Canadian Bills Fan Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 I have the 1st overall pick in a standard 10 team league. I am torn as to who to draft. I was debating between Foster and Rice but I am now thinking about drafting Rodgers. What do you guys think? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Avenger Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Depends on your scoring system but runing backs are almost always more valuable than any other position in fantasy - by valuable I mean what's the drop off in talent between what you would get now vs. what you would get the next time you picked. Given that so few teams seem to employ a workhorse back who gets all of the carries, between the 20s AND in the red zone, RB is pretty much going to be your best bet. Rodgers is a great fantasy QB, but the drop off between him and the #10 qb isn't going to be nearly as huge as between Foster/Rice and the #10 RB. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr. Fong Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Rice is the way I'd go. Unless your league is heavily weighted to QB don't draft a QB. You can get a good QB later in the draft. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JuanGuzman Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Personally I'd pick Foster but it depends on your own appetite for risk. I think Ray Rice is the safer pick based on track record, but Foster has the higher upside IMO. I could see him running away with the rushing title if he stays healthy, but that's a big if. Looking at their playoff schedules week 14-16 for Rice is @was, vsDen, and vs.NYG For Foster it's @NE, vs.IND, vs.Min Given that the Texan's play in a dome and have on game against Indy, I would give a slight schedule edge to Foster. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SageAgainstTheMachine Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 (edited) Josh Reed. In all seriousness, I'd go with Foster. Injured often, but he'll win you games single handedly. I'm hoping to pick late in the 1st round so I can justify taking Freddie! Edited July 26, 2012 by SageAgainstTheMachine Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miyagi-Do Karate Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 At #1, I think Foster is a no-brainer. I am 2nd pick in my 12-team league. The idea that Ray Rice is now a #2 overall pick is somewhat alarming to me. I may end up going with him, but I also may consider Rodgers there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle flap Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 At #1, I think Foster is a no-brainer. I am 2nd pick in my 12-team league. The idea that Ray Rice is now a #2 overall pick is somewhat alarming to me. I may end up going with him, but I also may consider Rodgers there. I'd say Ray Rice is the no-brainer at 1, so you're lucky to get him at 2, JMO. Depends on your scoring but there's likely more QBs that will get you in the area of Rodgers, than there are RBs that'll get you in the neighborhood of Rice or Foster. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeviF Posted July 27, 2012 Share Posted July 27, 2012 Josh Reed. In all seriousness, I'd go with Foster. Injured often, but he'll win you games single handedly. I'm hoping to pick late in the 1st round so I can justify taking Freddie! I was in a money league last year in which I drafted 15th in the first round. My friends/opponents (all know I'm a huge Bills fan) kept saying, "Dude, you won't draft Fred Jackson right now." So I did. I won that league. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Canadian Bills Fan Posted July 27, 2012 Author Share Posted July 27, 2012 Scoring system is as follows 1 point for every 10 rushing/receiving yards 1 point for every 25 yards passing 6 points for a TD -2 points for a fumble or INT I'm looking at consistancy here. Rodgers has been a beast the past 3 years and shows no sign of slowing down. They dont have a premier RB to take away passes from him. He has a load of talented receivers/TE's Foster worries me because of his health and the superb play of Tate last year in his absense. My draft is a snake draft so after my first pick, I wont pick again until 18 picks or so later at the end of round two Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SageAgainstTheMachine Posted July 27, 2012 Share Posted July 27, 2012 Scoring system is as follows 1 point for every 10 rushing/receiving yards 1 point for every 25 yards passing 6 points for a TD -2 points for a fumble or INT I'm looking at consistancy here. Rodgers has been a beast the past 3 years and shows no sign of slowing down. They dont have a premier RB to take away passes from him. He has a load of talented receivers/TE's Foster worries me because of his health and the superb play of Tate last year in his absense. My draft is a snake draft so after my first pick, I wont pick again until 18 picks or so later at the end of round two Which is precisely why you need Foster or Rice. By your second pick, quality RBs are going to be a scarce commodity, whereas only 2 or 3 QBs will be off the board. Think of it this way. Which one of these is the bigger dropoff? Aaron Rodgers to Tom Brady Arian Foster to Ahmad Bradshaw Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Canadian Bills Fan Posted July 27, 2012 Author Share Posted July 27, 2012 All premier QBs will be gone by end of round 2. After RB everyone will look to take a great QB because they put up just as much if not more points than RBs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rex Ryan's Stomach Posted July 27, 2012 Share Posted July 27, 2012 Surprised no one mentions LeSean McCoy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SageAgainstTheMachine Posted July 27, 2012 Share Posted July 27, 2012 All premier QBs will be gone by end of round 2. After RB everyone will look to take a great QB because they put up just as much if not more points than RBs Fair enough, I don't know your league. In mine, a couple QBs go but it's generally a mad dash to the RBs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BUFFALOTONE Posted July 27, 2012 Share Posted July 27, 2012 Do you start 1 QB or 2? If you play 2 you take the best QB available overall. Brady, Brees and Rodgers will have more TDs than any RBs this year. But if you have a PPR league I believe Rice or McCoy are the best options. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Canadian Bills Fan Posted July 27, 2012 Author Share Posted July 27, 2012 Do you start 1 QB or 2? If you play 2 you take the best QB available overall. Brady, Brees and Rodgers will have more TDs than any RBs this year. But if you have a PPR league I believe Rice or McCoy are the best options. We start... 1 QB 2 RB 2 WR 1 TE 1 K 1D/ST Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffOrange Posted July 27, 2012 Share Posted July 27, 2012 Depends on your scoring system but runing backs are almost always more valuable than any other position in fantasy - by valuable I mean what's the drop off in talent between what you would get now vs. what you would get the next time you picked. Given that so few teams seem to employ a workhorse back who gets all of the carries, between the 20s AND in the red zone, RB is pretty much going to be your best bet. Rodgers is a great fantasy QB, but the drop off between him and the #10 qb isn't going to be nearly as huge as between Foster/Rice and the #10 RB. This. I personally prefer McCoy but whatever; I'm fine with Foster/Rice/McCoy there. QB is way too deep to take 1st. You can win your league with a Romo or Vick or Newton if you stockpile other positions. Schaub & Rivers are also going very late this yr. More interesting is what to do if you're like 6th this year. I think Megatron would be the first non-RB I'd take. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miyagi-Do Karate Posted July 27, 2012 Share Posted July 27, 2012 I'd say Ray Rice is the no-brainer at 1, so you're lucky to get him at 2, JMO. Depends on your scoring but there's likely more QBs that will get you in the area of Rodgers, than there are RBs that'll get you in the neighborhood of Rice or Foster. Aren't you worried that Rice is a bit of a one-hit wonder? I think his TD production last year was an aberration; I can't see him scoring 17 TD's this year. He strikes me as solid, and, on average, a 8 TD kind of player. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KD in CA Posted July 27, 2012 Share Posted July 27, 2012 All premier QBs will be gone by end of round 2. After RB everyone will look to take a great QB because they put up just as much if not more points than RBs Yes Rodgers, Brees and Brady will be gone but that leaves the whole 2d tier available for one of his picks at the turn. Or he can risk waiting until the end of round 4 for someone lower on the rader but still capable of good #s. Aren't you worried that Rice is a bit of a one-hit wonder? I think his TD production last year was an aberration; I can't see him scoring 17 TD's this year. He strikes me as solid, and, on average, a 8 TD kind of player. It's always a crap shoot to predict who will have big years in TDs, but Rice gets a ton of carries and catches. IMO he's definitely one of the top 3 RBs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dhg Posted July 27, 2012 Share Posted July 27, 2012 If you get 6 points for a TD pass, Rodgers is the pick. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Awwufelloff Posted July 27, 2012 Share Posted July 27, 2012 If you get 6 points for a TD pass, Rodgers is the pick. Agreed. In standard scoring a passing TD is 4 pts that is why Foster goes 1, Rice goes 2, and McCoy goes 3. If 6 pts per TD for QB you go Rodgers first then the other 3 previously mentioned. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle flap Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 Aren't you worried that Rice is a bit of a one-hit wonder? I think his TD production last year was an aberration; I can't see him scoring 17 TD's this year. He strikes me as solid, and, on average, a 8 TD kind of player. It's always a crap shoot to predict who will have big years in TDs, but Rice gets a ton of carries and catches. IMO he's definitely one of the top 3 RBs. Maybe I shouldn't have said "No brainer" earlier, it's more of a hunch I have. I think Rice is a better player overall, but obviously that doesn't always translate into better fantasy stats. Then there's this: http://espn.go.com/nfl/story/_/id/8143634/arian-foster-houston-texans-says-going-vegan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Canadian Bills Fan Posted August 23, 2012 Author Share Posted August 23, 2012 Bump Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Awwufelloff Posted August 23, 2012 Share Posted August 23, 2012 Draft Foster no questions asked....You can easily grab Matt Ryan in the later rounds who will put up similar numbers to Rodgers this year. Or Newton, Stafford in the 2nd if your really worried. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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