressure for at least an entire half of football. 

 

 

<PRE>                                  
Rk   Team Season Count W  L T WL%V
1     BUF   2025     6 4  2 0 .667
2     NOR   2016     8 4  4 0 .500
3     SEA   1995     6 3  3 0 .500
4     DET   2011     6 3  3 0 .500
5     IND   2012     7 3  4 0 .429
6     BUF   1975     6 2  4 0 .333
7     RAM   1992     6 2  4 0 .333
8     DAL   2020     7 2  5 0 .286
9     DEN   1963     8 1  6 1 .188
10    CLE   1975     6 1  5 0 .167
11    DET   1984     6 1  5 0 .167
12    MIA   1988     6 1  5 0 .167
13    NOR   2001     6 1  5 0 .167
14    OAK   2004     6 1  5 0 .167
15    DET   2009     6 1  5 0 .167
16    CHI   2013     6 1  5 0 .167
17    MIN   2013     6 1  5 0 .167
18    MIA   2017     6 1  5 0 .167
19    TAM   2018     6 1  5 0 .167
20    ATL   2019     6 1  5 0 .167
21    ARI   2023     6 1  5 0 .167
22    WAS   2023     6 1  5 0 .167
23    NYJ   2025     6 1  5 0 .167
24    NYG   1980     7 1  6 0 .143
25    RAI   1988     7 1  6 0 .143
26    SEA   2000     7 1  6 0 .143
27    DET   2020     8 1  7 0 .125
28    CAR   2024    10 1  9 0 .100
29    DET   2008    10 0 10 0 .000
30    BAL   1981     8 0  8 0 .000
31    TAM   2011     8 0  8 0 .000
32    CRD   1954     7 0  7 0 .000
33    HOU   1966     7 0  7 0 .000
34    PIT   1968     7 0  7 0 .000
35    NYJ   1976     7 0  7 0 .000
36    BAL   1978     7 0  7 0 .000
37    BUF   1984     7 0  7 0 .000
38    ATL   1996     7 0  7 0 .000
39    CIN   1998     7 0  7 0 .000
40    CIN   2002     7 0  7 0 .000
41    SDG   2003     7 0  7 0 .000
42    MIA   2007     7 0  7 0 .000
43    STL   2008     7 0  7 0 .000
44    JAX   2013     7 0  7 0 .000
45    CHR   1948     6 0  6 0 .000
46    DTX   1952     6 0  6 0 .000
47    CRD   1958     6 0  6 0 .000
48    OAK   1961     6 0  6 0 .000
49    DEN   1964     6 0  6 0 .000
50    ATL   1966     6 0  6 0 .000
51    ATL   1967     6 0  6 0 .000
52    BOS   1970     6 0  6 0 .000
53    HOU   1973     6 0  6 0 .000
54    NOR   1975     6 0  6 0 .000
55    MIN   1984     6 0  6 0 .000
56    HOU   1984     6 0  6 0 .000
57    DET   1987     6 0  6 0 .000
58    SDG   1997     6 0  6 0 .000
59    CIN   1999     6 0  6 0 .000
60    ARI   2002     6 0  6 0 .000
61    SFO   2004     6 0  6 0 .000
62    SFO   2006     6 0  6 0 .000
63    TEN   2009     6 0  6 0 .000
64    JAX   2015     6 0  6 0 .000
65    SFO   2015     6 0  6 0 .000
66    ARI   2018     6 0  6 0 .000
67    NYJ   2020     6 0  6 0 .000
68    JAX   2021     6 0  6 0 .000
</PRE>

Provided by "Stathead":https://www.sports-reference.com/sharing.html?utm_source=direct&utm_medium=Share&utm_campaign=ShareTool: "Found with Stathead. See Full Results.":https://www.sports-reference.com/stathead/football/team-game-finder.cgi?utm_source=direct&utm_medium=Share&utm_campaign=ShareTool
Generated 12/15/2025.

 

[Simon]

Thanks for providing some proof to support what has seemed to be an ongoing issue.

[Sierra Foothills]

I looked at the ESPN Gamecast at halftime and I think New England's win probability was about 88%.

 

I read where Josh is still 3rd in the MVP race. Unless that changes it'll be as if yesterday never even happened.

 

Incredibly, he probably won't win MVP this year even though we all know he's the most deserving by a long ways.

 

[BuffaloRebound]

Crazy.  In the history of the NFL, theres only 25 teams ever that have given up 20+ points in the 1st half more than the 2025 Bills.  And we’ve only played 14 games which probably normalizes the pre 1980’s teams.  

[That's No Moon]

2 minutes ago, BuffaloRebound said:

Crazy.  In the history of the NFL, theres only 25 teams ever that have given up 20+ points in the 1st half more than the 2025 Bills.  And we’ve only played 14 games which probably normalizes the pre 1980’s teams.  

But yes, we are wrong to criticize the defense as some would have us believe.

[BuffaloRebound]

Just fire Babich already.  It’s mcdermott’s defense, but we tend to get it together in the 2nd half. Gotta be an indictment on preparation which I assume falls on the DC.   

[Warriorspikes51]

56 minutes ago, Sierra Foothills said:

I looked at the ESPN Gamecast at halftime and I think New England's win probability was about 88%.

 

I read where Josh is still 3rd in the MVP race. Unless that changes it'll be as if yesterday never even happened.

 

Incredibly, he probably won't win MVP this year even though we all know he's the most deserving by a long ways.

 

It's Stafford or Allen.   Stafford has a lot more supporting cast 

[SageAgainstTheMachine]

58 minutes ago, Sierra Foothills said:

I looked at the ESPN Gamecast at halftime and I think New England's win probability was about 88%.

 

I read where Josh is still 3rd in the MVP race. Unless that changes it'll be as if yesterday never even happened.

 

Incredibly, he probably won't win MVP this year even though we all know he's the most deserving by a long ways.

 

 

If half of Josh's rushing TDs were passing TDs he'd probably win.  Stafford has the volume passing stats, plus the narrative of the greybeard still getting it done.  He also has two different WRs that are each more valuable better than every Bills WR combined, by a lot.

[Luka]

15 minutes ago, Warriorspikes51 said:

It's Stafford or Allen.   Stafford has a lot more supporting cast 

Could you imagine Allen with Nacua and Adams? 

[ControllerOfPlanetX]

Norway?