Just your odds, no comments please

[HappyDays]

1 hour ago, noacls17 said:

.01%

60%

40%

 

I'd like to see your math for how we only have a 60% chance of getting in. According to the NYT playoff machine if we only win 1 more game against the Jets or Browns we are 87% likely to get in. In fact we get in 23% of the time if we lose out. So your opinion is that we have a greater than 40% chance of losing out?

 

Edited 1 hour ago by HappyDays

[gonzo1105]

30% for division

90% in

35% win it all 

[folz]

7 hours ago, Gregg said:

Bills in 99%

Bills out 1%

 

Bills win division, #1 seed, AFC. Super Bowl.

 

 

I would have laughed at your post if you didn't include "AFC. Super Bowl." I agree on the division and #1 seed, but still think we got a shot at AFC/Super Bowl (call me crazy). Fun reference though. 😆

 

"Doctors say he's got a 50/50 chance of living, though there's only a 10% chance of that."

[noacls17]

10 minutes ago, HappyDays said:

 

I'd like to see your math for how we only have a 60% chance of getting in. According to the NYT playoff machine if we only win 1 more game against the Jets or Browns we are 87% likely to get in. In fact we get in 23% of the time if we lose out. So your opinion is that we have a greater than 40% chance of losing out?

 

I don't think they beat the Pats or Eagles. 

[Aussie Joe]

bills in playoffs 98%

Division 14%
Championship - 12%

[Avisan]

12 minutes ago, noacls17 said:

I don't think they beat the Pats or Eagles. 

Okay, but we don't need to beat the Pats or Eagles to make the playoffs.

[noacls17]

5 minutes ago, Avisan said:

Okay, but we don't need to beat the Pats or Eagles to make the playoffs.

I get that. I also don't like a a division game in possibly bad weather for all the marbles. As they say,  any given Sunday. My bad, forgot the Browns. 

Edited 52 minutes ago by noacls17

[HappyDays]

17 minutes ago, noacls17 said:

I don't think they beat the Pats or Eagles. 

 

Okay? They need to win 1 more game to have an 87% chance of being in. If they beat Browns and Jets they are practically 100% in.

[noacls17]

2 minutes ago, HappyDays said:

 

Okay? They need to win 1 more game to have an 87% chance of being in. If they beat Browns and Jets they are practically 100% in.

Forgot about Browns. 

[HappyDays]

Just now, noacls17 said:

Forgot about Browns. 

 

So your original comment was based on the idea that we are 100% likely to lose to both the Pats and Eagles, and only 60% likely to beat the Jets?

 

Yeah this was a waste of time for both of us.

[Gregg]

20 minutes ago, noacls17 said:

I don't think they beat the Pats or Eagles. 

 

The way the Eagles are playing lately that game doesn't look so scary anymore. I am not saying the Bills are guaranteed to win it, but they definitely have a good shot. I actually think if the Bills get by the Pats, then they will run the table and finish 13-4.

[transplantbillsfan]

Bills win division: 30%

Bills in playoffs: 99.5%

Bills out of playoffs: 0.5%

[noacls17]

8 minutes ago, HappyDays said:

 

 

8 minutes ago, Gregg said:

 

The way the Eagles are playing lately that game doesn't look so scary anymore. I am not saying the Bills are guaranteed to win it, but they definitely have a good shot. I actually think if the Bills get by the Pats, then they will run the table and finish 13-4.

I hope so. 

Edited 41 minutes ago by noacls17
To not get suspended by Simon. 😎

[without a drought]

7 hours ago, bmur66 said:

5 to 1

1 in 5

May take a week
And it may take longer