Chuck Wagon Posted October 12, 2016 Share Posted October 12, 2016 http://www.espn.com/nfl/insider/story/_/id/17773282/playoff-odds-predictions-all-32-nfl-teams-2016-nfl-playoffs 5. Buffalo Bills (3-2)Odds of making playoffs: 58.3 percent With three straight wins, the Bills' playoff odds have climbed from 14.8 percent to 58.3 percent, and they now rank in the top 10 of our DVOA ratings. The rematch with the Patriots in three weeks will be hugely important; the Bills win the AFC East in 58 percent of simulations in which they win that game. (Not sure what I can post from behind the paywall, please delete if I broke a rule) Pro Football Outsider's updated playoff odds from ESPN. Baltimore is the "first wild card team out" at 42% odds while KC is next at 39.5% odds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloHokie13 Posted October 12, 2016 Share Posted October 12, 2016 http://www.espn.com/nfl/insider/story/_/id/17773282/playoff-odds-predictions-all-32-nfl-teams-2016-nfl-playoffs 5. Buffalo Bills (3-2)Odds of making playoffs: 58.3 percent With three straight wins, the Bills' playoff odds have climbed from 14.8 percent to 58.3 percent, and they now rank in the top 10 of our DVOA ratings. The rematch with the Patriots in three weeks will be hugely important; the Bills win the AFC East in 58 percent of simulations in which they win that game. (Not sure what I can post from behind the paywall, please delete if I broke a rule) Pro Football Outsider's updated playoff odds from ESPN. Baltimore is the "first wild card team out" at 42% odds while KC is next at 39.5% odds. I've done it before here. I think you're good with just the Bills snippet as long as it's not the vast majority of the article? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo_Stampede Posted October 12, 2016 Share Posted October 12, 2016 Did they factor in the curse? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hondo in seattle Posted October 12, 2016 Share Posted October 12, 2016 Did they factor in the curse? It's real, but unquantifiable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Punching Bag Posted October 12, 2016 Share Posted October 12, 2016 Did they factor in the curse? I do not think FO knows you post here but they would calculate that in odds if they knew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chuck Wagon Posted October 12, 2016 Author Share Posted October 12, 2016 Win the next 2 games.... Then 1 of the next 3 and its definitely doable. There is not point of conversation if we don't win the next two. But if we do, the Bengals and Raiders games might be the games of the season. We are already down the head to head tie breaker with Baltimore, we can't afford to be down that with Oakland and/or Cincy as well. Win the next two, then 3 of 4 against the Browns / Jags / Dolphins / Jets and it's 8 wins, 9 with the right tie breaker should put us solidly in the conversation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marty McFly Posted October 12, 2016 Share Posted October 12, 2016 one game at a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boyst Posted October 12, 2016 Share Posted October 12, 2016 If we lose one game it will fall to 38.72134137% Statistics don't mean **** 92.3% of the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Turk Posted October 12, 2016 Share Posted October 12, 2016 Bills also have the 29th ranked schedule, meaning its the 4th easiest schedule in the NFL at this point....so much for all the people saying how our schedule was so hard before the season...what I keep telling people every year...you never know how a team is going to be from year to year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SF Bills Fan Posted October 12, 2016 Share Posted October 12, 2016 If we lose one game it will fall to 38.72134137% Statistics don't mean **** 92.3% of the time. True- 27.8% of people know that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigPappy Posted October 12, 2016 Share Posted October 12, 2016 Bills also have the 29th ranked schedule, meaning its the 4th easiest schedule in the NFL at this point....so much for all the people saying how our schedule was so hard before the season...what I keep telling people every year...you never know how a team is going to be from year to year. Is that ranking of the schedule based on this years performance or last years? I thought they were based on the previous years performances, which is why I have never put much stock in the ranking of schedules. It's like saying I will get an A in math this year because I got one last year. (Not that I EVER got an A in math. LOL!!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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